Time Series Forecasting on GIFT-Eval bizitobs-application-60
0.014MASETimesFM 2.0 (500m)
Evaluation Results
| Method | Links | |
|---|---|---|
| TimesFM 2.0 (500m)Model scale=500m2025.10 | 0.014 | |
| ChromaModel scale=tiny, Frequency setting=freq, Aggregation strategy=ens.2025.10 | 0.021 | |
| ChromaModel scale=4m, Frequency setting=freq, Aggregation strategy=ens.2025.10 | 0.026 | |
| ChromaModel scale=tiny, Frequency setting=freq, Aggregation strategy=best2025.10 | 0.031 | |
| TabPFN-TS2025.10 | 0.031 | |
| Chronos LargeModel scale=Large2025.10 | 0.032 | |
| Chronos Bolt SmallModel scale=Small2025.10 | 0.035 | |
| Auto ARIMA2025.10 | 0.035 | |
| Seasonal Naive2025.10 | 0.035 | |
| ChromaModel scale=4m, Frequency setting=freq, Aggregation strategy=best2025.10 | 0.037 | |
| Auto ETS2025.10 | 0.048 | |
| Chronos Bolt BaseModel scale=Base2025.10 | 0.054 | |
| TTM-R2 ZeroshotEvaluation protocol=Zero-shot2025.10 | 0.058 | |
| MixFTBackbone=Chronos Bolt, Fine-tuning=Enabled, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-shot forecasting2026.03 | 0.989 | |
| SharedBackbone=Chronos Bolt, Fine-tuning=Enabled, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-shot forecasting2026.03 | 1.06 | |
| PolyBackbone=Chronos Bolt, Fine-tuning=Enabled, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-shot forecasting2026.03 | 1.173 | |
| MBCBackbone=Moirai-1.1-R, Fine-tuning=Enabled, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-shot forecasting2026.03 | 1.4 | |
| MBCBackbone=Chronos Bolt, Fine-tuning=Enabled, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-shot forecasting2026.03 | 1.419 | |
| PolyBackbone=Moirai-1.1-R, Fine-tuning=Enabled, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-shot forecasting2026.03 | 1.574 | |
| MixFTBackbone=Moirai-1.1-R, Fine-tuning=Enabled, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-shot forecasting2026.03 | 2.762 | |
| SharedBackbone=Moirai-1.1-R, Fine-tuning=Enabled, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-shot forecasting2026.03 | 3.011 | |
| BaseBackbone=Chronos Bolt, Fine-tuning=Disabled, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-shot forecasting2026.03 | 3.494 | |
| mu-DatasetsBackbone=Chronos Bolt, Fine-tuning=Enabled, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-shot forecasting2026.03 | 3.691 | |
| Arrow DatasetsBackbone=Chronos Bolt, Fine-tuning=Enabled, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-shot forecasting2026.03 | 5.002 | |
| BaseBackbone=Moirai-1.1-R, Fine-tuning=Disabled, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-shot forecasting2026.03 | 5.127 | |
| mu-DatasetsBackbone=Moirai-1.1-R, Fine-tuning=Enabled, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-shot forecasting2026.03 | 5.313 | |
| Arrow DatasetsBackbone=Moirai-1.1-R, Fine-tuning=Enabled, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-shot forecasting2026.03 | 5.926 |