Time Series Forecasting on Weather
0.001MSEDAG
Evaluation results
| Method | Links | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| DAGForecasting Horizon=Avg2025.09 | 0.001 | 0.026 | |
| TimeXerForecasting Horizon=Avg2025.09 | 0.001 | 0.027 | |
| ForecastPFNData Budget=502023.11 | 0.009 | — | |
| ForecastPFNData Budget=5002023.11 | 0.009 | — | |
| MeanData Budget=502023.11 | 0.011 | — | |
| MeanData Budget=5002023.11 | 0.011 | — | |
| LastData Budget=502023.11 | 0.014 | — | |
| Meta-N-BEATSData Budget=502023.11 | 0.014 | — | |
| LastData Budget=5002023.11 | 0.014 | — | |
| Meta-N-BEATSData Budget=5002023.11 | 0.014 | — | |
| TransformerData Budget=5002023.11 | 0.016 | — | |
| SeasonalNaiveData Budget=502023.11 | 0.017 | — | |
| SeasonalNaiveData Budget=5002023.11 | 0.017 | — | |
| ArimaData Budget=502023.11 | 0.042 | — | |
| ArimaData Budget=5002023.11 | 0.042 | — | |
| ProphetData Budget=5002023.11 | 0.057 | — | |
| MOMENTStrategy=Top-50%2025.11 | 0.074 | 0.215 | |
| MOMENTStrategy=Full-data2025.11 | 0.079 | 0.235 | |
| ProphetData Budget=502023.11 | 0.101 | — | |
| MOMENTStrategy=Pre-trained2025.11 | 0.107 | 0.278 | |
| MOMENTStrategy=Bottom-50%2025.11 | 0.117 | 0.293 | |
| Full2024.06 | 0.131 | 0.197 | |
| NPMixerPrediction Length=962026.05 | 0.14 | 0.189 | |
| DiPE-LinearPrediction Length=962024.11 | 0.142 | 0.201 | |
| FITSPrediction Length=962024.11 | 0.142 | 0.192 | |
| DLinearPrediction Length=962024.11 | 0.142 | 0.202 | |
| NlinearPrediction Length=962024.11 | 0.142 | 0.192 | |
| DiPE-LinearPrediction Length=962024.11 | 0.142 | 0.201 | |
| RLinearPrediction Length=962024.11 | 0.143 | 0.194 | |
| FlowMixerh=962025.05 | 0.143 | 0.194 | |
| OliviaPrediction Horizon=96, Evaluation Protocol=Full-shot2026.05 | 0.143 | 0.189 | |
| SEMPOPrediction Horizon=96, Evaluation Protocol=Full-shot2026.05 | 0.143 | 0.193 | |
| TSMixerPrediction Length=962026.05 | 0.145 | 0.198 | |
| S2IP-LLMPrediction Horizon=96, Evaluation Protocol=Full-shot2026.05 | 0.145 | 0.195 | |
| PowerformerPrediction Length=962025.02 | 0.147 | 0.197 | |
| TimeMixerPrediction Length=962026.05 | 0.147 | 0.197 | |
| RMLPPrediction Length=96, Historical Horizon=3362023.05 | 0.149 | 0.202 | |
| PatchTSTPrediction Length=962024.11 | 0.149 | 0.198 | |
| PatchTSTPrediction Length=962025.02 | 0.149 | 0.198 | |
| PatchTSTPrediction Length=962026.05 | 0.149 | 0.198 | |
| PatchTSTPrediction Horizon=96, Evaluation Protocol=Full-shot2026.05 | 0.149 | 0.198 | |
| TTMPrediction Length=96, Model Size=1M, Pre-training Data Size=1B, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-shot2026.05 | 0.151 | 0.196 | |
| CrossformerPrediction Length=962024.11 | 0.153 | 0.217 | |
| GTRLook-back length=96, Prediction length=962026.02 | 0.154 | 0.2 | |
| PatchTSTPrediction Length=96, Historical Horizon=3362023.05 | 0.155 | 0.205 | |
| UniMambaPrediction Horizon=962026.03 | 0.155 | 0.2 | |
| WaveMoEContext length=512, Prediction horizon=962026.04 | 0.1553 | 0.0471 | |
| LeddamPrediction Length=962025.08 | 0.156 | 0.202 | |
| FilterLeddamPrediction Length=962025.08 | 0.156 | 0.201 | |
| iTransformerPrediction Length=962024.11 | 0.159 | 0.208 | |
| iTransformerPrediction Horizon=96, Evaluation Protocol=Full-shot2026.05 | 0.159 | 0.208 | |
| TIME-LLMTraining Data=10%, Horizon=962023.10 | 0.161 | 0.21 | |
| MICNPrediction Length=962024.11 | 0.161 | 0.226 | |
| FilterFormerPrediction Length=962025.08 | 0.161 | 0.205 | |
