Traffic Speed Forecasting on METR-LA 15 min (test)
2.203MAETransformer + TDA + Sheaf
Evaluation Results
| Method | Links | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Transformer + TDA + SheafBackbone=Transformer, Model=TopoPrimer2026.05 | 2.203 | — | 3.809 | |
| TransformerBackbone=Transformer2026.05 | 2.206 | — | 3.812 | |
| Transformer + TDABackbone=Transformer, Topological Component=TDA2026.05 | 2.206 | — | 3.812 | |
| TimesFM + TDA + SheafBackbone=TimesFM 2.5, Model=TopoPrimer2026.05 | 2.336 | — | 4.033 | |
| TimesFM Vanilla AdapterBackbone=TimesFM 2.5, Mode=Vanilla Adapter2026.05 | 2.355 | — | 4.058 | |
| TimesFM + TDABackbone=TimesFM 2.5, Topological Component=TDA2026.05 | 2.356 | — | 4.064 | |
| Chronos + TDA + SheafBackbone=Chronos 2.0, Model=TopoPrimer2026.05 | 2.378 | — | 4.063 | |
| Chronos Vanilla AdapterBackbone=Chronos 2.0, Mode=Vanilla Adapter2026.05 | 2.383 | — | 4.087 | |
| Chronos + TDABackbone=Chronos 2.0, Topological Component=TDA2026.05 | 2.392 | — | 4.091 | |
| TimesFM Zero-ShotBackbone=TimesFM 2.5, Mode=Zero-Shot2026.05 | 2.441 | — | 4.2 | |
| Graph WaveNet2019.05 | 2.69 | 5.15 | 6.9 | |
| GGRU2019.05 | 2.71 | 5.24 | 6.99 | |
| DCRNN2019.05 | 2.77 | 5.38 | 7.3 | |
| STGCN2019.05 | 2.88 | 5.74 | 7.62 | |
| WaveNet2019.05 | 2.99 | 5.89 | 8.04 | |
| Chronos Zero-ShotBackbone=Chronos 2.0, Mode=Zero-Shot2026.05 | 3.348 | — | 5.615 | |
| FC-LSTM2019.05 | 3.44 | 6.3 | 9.6 | |
| ARIMA2019.05 | 3.99 | 8.21 | 9.6 |