Short-term forecasting on EPF BE
0.346MSEAura
Evaluation Results
| Method | Links | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| AuraInput length=168, Prediction length=24, Exogenous series configuration=future exogenous series2026.03 | 0.346 | 0.187 | |
| AuroraType=Zero-shot Foundation Model2025.09 | 0.361 | 0.257 | |
| TimeXerInput length=168, Prediction length=24, Exogenous series configuration=future exogenous series2026.03 | 0.361 | 0.197 | |
| SundialType=Zero-shot Foundation Model2025.09 | 0.371 | 0.27 | |
| iTransformerInput length=168, Prediction length=24, Exogenous series configuration=future exogenous series2026.03 | 0.371 | 0.205 | |
| TimeXerType=Full-shot End-to-end Supervised Model2025.09 | 0.374 | 0.241 | |
| iTransformerType=Full-shot End-to-end Supervised Model2025.09 | 0.394 | 0.27 | |
| PatchTSTType=Full-shot End-to-end Supervised Model2025.09 | 0.403 | 0.264 | |
| TimesNetInput length=168, Prediction length=24, Exogenous series configuration=future exogenous series2026.03 | 0.408 | 0.236 | |
| CrossLinearInput length=168, Prediction length=24, Exogenous series configuration=future exogenous series2026.03 | 0.409 | 0.244 | |
| DLinearInput length=168, Prediction length=24, Exogenous series configuration=future exogenous series2026.03 | 0.411 | 0.273 | |
| TimesNetType=Full-shot End-to-end Supervised Model2025.09 | 0.419 | 0.288 | |
| PatchTSTInput length=168, Prediction length=24, Exogenous series configuration=future exogenous series2026.03 | 0.42 | 0.219 | |
| TiDEInput length=168, Prediction length=24, Exogenous series configuration=future exogenous series2026.03 | 0.457 | 0.299 | |
| TimerXLInput length=168, Prediction length=24, Exogenous series configuration=future exogenous series2026.03 | 0.573 | 0.35 | |
| VisionTSType=Zero-shot Foundation Model2025.09 | 0.679 | 0.457 | |
| AutoformerInput length=168, Prediction length=24, Exogenous series configuration=future exogenous series2026.03 | 0.763 | 0.48 | |
| ROSEType=Zero-shot Foundation Model2025.09 | 0.815 | 0.514 | |
| MOIRAIType=Zero-shot Foundation Model2025.09 | 0.837 | 0.534 | |
| DUETInput length=168, Prediction length=24, Exogenous series configuration=future exogenous series2026.03 | 0.964 | 0.617 | |
| AlphaCastinput length=168, horizon=242025.11 | 536.454 | 9.612 | |
| iTransformerinput length=168, horizon=242025.11 | 606.528 | 11.242 | |
| Chronosinput length=168, horizon=242025.11 | 625.634 | 9.623 | |
| PatchTSTinput length=168, horizon=242025.11 | 627.149 | 11.435 | |
| TimesNetinput length=168, horizon=242025.11 | 636.66 | 11.3 | |
| Sundialinput length=168, horizon=242025.11 | 651.237 | 10.997 | |
| DLinearinput length=168, horizon=242025.11 | 658.53 | 12.833 | |
| TimeXerinput length=168, horizon=242025.11 | 702.862 | 10.7 | |
| CESinput length=168, horizon=242025.11 | 808.608 | 14.414 | |
| SNaiveinput length=168, horizon=242025.11 | 857.119 | 13.704 | |
| ARIMAinput length=168, horizon=242025.11 | 869.444 | 17.038 | |
| Autoformerinput length=168, horizon=242025.11 | 890.843 | 16.619 | |
| Prophetinput length=168, horizon=242025.11 | 992.9 | 16.942 |