| TexFilterPrediction length (τ)=96, Lookback window length (L)=962024.11 | 0.162 | 0.207 | |
| One-Fits-AllPrediction Length=962025.02 | 0.162 | 0.212 | |
| GPT4TSPrediction Horizon=96, Evaluation Protocol=Full-shot2026.05 | 0.162 | 0.212 | |
| FEDPMType=FL-FM, Horizon=96, Comm. Params.=0.016 M2026.04 | 0.163 | 0.208 | |
| iTransformerPrediction Length=962025.02 | 0.163 | 0.211 | |
| FredformerPrediction Length=962025.08 | 0.163 | 0.207 | |
| PaiFilterPrediction length (τ)=96, Lookback window length (L)=962024.11 | 0.164 | 0.21 | |
| FilterNetPrediction Length=962025.08 | 0.164 | 0.21 | |
| PatchTSTTraining Data=10%, Horizon=962023.10 | 0.165 | 0.215 | |
| TimeSqueeze basePrediction Horizon=96, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-shot2026.03 | 0.167 | 0.217 | |
| OliviaPrediction Length=96, Model Size=5.1M, Pre-training Data Size=67M, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-shot2026.05 | 0.169 | 0.228 | |
| iFilterFormerPrediction Length=962025.08 | 0.17 | 0.22 | |
| DLinearPrediction Horizon=96, Evaluation Protocol=Full-shot2026.05 | 0.17 | 0.23 | |
| SEMPOPrediction Length=96, Model Size=6.5M, Pre-training Data Size=83M, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-shot2026.05 | 0.171 | 0.228 | |
| TimesNetPrediction Length=96, Historical Horizon=3362023.05 | 0.172 | 0.22 | |
| TimesNetPrediction Length=962024.11 | 0.172 | 0.22 | |
| LTSM-BundlePrediction Length=96, Few-shot data percentage=5%2024.06 | 0.172 | 0.242 | |
| GTMEvaluation Setting=Zero-shot, Forecasting length=962025.02 | 0.172 | — | |
| TimesNetPrediction Length=962026.05 | 0.172 | 0.22 | |
| Non-stationary TransformerPrediction Length=962022.05 | 0.173 | 0.223 | |
| LSSLPrediction Length=962022.05 | 0.174 | 0.252 | |
| iTransformerPrediction Length=962025.08 | 0.174 | 0.214 | |
| RLinearPrediction Length=96, Historical Horizon=3362023.05 | 0.175 | 0.225 | |
| DLinearPrediction Length=96, Historical Horizon=3362023.05 | 0.176 | 0.237 | |
| DLinearPrediction Length=962026.05 | 0.176 | 0.237 | |
| PatchTSTPrediction Length=962025.08 | 0.177 | 0.218 | |
| TIMER-1BEvaluation Setting=Zero-shot, Forecasting length=962025.02 | 0.181 | — | |
| NPMixerPrediction Length=1922026.05 | 0.182 | 0.232 | |
| NlinearPrediction Length=1922024.11 | 0.183 | 0.234 | |
| DLinearPrediction Length=1922024.11 | 0.184 | 0.249 | |
| FITSPrediction Length=1922024.11 | 0.185 | 0.234 | |
| FlowMixerh=1922025.05 | 0.185 | 0.235 | |
| OliviaPrediction Horizon=192, Evaluation Protocol=Full-shot2026.05 | 0.185 | 0.229 | |
| RLinearPrediction Length=1922024.11 | 0.186 | 0.235 | |
| DiPE-LinearPrediction Length=1922024.11 | 0.187 | 0.253 | |
| DiPE-LinearPrediction Length=1922024.11 | 0.187 | 0.253 | |
| FEDformerData Budget=5002023.11 | 0.188 | — | |
| TimeMixerPrediction Length=1922026.05 | 0.189 | 0.239 | |
| SEMPOPrediction Horizon=192, Evaluation Protocol=Full-shot2026.05 | 0.189 | 0.234 | |
| S2IP-LLMPrediction Horizon=192, Evaluation Protocol=Full-shot2026.05 | 0.19 | 0.235 | |
| PowerformerPrediction Length=1922025.02 | 0.191 | 0.239 | |
| TSMixerPrediction Length=1922026.05 | 0.191 | 0.242 | |
| RMLPPrediction Length=192, Historical Horizon=3362023.05 | 0.194 | 0.242 | |
| PatchTSTPrediction Length=1922024.11 | 0.194 | 0.241 | |
| PatchTSTPrediction Length=1922025.02 | 0.194 | 0.241 | |
| PatchTSTPrediction Length=1922026.05 | 0.194 | 0.241 |