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ResearchFormerly WizWand

Short-term forecasting on EPF PJM

0.084MSEAurora
-3.0154417.9057838.82759.74822Sep 26, 2025Oct 22, 2025Nov 18, 2025Dec 15, 2025Jan 10, 2026Feb 6, 2026Mar 5, 2026
Updated 7mo ago

Evaluation results

MethodLinks
AuroraType=Zero-shot Foundation Model2025.090.0840.183
SundialType=Zero-shot Foundation Model2025.090.0880.189
TimeXerType=Full-shot End-to-end Supervised Model2025.090.0880.188
iTransformerType=Full-shot End-to-end Supervised Model2025.090.0970.197
TimesNetType=Full-shot End-to-end Supervised Model2025.090.0970.195
PatchTSTType=Full-shot End-to-end Supervised Model2025.090.1060.209
VisionTSType=Zero-shot Foundation Model2025.090.2510.366
AuraInput length=168, Prediction length=24, Exogenous series configuration=future exogenous series2026.030.2660.322
iTransformerInput length=168, Prediction length=24, Exogenous series configuration=future exogenous series2026.030.2680.324
TimesNetInput length=168, Prediction length=24, Exogenous series configuration=future exogenous series2026.030.2910.333
TimeXerInput length=168, Prediction length=24, Exogenous series configuration=future exogenous series2026.030.3010.328
PatchTSTInput length=168, Prediction length=24, Exogenous series configuration=future exogenous series2026.030.3020.323
ROSEType=Zero-shot Foundation Model2025.090.3110.402
MOIRAIType=Zero-shot Foundation Model2025.090.330.423
DLinearInput length=168, Prediction length=24, Exogenous series configuration=future exogenous series2026.030.3750.387
TiDEInput length=168, Prediction length=24, Exogenous series configuration=future exogenous series2026.030.3920.399
CrossLinearInput length=168, Prediction length=24, Exogenous series configuration=future exogenous series2026.030.4290.416
DUETInput length=168, Prediction length=24, Exogenous series configuration=future exogenous series2026.030.7750.568
TimerXLInput length=168, Prediction length=24, Exogenous series configuration=future exogenous series2026.030.9210.633
AutoformerInput length=168, Prediction length=24, Exogenous series configuration=future exogenous series2026.031.080.695
AlphaCastinput length=168, horizon=242025.1125.1513.596
Chronosinput length=168, horizon=242025.1125.6953.63
TimeXerinput length=168, horizon=242025.1125.8763.651
Sundialinput length=168, horizon=242025.1130.7043.987
PatchTSTinput length=168, horizon=242025.1131.8744.166
ARIMAinput length=168, horizon=242025.1133.0214.004
TimesNetinput length=168, horizon=242025.1134.894.342
iTransformerinput length=168, horizon=242025.1135.1314.373
CESinput length=168, horizon=242025.1138.3274.467
SNaiveinput length=168, horizon=242025.1141.3874.648
DLinearinput length=168, horizon=242025.1142.1544.645
Prophetinput length=168, horizon=242025.1152.2615.533
Autoformerinput length=168, horizon=242025.1177.576.426