Weekly forecasting on ILI percentage surveillance prediction (2023W41–2024W16)
0.139Lead Time 1 MetricPersistence
Evaluation Results
| Method | Links | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Persistence2026.06 | 0.139 | 0.2199 | 0.279 | 0.329 | 0.242 | |
| M-SPICEInput=TS+Spatial2026.06 | 0.142 | 0.173 | 0.239 | 0.288 | 0.21 | |
| ARIMA2026.06 | 0.152 | 0.183 | 0.261 | 0.32 | 0.229 | |
| M-SPICEInput=TS only2026.06 | 0.156 | 0.177 | 0.242 | 0.292 | 0.217 | |
| Maestro2026.06 | 0.157 | 0.174 | 0.243 | 0.296 | 0.217 | |
| Crossformer2026.06 | 0.169 | 0.174 | 0.244 | 0.3 | 0.222 | |
| DiPro2026.06 | 0.178 | 0.181 | 0.247 | 0.297 | 0.226 | |
| Cola-GNN2026.06 | 0.183 | 0.328 | 0.348 | 0.417 | 0.318 | |
| GRU2026.06 | 0.229 | 0.186 | 0.252 | 0.301 | 0.243 | |
| CNNRNN-Res2026.06 | 0.242 | 0.333 | 0.425 | 0.502 | 0.376 | |
| Autoformer2026.06 | 0.364 | 0.186 | 0.24 | 0.277 | 0.267 | |
| Timemixer2026.06 | 0.38 | 0.188 | 0.245 | 0.292 | 0.276 |