Time Series Forecasting on ercot
0.017MASEChroma
Evaluation Results
| Method | Links | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ChromaModel Size=4m, Frequency Awareness=true, Aggregation Strategy=Best2025.10 | 0.017 | — | — | |
| ChromaModel Size=4m, Frequency Awareness=true, Aggregation Strategy=Ensemble2025.10 | 0.017 | — | — | |
| Chronos Large2025.10 | 0.017 | — | — | |
| Moirai Large2025.10 | 0.017 | — | — | |
| ChromaModel Size=tiny, Frequency Awareness=true, Aggregation Strategy=Best2025.10 | 0.018 | — | — | |
| ChromaModel Size=tiny, Frequency Awareness=true, Aggregation Strategy=Ensemble2025.10 | 0.018 | — | — | |
| Chronos Bolt Base2025.10 | 0.021 | — | — | |
| TimesFM 2.02025.10 | 0.021 | — | — | |
| Chronos Bolt Mini2025.10 | 0.024 | — | — | |
| Seasonal Naive2025.10 | 0.037 | — | — | |
| Auto ARIMA2025.10 | 0.041 | — | — | |
| Auto ETS2025.10 | 0.118 | — | — | |
| ChronosContext length=512, Prediction horizon=962026.04 | — | 0.4388 | 0.4874 | |
| SundialContext length=512, Prediction horizon=962026.04 | — | 0.2641 | 0.3553 | |
| Time-MoEContext length=512, Prediction horizon=962026.04 | — | 0.2085 | 0.3188 | |
| TimerContext length=512, Prediction horizon=962026.04 | — | 1.4126 | 0.9399 | |
| WaveMoEContext length=512, Prediction horizon=962026.04 | — | 0.208 | 0.3152 |