Unimodal Probabilistic Forecasting on Weather from ProbTS (test)
0.07CRPSAurora
Evaluation Results
| Method | Links | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| AuroraType=Zero-shot Foundation Models2025.09 | 0.07 | 0.076 | |
| CSDIType=Full-shot Probabilistic End-to-end Supervised Models2025.09 | 0.077 | 0.093 | |
| SundialType=Zero-shot Foundation Models2025.09 | 0.087 | 0.102 | |
| Lag-LlamaType=Zero-shot Foundation Models2025.09 | 0.096 | 0.106 | |
| TimeGradType=Full-shot Probabilistic End-to-end Supervised Models2025.09 | 0.125 | 0.155 | |
| TSDiffType=Full-shot Probabilistic End-to-end Supervised Models2025.09 | 0.132 | 0.134 | |
| GRU MAFType=Full-shot Probabilistic End-to-end Supervised Models2025.09 | 0.133 | 0.165 | |
| ChronosType=Zero-shot Foundation Models2025.09 | 0.142 | 0.158 | |
| MOIRAIType=Zero-shot Foundation Models2025.09 | 0.179 | 0.143 |