Univariate Time Series Forecasting on Us_births
0.363MASEMinusformer-96
Evaluation results
| Method | Links | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minusformer-96Input length=96, Prediction Horizon=Average (Y1-Y4)2024.02 | 0.363 | 0.364 | 0.431 | 0.248 | 0.753 | 0.445 | 0.502 | 0.361 | |
| iTransformer-96Input length=96, Prediction Horizon=Average (Y1-Y4)2024.02 | 0.365 | 0.378 | 0.439 | 0.251 | 0.782 | 0.438 | 0.49 | 0.388 | |
| N-Hits-96Input length=96, Prediction Horizon=Average (Y1-Y4)2024.02 | 0.464 | 0.538 | 0.578 | 0.364 | 0.989 | 0.54 | 0.354 | 0.802 | |
| N-Beats-96Input length=96, Prediction Horizon=Average (Y1-Y4)2024.02 | 0.546 | 0.67 | 0.638 | 0.409 | 1.016 | 0.625 | 0.443 | 0.834 | |
| Autoformer-96Input length=96, Prediction Horizon=Average (Y1-Y4)2024.02 | 0.737 | 0.901 | 0.757 | 0.447 | 1.124 | 0.789 | 0.727 | 0.788 | |
| MixFTBackbone=Chronos Bolt, Fine-tuning=Enabled, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-shot forecasting2026.03 | 0.942 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| SharedBackbone=Chronos Bolt, Fine-tuning=Enabled, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-shot forecasting2026.03 | 0.967 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| PolyBackbone=Chronos Bolt, Fine-tuning=Enabled, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-shot forecasting2026.03 | 0.979 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| BaseBackbone=Chronos Bolt, Fine-tuning=Disabled, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-shot forecasting2026.03 | 1.014 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| MBCBackbone=Chronos Bolt, Fine-tuning=Enabled, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-shot forecasting2026.03 | 1.041 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| mu-DatasetsBackbone=Chronos Bolt, Fine-tuning=Enabled, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-shot forecasting2026.03 | 1.175 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Arrow DatasetsBackbone=Chronos Bolt, Fine-tuning=Enabled, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-shot forecasting2026.03 | 1.212 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| MBCBackbone=Moirai-1.1-R, Fine-tuning=Enabled, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-shot forecasting2026.03 | 1.597 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| PolyBackbone=Moirai-1.1-R, Fine-tuning=Enabled, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-shot forecasting2026.03 | 1.618 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| BaseBackbone=Moirai-1.1-R, Fine-tuning=Disabled, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-shot forecasting2026.03 | 1.641 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| MixFTBackbone=Moirai-1.1-R, Fine-tuning=Enabled, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-shot forecasting2026.03 | 1.647 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| SharedBackbone=Moirai-1.1-R, Fine-tuning=Enabled, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-shot forecasting2026.03 | 1.663 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Arrow DatasetsBackbone=Moirai-1.1-R, Fine-tuning=Enabled, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-shot forecasting2026.03 | 1.859 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| mu-DatasetsBackbone=Moirai-1.1-R, Fine-tuning=Enabled, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-shot forecasting2026.03 | 2.139 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |