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ResearchFormerly WizWand

Time Series Forecasting on Electricity (MSE)

0.14MSEOurs^cd
0.11020.311350.51250.71365Feb 5, 2025Apr 28, 2025Jul 20, 2025Oct 11, 2025Jan 2, 2026Mar 26, 2026Jun 17, 2026
Updated 4mo ago

Evaluation results

MethodLinks
Ours^cdconditional decoding=true, mode=zero-shot foundation, tokenization=motif-based2025.050.14
TTMs-SFFBackbone=TTMs, Fine-tuning Protocol=SFF, Prediction Length=962026.060.149
Oursconditional decoding=false, mode=zero-shot foundation, tokenization=motif-based2025.050.15
TTMs-FFBackbone=TTMs, Fine-tuning Protocol=FF, Prediction Length=962026.060.151
SpecReTFlookback_window_length=720, forecasting_horizons=96, 192, 336, 7202026.060.157
RAFTlookback_window_length=720, forecasting_horizons=96, 192, 336, 7202026.060.162
DLinearlookback_window_length=720, forecasting_horizons=96, 192, 336, 7202026.060.164
Non-stationarymode=task-specific training, tokenization=every sample, layers=22025.050.17
Autoformermode=task-specific training, tokenization=every sample, layers=22025.050.18
MICNlookback_window_length=720, forecasting_horizons=96, 192, 336, 7202026.060.184
GTMEvaluation Setting=Zero-shot, Forecasting length=962025.020.187
PatchTSTlookback_window_length=720, forecasting_horizons=96, 192, 336, 7202026.060.188
TIMER-1BEvaluation Setting=Zero-shot, Forecasting length=962025.020.192
Stationarylookback_window_length=720, forecasting_horizons=96, 192, 336, 7202026.060.192
FEDformermode=task-specific training, tokenization=every sample, layers=22025.050.2
TimesNetlookback_window_length=720, forecasting_horizons=96, 192, 336, 7202026.060.204
MOIRAI-SEvaluation Setting=Zero-shot, Forecasting length=962025.020.212
MOIRAI-SFFBackbone=MOIRAI, Fine-tuning Protocol=SFF, Prediction Length=962026.060.221
MOIRAI-FFBackbone=MOIRAI, Fine-tuning Protocol=FF, Prediction Length=962026.060.226
Autoformerlookback_window_length=720, forecasting_horizons=96, 192, 336, 7202026.060.24
Transformermode=task-specific training, tokenization=every sample, layers=22025.050.25
FEDformerlookback_window_length=720, forecasting_horizons=96, 192, 336, 7202026.060.274
Informermode=task-specific training, tokenization=every sample, layers=22025.050.3
UniTS-SFFBackbone=UniTS, Fine-tuning Protocol=SFF, Prediction Length=962026.060.309
Informerlookback_window_length=720, forecasting_horizons=96, 192, 336, 7202026.060.42
UniTS-FFBackbone=UniTS, Fine-tuning Protocol=FF, Prediction Length=962026.060.476
MOMENTEvaluation Setting=Zero-shot, Forecasting length=962025.020.744
Chronos-SFFBackbone=Chronos, Fine-tuning Protocol=SFF, Prediction Length=962026.060.861
Chronos-FFBackbone=Chronos, Fine-tuning Protocol=FF, Prediction Length=962026.060.885