Unimodal Probabilistic Forecasting on Exchange from ProbTS (test)
0.044CRPSAurora
Evaluation Results
| Method | Links | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| AuroraType=Zero-shot Foundation Models2025.09 | 0.044 | 4.7 | |
| ChronosType=Zero-shot Foundation Models2025.09 | 0.044 | 4.7 | |
| SundialType=Zero-shot Foundation Models2025.09 | 0.045 | 4.9 | |
| MOIRAIType=Zero-shot Foundation Models2025.09 | 0.045 | 5 | |
| Lag-LlamaType=Zero-shot Foundation Models2025.09 | 0.057 | 6.9 | |
| CSDIType=Full-shot Probabilistic End-to-end Supervised Models2025.09 | 0.069 | 8.6 | |
| GRU MAFType=Full-shot Probabilistic End-to-end Supervised Models2025.09 | 0.07 | 8.3 | |
| TimeGradType=Full-shot Probabilistic End-to-end Supervised Models2025.09 | 0.082 | 9.5 | |
| TSDiffType=Full-shot Probabilistic End-to-end Supervised Models2025.09 | 0.084 | 11.1 |