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ResearchFormerly WizWand

Time Series Forecasting on GIFT-Eval bizitobs-application-60

0.014MASETimesFM 2.0 (500m)
-0.222481.373762.974.56624Oct 7, 2025Oct 31, 2025Nov 25, 2025Dec 19, 2025Jan 13, 2026Feb 6, 2026Mar 3, 2026
Updated 8mo ago

Evaluation results

MethodLinks
TimesFM 2.0 (500m)Model scale=500m2025.100.014
ChromaModel scale=tiny, Frequency setting=freq, Aggregation strategy=ens.2025.100.021
ChromaModel scale=4m, Frequency setting=freq, Aggregation strategy=ens.2025.100.026
ChromaModel scale=tiny, Frequency setting=freq, Aggregation strategy=best2025.100.031
TabPFN-TS2025.100.031
Chronos LargeModel scale=Large2025.100.032
Chronos Bolt SmallModel scale=Small2025.100.035
Auto ARIMA2025.100.035
Seasonal Naive2025.100.035
ChromaModel scale=4m, Frequency setting=freq, Aggregation strategy=best2025.100.037
Auto ETS2025.100.048
Chronos Bolt BaseModel scale=Base2025.100.054
TTM-R2 ZeroshotEvaluation protocol=Zero-shot2025.100.058
MixFTBackbone=Chronos Bolt, Fine-tuning=Enabled, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-shot forecasting2026.030.989
SharedBackbone=Chronos Bolt, Fine-tuning=Enabled, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-shot forecasting2026.031.06
PolyBackbone=Chronos Bolt, Fine-tuning=Enabled, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-shot forecasting2026.031.173
MBCBackbone=Moirai-1.1-R, Fine-tuning=Enabled, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-shot forecasting2026.031.4
MBCBackbone=Chronos Bolt, Fine-tuning=Enabled, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-shot forecasting2026.031.419
PolyBackbone=Moirai-1.1-R, Fine-tuning=Enabled, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-shot forecasting2026.031.574
MixFTBackbone=Moirai-1.1-R, Fine-tuning=Enabled, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-shot forecasting2026.032.762
SharedBackbone=Moirai-1.1-R, Fine-tuning=Enabled, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-shot forecasting2026.033.011
BaseBackbone=Chronos Bolt, Fine-tuning=Disabled, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-shot forecasting2026.033.494
mu-DatasetsBackbone=Chronos Bolt, Fine-tuning=Enabled, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-shot forecasting2026.033.691
Arrow DatasetsBackbone=Chronos Bolt, Fine-tuning=Enabled, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-shot forecasting2026.035.002
BaseBackbone=Moirai-1.1-R, Fine-tuning=Disabled, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-shot forecasting2026.035.127
mu-DatasetsBackbone=Moirai-1.1-R, Fine-tuning=Enabled, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-shot forecasting2026.035.313
Arrow DatasetsBackbone=Moirai-1.1-R, Fine-tuning=Enabled, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-shot forecasting2026.035.926