Time Series Forecasting on Electricity (MSE)
0.14MSEOurs^cd
Evaluation Results
| Method | Links | |
|---|---|---|
| Ours^cdconditional decoding=true, mode=zero-shot foundation, tokenization=motif-based2025.05 | 0.14 | |
| TTMs-SFFBackbone=TTMs, Fine-tuning Protocol=SFF, Prediction Length=962026.06 | 0.149 | |
| Oursconditional decoding=false, mode=zero-shot foundation, tokenization=motif-based2025.05 | 0.15 | |
| TTMs-FFBackbone=TTMs, Fine-tuning Protocol=FF, Prediction Length=962026.06 | 0.151 | |
| SpecReTFlookback_window_length=720, forecasting_horizons=96, 192, 336, 7202026.06 | 0.157 | |
| RAFTlookback_window_length=720, forecasting_horizons=96, 192, 336, 7202026.06 | 0.162 | |
| DLinearlookback_window_length=720, forecasting_horizons=96, 192, 336, 7202026.06 | 0.164 | |
| Non-stationarymode=task-specific training, tokenization=every sample, layers=22025.05 | 0.17 | |
| Autoformermode=task-specific training, tokenization=every sample, layers=22025.05 | 0.18 | |
| MICNlookback_window_length=720, forecasting_horizons=96, 192, 336, 7202026.06 | 0.184 | |
| GTMEvaluation Setting=Zero-shot, Forecasting length=962025.02 | 0.187 | |
| PatchTSTlookback_window_length=720, forecasting_horizons=96, 192, 336, 7202026.06 | 0.188 | |
| TIMER-1BEvaluation Setting=Zero-shot, Forecasting length=962025.02 | 0.192 | |
| Stationarylookback_window_length=720, forecasting_horizons=96, 192, 336, 7202026.06 | 0.192 | |
| FEDformermode=task-specific training, tokenization=every sample, layers=22025.05 | 0.2 | |
| TimesNetlookback_window_length=720, forecasting_horizons=96, 192, 336, 7202026.06 | 0.204 | |
| MOIRAI-SEvaluation Setting=Zero-shot, Forecasting length=962025.02 | 0.212 | |
| MOIRAI-SFFBackbone=MOIRAI, Fine-tuning Protocol=SFF, Prediction Length=962026.06 | 0.221 | |
| MOIRAI-FFBackbone=MOIRAI, Fine-tuning Protocol=FF, Prediction Length=962026.06 | 0.226 | |
| Autoformerlookback_window_length=720, forecasting_horizons=96, 192, 336, 7202026.06 | 0.24 | |
| Transformermode=task-specific training, tokenization=every sample, layers=22025.05 | 0.25 | |
| FEDformerlookback_window_length=720, forecasting_horizons=96, 192, 336, 7202026.06 | 0.274 | |
| Informermode=task-specific training, tokenization=every sample, layers=22025.05 | 0.3 | |
| UniTS-SFFBackbone=UniTS, Fine-tuning Protocol=SFF, Prediction Length=962026.06 | 0.309 | |
| Informerlookback_window_length=720, forecasting_horizons=96, 192, 336, 7202026.06 | 0.42 | |
| UniTS-FFBackbone=UniTS, Fine-tuning Protocol=FF, Prediction Length=962026.06 | 0.476 | |
| MOMENTEvaluation Setting=Zero-shot, Forecasting length=962025.02 | 0.744 | |
| Chronos-SFFBackbone=Chronos, Fine-tuning Protocol=SFF, Prediction Length=962026.06 | 0.861 | |
| Chronos-FFBackbone=Chronos, Fine-tuning Protocol=FF, Prediction Length=962026.06 | 0.885 |