Traffic speed forecasting on PEMS-BAY (test)
1.12MAEGAMMA-Net
Evaluation results
| Method | Links | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAMMA-NetHorizon=15 min2026.04 | 1.12 | 2.28 | — | — | — | — | 2.31 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| GRUGCNHorizon (H)=32024.05 | 1.21 | 2.52 | — | — | — | — | 2.49 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| CITRUSHorizon (H)=32024.05 | 1.21 | 2.61 | — | — | — | — | 2.51 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| StemGNN2021.03 | 1.23 | 2.48 | — | — | — | — | 2.63 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| GTCNNHorizon (H)=32024.05 | 1.25 | 2.66 | — | — | — | — | 2.61 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| STGMHorizon=15 min2026.04 | 1.25 | 2.62 | — | — | — | — | 2.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| GST-GATPrediction Horizon=15 minutes2026.05 | 1.28 | 2.65 | — | — | — | — | 2.64 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| MRA-BGCNHorizon=32020.05 | 1.29 | 2.72 | 0.029 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Graph WaveNetHorizon=32020.05 | 1.3 | 2.74 | 0.0273 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| GraphWaveNet2021.03 | 1.3 | 2.74 | — | — | — | — | 2.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Graph WavenetHorizon (H)=32024.05 | 1.3 | 2.74 | — | — | — | — | 2.73 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| GWNetHorizon=15 min2026.04 | 1.3 | 2.73 | — | — | — | — | 2.71 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ST-MambaSyncHorizon=15 min2026.04 | 1.3 | 2.75 | — | — | — | — | 2.75 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| DCRNNHorizon=15 min2026.04 | 1.31 | 2.76 | — | — | — | — | 2.73 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| STIDHorizon=15 min2026.04 | 1.31 | 2.79 | — | — | — | — | 2.78 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| STAEformerHorizon=15 min2026.04 | 1.31 | 2.78 | — | — | — | — | 2.76 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| DCRNNPrediction Horizon=15 minutes2026.05 | 1.31 | 2.76 | — | — | — | — | 2.74 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| GLGATPrediction Horizon=15 minutes2026.05 | 1.31 | 2.76 | — | — | — | — | 2.75 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| MTGNNHorizon=32020.05 | 1.32 | 2.79 | 0.0277 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| PDFormerHorizon=15 min2026.04 | 1.32 | 2.83 | — | — | — | — | 2.78 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| GGRNNHorizon (H)=32024.05 | 1.33 | 2.81 | — | — | — | — | 2.83 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| SGPHorizon (H)=32024.05 | 1.33 | 2.84 | — | — | — | — | 2.71 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| MTGNNHorizon=15 min2026.04 | 1.33 | 2.8 | — | — | — | — | 2.81 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| STNormHorizon=15 min2026.04 | 1.33 | 2.82 | — | — | — | — | 2.76 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| GMANHorizon=32020.05 | 1.34 | 2.82 | 0.0281 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| MTGNN+samplingHorizon=32020.05 | 1.34 | 2.83 | 0.0283 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| GMANHorizon (H)=32024.05 | 1.34 | 2.82 | — | — | — | — | 2.81 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| GAMMA-NetHorizon=30 min2026.04 | 1.34 | 2.97 | — | — | — | — | 2.91 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| AGCRNHorizon=15 min2026.04 | 1.35 | 2.88 | — | — | — | — | 2.91 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| GMANHorizon=15 min2026.04 | 1.35 | 2.9 | — | — | — | — | 2.87 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| STGCNHorizon=32020.05 | 1.36 | 2.96 | 0.029 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ST-MetaNetHorizon=32020.05 | 1.36 | 2.9 | 0.0282 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ST-GCN2021.03 | 1.36 | 2.96 | — | — | — | — | 2.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| STGCNHorizon (H)=32024.05 | 1.36 | 2.96 | — | — | — | — | 2.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| STGCNHorizon=15 min2026.04 | 1.36 | 2.88 | — | — | — | — | 2.86 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| STGCNPrediction Horizon=15 minutes2026.05 | 1.36 | 2.96 | — | — | — | — | 2.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| GTSHorizon=15 min2026.04 | 1.37 | 2.92 | — | — | — | — | 2.85 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| DCRNNForecasting Horizon=15 min2017.07 | 1.38 | 2.95 | 0.029 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| DCRNNHorizon=32020.05 | 1.38 | 2.95 | 0.029 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| DCRNN2021.03 | 1.38 | 2.95 | — | — | — | — | 2.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| APTNPrediction Horizon=15 minutes2026.05 | 1.38 | 2.96 | — | — | — | — | 2.91 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| DeepGLO2021.03 | 1.39 | 2.91 | — | — | — | — | 3.01 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| TCN2021.03 | 1.45 | 3.01 | — | — | — | — | 3.03 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| CITRUSHorizon (H)=62024.05 | 1.48 | 3.28 | — | — | — | — | 3.23 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| GST-GATPrediction Horizon=30 minutes2026.05 | 1.48 | 3.52 | — | — | — | — | 3.41 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| GRUGCNHorizon (H)=62024.05 | 1.54 | 3.46 | — | — | — | — | 3.32 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| RangeEnsemblestatus=Ours2019.12 | 1.546 | — | — | 1.286 | 1.606 | 1.896 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Finetunedstatus=Ours2019.12 | 1.552 | — | — | 1.299 | 1.613 | 1.896 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| GWNV2status=Ours2019.12 | 1.56 | — | — | 1.303 | 1.622 | 1.909 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| GWNstatus=Reported2019.12 | 1.58 | — | — | 1.3 | 1.63 | 1.95 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| GAMMA-NetHorizon=60 min2026.04 | 1.59 | 3.67 | — | — | — | — | 3.61 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| GWNstatus=Replicated2019.12 | 1.591 | — | — | 1.316 | 1.647 | 1.968 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| STGMHorizon=30 min2026.04 | 1.6 | 3.69 | — | — | — | — | 3.55 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| MRA-BGCNHorizon=62020.05 | 1.61 | 3.67 | 0.038 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ARIMA_KalForecasting Horizon=15 min2017.07 | 1.62 | 3.3 | 0.035 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| GMANHorizon=62020.05 | 1.62 | 3.72 | 0.0363 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ARIMAHorizon (H)=32024.05 | 1.62 | 3.3 | — | — | — | — | 3.