Short-term forecasting on EPF PJM
0.084MSEAurora
Evaluation Results
| Method | Links | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| AuroraType=Zero-shot Foundation Model2025.09 | 0.084 | 0.183 | |
| SundialType=Zero-shot Foundation Model2025.09 | 0.088 | 0.189 | |
| TimeXerType=Full-shot End-to-end Supervised Model2025.09 | 0.088 | 0.188 | |
| iTransformerType=Full-shot End-to-end Supervised Model2025.09 | 0.097 | 0.197 | |
| TimesNetType=Full-shot End-to-end Supervised Model2025.09 | 0.097 | 0.195 | |
| PatchTSTType=Full-shot End-to-end Supervised Model2025.09 | 0.106 | 0.209 | |
| VisionTSType=Zero-shot Foundation Model2025.09 | 0.251 | 0.366 | |
| AuraInput length=168, Prediction length=24, Exogenous series configuration=future exogenous series2026.03 | 0.266 | 0.322 | |
| iTransformerInput length=168, Prediction length=24, Exogenous series configuration=future exogenous series2026.03 | 0.268 | 0.324 | |
| TimesNetInput length=168, Prediction length=24, Exogenous series configuration=future exogenous series2026.03 | 0.291 | 0.333 | |
| TimeXerInput length=168, Prediction length=24, Exogenous series configuration=future exogenous series2026.03 | 0.301 | 0.328 | |
| PatchTSTInput length=168, Prediction length=24, Exogenous series configuration=future exogenous series2026.03 | 0.302 | 0.323 | |
| ROSEType=Zero-shot Foundation Model2025.09 | 0.311 | 0.402 | |
| MOIRAIType=Zero-shot Foundation Model2025.09 | 0.33 | 0.423 | |
| DLinearInput length=168, Prediction length=24, Exogenous series configuration=future exogenous series2026.03 | 0.375 | 0.387 | |
| TiDEInput length=168, Prediction length=24, Exogenous series configuration=future exogenous series2026.03 | 0.392 | 0.399 | |
| CrossLinearInput length=168, Prediction length=24, Exogenous series configuration=future exogenous series2026.03 | 0.429 | 0.416 | |
| DUETInput length=168, Prediction length=24, Exogenous series configuration=future exogenous series2026.03 | 0.775 | 0.568 | |
| TimerXLInput length=168, Prediction length=24, Exogenous series configuration=future exogenous series2026.03 | 0.921 | 0.633 | |
| AutoformerInput length=168, Prediction length=24, Exogenous series configuration=future exogenous series2026.03 | 1.08 | 0.695 | |
| AlphaCastinput length=168, horizon=242025.11 | 25.151 | 3.596 | |
| Chronosinput length=168, horizon=242025.11 | 25.695 | 3.63 | |
| TimeXerinput length=168, horizon=242025.11 | 25.876 | 3.651 | |
| Sundialinput length=168, horizon=242025.11 | 30.704 | 3.987 | |
| PatchTSTinput length=168, horizon=242025.11 | 31.874 | 4.166 | |
| ARIMAinput length=168, horizon=242025.11 | 33.021 | 4.004 | |
| TimesNetinput length=168, horizon=242025.11 | 34.89 | 4.342 | |
| iTransformerinput length=168, horizon=242025.11 | 35.131 | 4.373 | |
| CESinput length=168, horizon=242025.11 | 38.327 | 4.467 | |
| SNaiveinput length=168, horizon=242025.11 | 41.387 | 4.648 | |
| DLinearinput length=168, horizon=242025.11 | 42.154 | 4.645 | |
| Prophetinput length=168, horizon=242025.11 | 52.261 | 5.533 | |
| Autoformerinput length=168, horizon=242025.11 | 77.57 | 6.426 |