Multivariate Time Series Forecasting on Electricity (Standard Error Metrics)
0.129MSEPatchTST
Evaluation results
| Method | Links | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PatchTSTPrediction Horizon=962026.02 | 0.129 | 0.222 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| AltTSPrediction Horizon=962026.02 | 0.131 | 0.227 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| iTransformerPrediction Horizon=962026.02 | 0.132 | 0.228 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| OLinearPrediction Horizon=962026.02 | 0.133 | 0.22 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| AWGformerForecast Horizon=962026.01 | 0.134 | 0.226 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| DLinearPrediction Horizon=962026.02 | 0.135 | 0.232 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| CycleNet/MLPPrediction Length=96, Look-back length (L)=962024.09 | 0.136 | 0.229 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| TimeBasePrediction Horizon=962026.02 | 0.136 | 0.229 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| PathformerInput Length (H)=192, Prediction Length (F)=962024.02 | 0.136 | 0.232 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| RLinearPrediction Horizon=962026.02 | 0.139 | 0.244 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| PathformerInput Length (H)=192, Prediction Length (F)=1922024.02 | 0.143 | 0.248 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| AWGformerForecast Horizon=1922026.01 | 0.146 | 0.239 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| PatchTSTInput Length (H)=192, Prediction Length (F)=962024.02 | 0.146 | 0.24 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| PatchTSTPrediction Horizon=1922026.02 | 0.147 | 0.24 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| AltTSPrediction Horizon=1922026.02 | 0.148 | 0.242 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| iTransformerForecast Horizon=962026.01 | 0.148 | 0.24 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| DB2-TransFPrediction Length=962025.12 | 0.148 | 0.243 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| iTransformerPrediction Length=962025.12 | 0.148 | 0.24 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| DLinearPrediction Horizon=1922026.02 | 0.149 | 0.245 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| RLinearPrediction Horizon=1922026.02 | 0.15 | 0.243 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| PatchTSTInput Length (H)=192, Prediction Length (F)=1922024.02 | 0.152 | 0.252 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| iTransformerPrediction Horizon=1922026.02 | 0.153 | 0.248 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| OLinearPrediction Horizon=1922026.02 | 0.154 | 0.244 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| TimeBasePrediction Horizon=1922026.02 | 0.159 | 0.255 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| AWGformerForecast Horizon=3362026.01 | 0.161 | 0.252 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| AltTSPrediction Horizon=3362026.02 | 0.162 | 0.258 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| iTransformerForecast Horizon=1922026.01 | 0.162 | 0.253 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| iTransformerPrediction Length=1922025.12 | 0.162 | 0.253 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| PatchTSTPrediction Horizon=3362026.02 | 0.163 | 0.259 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| DB2-TransFPrediction Length=1922025.12 | 0.163 | 0.256 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| DLinearPrediction Horizon=3362026.02 | 0.164 | 0.265 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| RLinearPrediction Horizon=3362026.02 | 0.166 | 0.26 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| CycleNet/MLPPrediction Length=Avg, Look-back length (L)=962024.09 | 0.168 | 0.259 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| OLinearPrediction Horizon=3362026.02 | 0.168 | 0.26 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| iTransformerPrediction Horizon=3362026.02 | 0.168 | 0.265 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| TimesNetForecast Horizon=962026.01 | 0.168 | 0.272 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| TimesNetPrediction Length=962025.12 | 0.168 | 0.272 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| TARFVAEPrediction Length=Avg2025.11 | 0.168 | 0.264 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Minusformer-96Input length=96, Prediction Horizon=Average (Y1-Y4)2024.02 | 0.172 | 0.263 | 0.246 | 2.655 | 50.6 | 0.287 | 0.266 | 0.255 | |
| TimeBasePrediction Horizon=3362026.02 | 0.172 | 0.288 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| PathformerInput Length (H)=192, Prediction Length (F)=3362024.02 | 0.172 | 0.274 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| DB2-TransFPrediction Length=Average2025.12 | 0.176 | 0.27 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| iTransformer-96Input length=96, Prediction Horizon=Average (Y1-Y4)2024.02 | 0.178 | 0.27 | 0.252 | 2.712 | 51.5 | 0.297 | 0.262 | 0.275 | |