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| GMANHorizon (H)=62024.05 | 1.62 | 3.72 | — | — | — | — | 3.63 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| STAEformerHorizon=30 min2026.04 | 1.62 | 3.68 | — | — | — | — | 3.62 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ARIMAPrediction Horizon=15 minutes2026.05 | 1.62 | 3.3 | — | — | — | — | 3.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Graph WaveNetHorizon=62020.05 | 1.63 | 3.7 | 0.0367 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Graph WavenetHorizon (H)=62024.05 | 1.63 | 3.7 | — | — | — | — | 3.67 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| GWNetHorizon=30 min2026.04 | 1.63 | 3.73 | — | — | — | — | 3.73 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ST-MambaSyncHorizon=30 min2026.04 | 1.63 | 3.62 | — | — | — | — | 3.61 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| GLGATPrediction Horizon=30 minutes2026.05 | 1.63 | 3.67 | — | — | — | — | 3.62 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| PDFormerHorizon=30 min2026.04 | 1.64 | 3.79 | — | — | — | — | 3.71 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| STIDHorizon=30 min2026.04 | 1.64 | 3.73 | — | — | — | — | 3.73 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| MTGNNHorizon=62020.05 | 1.65 | 3.74 | 0.0369 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| GTCNNHorizon (H)=62024.05 | 1.65 | 3.68 | — | — | — | — | 3.82 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| DCRNNHorizon=30 min2026.04 | 1.65 | 3.75 | — | — | — | — | 3.71 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| STNormHorizon=30 min2026.04 | 1.65 | 3.77 | — | — | — | — | 3.66 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| GMANHorizon=30 min2026.04 | 1.65 | 3.82 | — | — | — | — | 3.74 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| MTGNNHorizon=30 min2026.04 | 1.66 | 3.77 | — | — | — | — | 3.75 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| DCRNNPrediction Horizon=30 minutes2026.05 | 1.66 | 3.78 | — | — | — | — | 3.76 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| MTGNN+samplingHorizon=62020.05 | 1.67 | 3.79 | 0.0378 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| AGCRNHorizon=30 min2026.04 | 1.67 | 3.82 | — | — | — | — | 3.81 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| DCRNNstatus=Reported2019.12 | 1.68 | — | — | 1.38 | 1.74 | 2.07 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| GGRNNHorizon (H)=62024.05 | 1.68 | 3.94 | — | — | — | — | 3.79 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| SGPHorizon (H)=62024.05 | 1.7 | 3.83 | — | — | — | — | 3.61 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| STGCNHorizon=30 min2026.04 | 1.7 | 3.84 | — | — | — | — | 3.79 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| GTSHorizon=30 min2026.04 | 1.72 | 3.86 | — | — | — | — | 3.88 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| VARForecasting Horizon=15 min2017.07 | 1.74 | 3.16 | 0.036 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| DCRNNForecasting Horizon=30 min2017.07 | 1.74 | 3.97 | 0.039 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| DCRNNHorizon=62020.05 | 1.74 | 3.97 | 0.039 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| GP-VARHorizon (H)=32024.05 | 1.74 | 3.22 | — | — | — | — | 3.45 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| VARPrediction Horizon=15 minutes2026.05 | 1.74 | 3.16 | — | — | — | — | 3.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| N-BEATS2021.03 | 1.75 | 4.03 | — | — | — | — | 4.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ST-MetaNetHorizon=62020.05 | 1.76 | 4.02 | 0.04 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| CITRUSHorizon (H)=122024.05 | 1.78 | 3.99 | — | — | — | — | 4.08 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| STGCNHorizon=62020.05 | 1.81 | 4.27 | 0.0417 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| STGCNHorizon (H)=62024.05 | 1.81 | 4.27 | — | — | — | — | 4.17 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| STGCNPrediction Horizon=30 minutes2026.05 | 1.81 | 4.27 | — | — | — | — | 4.17 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| SVRForecasting Horizon=15 min2017.07 | 1.85 | 3.59 | 0.038 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| SVRPrediction Horizon=15 minutes2026.05 | 1.85 | 3.59 | — | — | — | — | 3.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| GMANHorizon=122020.05 | 1.86 | 4.32 | 0.0431 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| LSTNet2021.03 | 1.86 | 3.91 | — | — | — | — | 3.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| GMANHorizon (H)=122024.05 | 1.86 | 4.32 | — | — | — | — | 4.31 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| STGMHorizon=60 min2026.04 | 1.86 | 4.37 | — | — | — | — | 4.34 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ST-MambaSyncHorizon=60 min2026.04 | 1.87 | 4.3 | — | — | — | — | 4.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| DeepState2021.03 | 1.88 | 3.04 | — | — | — | — | 2.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |