Time Series Forecasting on Traffic
0.081MSED³VAE
Evaluation results
| Method | Links | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D³VAEHorizon=82023.01 | 0.081 | — | 0.207 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| D³VAEHorizon=162023.01 | 0.081 | — | 0.2 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| D³VAEHorizon=322023.01 | 0.091 | — | 0.216 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| D³VAEHorizon=642023.01 | 0.125 | — | 0.244 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| NVAEHorizon=322023.01 | 0.126 | — | 0.422 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| TIME-LLMPrediction Length=96, Few-shot=5%2023.10 | 0.172 | 0.263 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| FreqLensPrediction Length (H)=962026.02 | 0.2681 | 0.3623 | — | — | — | — | — | 0.5179 | |
| OliviaPrediction Horizon=96, Evaluation Protocol=Full-shot2026.05 | 0.35 | 0.25 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| SEMPOPrediction Horizon=96, Evaluation Protocol=Full-shot2026.05 | 0.355 | 0.246 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| PatchTSTPrediction Horizon=96, Evaluation Protocol=Full-shot2026.05 | 0.36 | 0.249 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| iTransformerPrediction Horizon=96, Evaluation Protocol=Full-shot2026.05 | 0.363 | 0.265 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| DySCoBase Model=iTransformer2026.04 | 0.365 | 0.264 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| OliviaPrediction Horizon=192, Evaluation Protocol=Full-shot2026.05 | 0.369 | 0.25 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Basic(2440)Base Model=iTransformer, Input Length=24402026.04 | 0.371 | 0.271 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| SEMPOPrediction Horizon=192, Evaluation Protocol=Full-shot2026.05 | 0.373 | 0.253 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| S2IP-LLMPrediction Horizon=96, Evaluation Protocol=Full-shot2026.05 | 0.379 | 0.274 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| PatchTSTPrediction Horizon=192, Evaluation Protocol=Full-shot2026.05 | 0.379 | 0.256 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| OliviaPrediction Horizon=Avg, Evaluation Protocol=Full-shot2026.05 | 0.381 | 0.26 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| OliviaPrediction Horizon=336, Evaluation Protocol=Full-shot2026.05 | 0.383 | 0.256 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| SEMPOPrediction Horizon=336, Evaluation Protocol=Full-shot2026.05 | 0.384 | 0.26 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| SEMPOPrediction Horizon=Avg, Evaluation Protocol=Full-shot2026.05 | 0.385 | 0.261 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| iTransformerPrediction Horizon=192, Evaluation Protocol=Full-shot2026.05 | 0.385 | 0.273 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| FLAME SmallEvaluation Protocol=Full-shot, Prediction Length=Avg2025.12 | 0.388 | 0.26 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| DySCoBase Model=TimeMixer2026.04 | 0.388 | 0.258 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| GPT4TSPrediction Horizon=96, Evaluation Protocol=Full-shot2026.05 | 0.388 | 0.282 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ROSEShot setting=full-shot2024.05 | 0.39 | 0.264 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| PatchTSTShot setting=full-shot2024.05 | 0.391 | 0.264 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| PatchTSTPrediction Horizon=Avg, Evaluation Protocol=Full-shot2026.05 | 0.391 | 0.264 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| PatchTSTPrediction Horizon=336, Evaluation Protocol=Full-shot2026.05 | 0.392 | 0.264 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| SANBackbone=FEDformer2024.09 | 0.395 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| iTransformerPrediction Horizon=336, Evaluation Protocol=Full-shot2026.05 | 0.396 | 0.277 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| iTransformerShot setting=full-shot2024.05 | 0.397 | 0.282 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| S2IP-LLMPrediction Horizon=192, Evaluation Protocol=Full-shot2026.05 | 0.397 | 0.282 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| iTransformerPrediction Horizon=Avg, Evaluation Protocol=Full-shot2026.05 | 0.397 | 0.282 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Basic(best)Base Model=iTransformer, Input Length=optimal2026.04 | 0.399 | 0.282 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| FANBackbone=Informer2024.09 | 0.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| DySCoBase Model=PatchTST2026.04 | 0.4 | 0.271 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| S2IP-LLMShot setting=full-shot2024.05 | 0.405 | 0.286 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Basic(best)Base Model=TimeMixer, Input Length=optimal2026.04 | 0.405 | 0.285 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| S2IP-LLMPrediction Horizon=Avg, Evaluation Protocol=Full-shot2026.05 | 0.406 | 0.286 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| GPT4TSPrediction Horizon=192, Evaluation Protocol=Full-shot2026.05 | 0.407 | 0.29 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| S2IP-LLMPrediction Horizon=336, Evaluation Protocol=Full-shot2026.05 | 0.407 | 0.289 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| FANBackbone=FEDformer2024.09 | 0.408 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| DLinearPrediction Horizon=96, Evaluation Protocol=Full-shot2026.05 | 0.411 | 0.294 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Basic(best)Base Model=PatchTST, Input Length=optimal2026.04 | 0.412 | 0.28 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| GPT4TSPrediction Horizon=336, Evaluation Protocol=Full-shot2026.05 | 0.412 | 0.294 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| GPT4TSShot setting=full-shot2024.05 | 0.414 | 0.294 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| GPT4TSTraining Data=10%, Horizon=962023.10 | 0.414 | 0.297 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| GPT4TSPrediction Horizon=Avg, Evaluation