| iTransformerForecast Horizon=3362026.01 | 0.178 | 0.269 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| iTransformerPrediction Length=3362025.12 | 0.178 | 0.269 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| iTransformerPrediction Length=Average2025.12 | 0.178 | 0.27 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| PatchTSTInput Length (H)=192, Prediction Length (F)=3362024.02 | 0.178 | 0.271 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| PatchTSTForecast Horizon=962026.01 | 0.181 | 0.27 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| PatchTSTPrediction Length=962025.12 | 0.181 | 0.27 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| DB2-TransFPrediction Length=3362025.12 | 0.182 | 0.275 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| TimesNetForecast Horizon=1922026.01 | 0.184 | 0.289 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| TimesNetPrediction Length=1922025.12 | 0.184 | 0.289 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| PatchTSTPrediction Length=1922025.12 | 0.188 | 0.274 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| TimesNetPrediction Length=Average2025.12 | 0.192 | 0.295 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| FEDformerForecast Horizon=962026.01 | 0.193 | 0.308 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| FEDformerPrediction Length=962025.12 | 0.193 | 0.308 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| OLinearPrediction Horizon=7202026.02 | 0.194 | 0.283 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| iTransformerPrediction Horizon=7202026.02 | 0.195 | 0.286 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| DLinearForecast Horizon=1922026.01 | 0.196 | 0.285 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| DLinearPrediction Length=1922025.12 | 0.196 | 0.285 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| PatchTSTPrediction Horizon=7202026.02 | 0.197 | 0.29 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| DLinearForecast Horizon=962026.01 | 0.197 | 0.282 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| DLinearPrediction Length=962025.12 | 0.197 | 0.282 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| DLinearPrediction Horizon=7202026.02 | 0.198 | 0.295 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| TimesNetForecast Horizon=3362026.01 | 0.198 | 0.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| TimesNetPrediction Length=3362025.12 | 0.198 | 0.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| AutoformerInput Length (H)=192, Prediction Length (F)=962024.02 | 0.198 | 0.313 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| AutoformerForecast Horizon=962026.01 | 0.201 | 0.317 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| FEDformerForecast Horizon=1922026.01 | 0.201 | 0.315 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| RLinearPrediction Length=962025.12 | 0.201 | 0.281 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| AutoformerPrediction Length=962025.12 | 0.201 | 0.317 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| RLinearPrediction Length=1922025.12 | 0.201 | 0.283 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| FEDformerPrediction Length=1922025.12 | 0.201 | 0.315 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| PathformerInput Length (H)=48, Prediction Length (F)=962024.02 | 0.201 | 0.28 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| AltTSPrediction Horizon=7202026.02 | 0.204 | 0.292 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| PatchTSTForecast Horizon=3362026.01 | 0.204 | 0.293 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| AWGformerForecast Horizon=7202026.01 | 0.204 | 0.298 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| PatchTSTPrediction Length=3362025.12 | 0.204 | 0.293 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| PatchTSTPrediction Length=Average2025.12 | 0.205 | 0.29 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| DLinearForecast Horizon=3362026.01 | 0.209 | 0.301 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| DLinearPrediction Length=3362025.12 | 0.209 | 0.301 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| PathformerInput Length (H)=48, Prediction Length (F)=1922024.02 | 0.21 | 0.285 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| AutoformerInput Length (H)=48, Prediction Length (F)=962024.02 | 0.211 | 0.322 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| DLinear-96Input length=96, Prediction Horizon=Average (Y1-Y4)2024.02 | 0.212 | 0.3 | 0.333 | 2.709 | 62 | 0.374 | 0.329 | 0.338 | |
| RLinearPrediction Horizon=7202026.02 | 0.212 | 0.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| DB2-TransFPrediction Length=7202025.12 | 0.212 | 0.307 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| DLinearPrediction Length=Average2025.12 | 0.212 | 0.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| FEDformerForecast Horizon=3362026.01 | 0.214 | 0.329 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| FEDformerPrediction Length=3362025.12 | 0.214 | 0.329 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| FEDformerPrediction Length=Average2025.12 | 0.214 | 0.327 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| RLinearPrediction Length=3362025.12 | 0.215 | 0.298 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| PathformerInput Length (H)=192, Prediction Length (F)=7202024.02 | 0.218 | 0.299 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| AutoformerInput Length (H)=192, Prediction Length (F)=1922024.02 | 0.218 | 0.335 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| TimeBasePrediction Horizon=7202026.02 | 0.219 | 0.301 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| CrossformerPrediction Length=962025.12 | 0.219 | 0.314 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| RLinearPrediction Length=Average2025.12 | 0.219 | 0.298 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| TimesNetForecast Horizon=7202026.01 | 0.22 | 0.32 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| TimesNetPrediction Length=7202025.12 | 0.22 | 0.32 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| AutoformerForecast Horizon=1922026.01 | 0.222 | 0.334 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| AutoformerPrediction Length=1922025.12 | 0.222 | 0.334 | — | — | — | — | — | — |