Protocol=Full-shot2026.05 | 0.414 | 0.294 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Super-LinearHorizon=96, Model Size=2.5M, Zero-shot=true2025.09 | 0.414 | 0.296 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ROSEShot setting=10% few-shot2024.05 | 0.418 | 0.278 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| PatchTSTTraining Data=5%, Forecasting Horizons=Average of {96, 192, 336, 720}2023.10 | 0.418 | 0.296 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| TIME-LLMTraining Data=10%, Horizon=962023.10 | 0.418 | 0.291 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| FANBackbone=SCINet2024.09 | 0.419 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| OliviaPrediction Horizon=720, Evaluation Protocol=Full-shot2026.05 | 0.42 | 0.28 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| DLinearPrediction Horizon=192, Evaluation Protocol=Full-shot2026.05 | 0.421 | 0.298 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| TIME-LLMTraining Data=5%, Forecasting Horizons=Average of {96, 192, 336, 720}2023.10 | 0.423 | 0.298 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| RevINBackbone=FEDformer2024.09 | 0.424 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| SEMPOPrediction Horizon=720, Evaluation Protocol=Full-shot2026.05 | 0.427 | 0.286 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| iTransformerPrediction Length=Avg2025.12 | 0.428 | 0.282 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| TexFilterPrediction length (τ)=96, Lookback window length (L)=962024.11 | 0.43 | 0.294 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Super-LinearHorizon=192, Model Size=2.5M, Zero-shot=true2025.09 | 0.43 | 0.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| SANBackbone=SCINet2024.09 | 0.431 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| DLinearPrediction Horizon=336, Evaluation Protocol=Full-shot2026.05 | 0.431 | 0.304 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| FANBackbone=DLinear2024.09 | 0.432 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| PatchTSTPrediction Horizon=720, Evaluation Protocol=Full-shot2026.05 | 0.432 | 0.286 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| DlinearShot setting=full-shot2024.05 | 0.433 | 0.305 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Dish-TSBackbone=FEDformer2024.09 | 0.433 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| DLinearPrediction Horizon=Avg, Evaluation Protocol=Full-shot2026.05 | 0.433 | 0.305 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| GPT4TSTraining Data=5%, Forecasting Horizons=Average of {96, 192, 336, 720}2023.10 | 0.434 | 0.305 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| S2IP-LLMPrediction Horizon=720, Evaluation Protocol=Full-shot2026.05 | 0.44 | 0.301 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| RevINBackbone=SCINet2024.09 | 0.442 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Basic(2440)Base Model=TimeMixer, Input Length=24402026.04 | 0.442 | 0.321 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| iTransformerPrediction Length (H)=962026.02 | 0.4424 | 0.3018 | — | — | — | — | — | 0.6651 | |
| iTransformerPrediction Horizon=720, Evaluation Protocol=Full-shot2026.05 | 0.445 | 0.312 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Dish-TSBackbone=Informer2024.09 | 0.446 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Super-LinearHorizon=336, Model Size=2.5M, Zero-shot=true2025.09 | 0.449 | 0.309 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| DLinearTraining Data=5%, Forecasting Horizons=Average of {96, 192, 336, 720}2023.10 | 0.45 | 0.317 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| GPT4TSPrediction Horizon=720, Evaluation Protocol=Full-shot2026.05 | 0.45 | 0.312 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| OliviaZero-shot=true, Prediction Length=Avg2026.05 | 0.458 | 0.33 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Super-LinearHorizon=Avg., Model Size=2.5M, Zero-shot=true2025.09 | 0.461 | 0.312 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| DLinearPrediction Horizon=720, Evaluation Protocol=Full-shot2026.05 | 0.468 | 0.325 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| DySCoBase Model=Linear2026.04 | 0.482 | 0.353 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Dish-TSBackbone=SCINet2024.09 | 0.489 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Full2024.06 | 0.492 | 0.406 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| PaiFilterPrediction length (τ)=96, Lookback window length (L)=962024.11 | 0.506 | 0.336 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| SANBackbone=DLinear2024.09 | 0.514 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| SANBackbone=Informer2024.09 | 0.515 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| FEDformerData Budget=5002023.11 | 0.523 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| AutoformerData Budget=5002023.11 | 0.526 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Super-LinearHorizon=720, Model Size=2.5M, Zero-shot=true2025.09 | 0.551 | 0.344 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| SundialZero-shot=true, Prediction Length=Avg2026.05 | 0.556 | 0.33 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ChronosHorizon=96, Model Size=201M, Zero-shot=true2025.09 | 0.562 | 0.378 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| PPCondTSF=true2024.06 | 0.57 | 0.49 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ROSEHorizon=96, Model Size=7.4M, Zero-shot=true2025.09 | 0.572 | 0.407 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ROSEHorizon=192, Model Size=7.4M, Zero-shot=true2025.09 | 0.575 | 0.406 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| MTTCondTSF=true2024.06 | 0.579 | 0.494 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ChronosHorizon=192, Model Size=201M, Zero-shot=true2025.09 | 0.579 | 0.412 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| DATMCondTSF=true2024.06 | 0.582 | 0.496 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| FEDformerPrediction Length=962022.05 | 0.587 | 0.366 | — | — | — | — | — | — |