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ResearchFormerly WizWand

Long-term forecasting on Weather (MSE, MAE)

0.147MSEGTM
0.110520.356760.6030.84924Feb 5, 2025Apr 13, 2025Jun 19, 2025Aug 25, 2025Oct 31, 2025Jan 6, 2026Mar 14, 2026
Updated 7mo ago

Evaluation results

MethodLinks
GTMPred_len=962025.020.1470.197
GTMT=962025.020.1470.197
PatchTSTT=962025.020.1490.198
Time-MOE-bPred_len=962025.020.1510.203
TTMET=962025.020.154—
UniTS-PMTT=962025.020.1570.206
Sundial-sPred_len=962025.020.1580.206
GPT4TST=962025.020.1620.212
TimesNet + xCPDBackbone=TimesNet, Forecasting Horizon=962026.030.1640.212
PatchTST + xCPDBackbone=PatchTST, Forecasting Horizon=962026.030.1670.218
TimesNetT=962025.020.1720.22
DLinearT=962025.020.1760.237
GTMPred_len=1922025.020.1920.241
GTMT=1922025.020.1920.241
PatchTSTT=1922025.020.1940.241
Time-MOE-bPred_len=1922025.020.1950.246
GPT4TST=1922025.020.2040.248
Sundial-sPred_len=1922025.020.2050.253
TTMET=1922025.020.207—
UniTS-PMTT=1922025.020.2080.251
TimesNetT=1922025.020.2190.261
DLinearT=1922025.020.220.282
GTMPred_len=Avg.2025.020.2250.266
GTMstatus=pre-trained without modifications2025.020.2250.266
PatchTST2025.020.2250.263
GTMT=Avg2025.020.2250.266
PatchTSTT=Avg2025.020.2250.263
Sundial-sPred_len=Avg.2025.020.2330.271
TTM_E2025.020.234—
TTMET=Avg2025.020.234—
Time-MOE-bPred_len=Avg.2025.020.2360.275
GPT4TS2025.020.2370.27
GPT4TST=Avg2025.020.2370.27
FEDformerT=962025.020.2380.314
UniTS-PMT2025.020.2430.273
UniTS-PMTT=Avg2025.020.2430.273
PatchTSTT=3362025.020.2450.282
DLinear2025.020.2460.3
DLinearT=Avg2025.020.2460.3
Time-MOE-bPred_len=3362025.020.2470.288
AutoformerT=962025.020.2490.329
GTMPred_len=3362025.020.250.291
GTMT=3362025.020.250.291
TTMET=3362025.020.25—
Sundial-sPred_len=3362025.020.2540.29
GPT4TST=3362025.020.2540.286
FeDaLPretraining Paradigm=FL Pretraining, Zero-shot=true, Observation lengths={512, 1024, 2048, 3072}, Forecasting horizons={96, 192, 336, 720}, Data Scale=231B, Params#=28.42M2025.080.2550.284
Time-MoEuPretraining Paradigm=Centralized, Zero-shot=true, Observation lengths={512, 1024, 2048, 3072}, Forecasting horizons={96, 192, 336, 720}, Data Scale=300B, Params#=2.4B2025.080.2560.288
TimesNet2025.020.2590.287
TimesNetT=Avg2025.020.2590.287
FFTSPretraining Paradigm=FL Pretraining, Zero-shot=true, Observation lengths={512, 1024, 2048, 3072}, Forecasting horizons={96, 192, 336, 720}, Data Scale=231B, Params#=31.18M2025.080.2620.3
UniTS-PMTT=3362025.020.2640.291
MoirailPretraining Paradigm=Centralized, Zero-shot=true, Observation lengths={512, 1024, 2048, 3072}, Forecasting horizons={96, 192, 336, 720}, Data Scale=231B, Params#=91M2025.080.2640.273
DLinearT=3362025.020.2650.319
Time-MoEbPretraining Paradigm=Centralized, Zero-shot=true, Observation lengths={512, 1024, 2048, 3072}, Forecasting horizons={96, 192, 336, 720}, Data Scale=300B, Params#=113M2025.080.2650.297
Time-MoElPretraining Paradigm=Centralized, Zero-shot=true, Observation lengths={512, 1024, 2048, 3072}, Forecasting horizons={96, 192, 336, 720}, Data Scale=300B, Params#=453M2025.080.270.3
FedAvgPretraining Paradigm=FL Pretraining, Zero-shot=true, Observation lengths={512, 1024, 2048, 3072}, Forecasting horizons={96, 192, 336, 720}, Data Scale=231B, Params#=28.42M2025.080.2770.305
ChronoslPretraining Paradigm=Centralized, Zero-shot=true, Observation lengths={512, 1024, 2048, 3072}, Forecasting horizons={96, 192, 336, 720}, Data Scale=84B, Params#=710M2025.080.2790.306
TimesNetT=3362025.020.280.306
MoiraibPretraining Paradigm=Centralized, Zero-shot=true, Observation lengths={512, 1024, 2048, 3072}, Forecasting horizons={96, 192, 336, 720}, Data Scale=231B, Params#=84M2025.080.2870.281
ChronosbPretraining Paradigm=Centralized, Zero-shot=true, Observation lengths={512, 1024, 2048, 3072}, Forecasting horizons={96, 192, 336, 720}, Data Scale=84B, Params#=200M2025.080.2920.315
MomentPretraining Paradigm=Centralized, Zero-shot=true, Observation lengths={512, 1024, 2048, 3072}, Forecasting horizons={96, 192, 336, 720}, Data Scale=1.13B, Params#=385M2025.080.2940.326
InformerT=962025.020.30.384
GTMPred_len=7202025.020.310.334
GTMT=7202025.020.310.334
PatchTSTT=7202025.020.3140.334
Sundial-sPred_len=7202025.020.3150.336
DLinearT=7202025.020.3230.362
TTMET=7202025.020.324—
FEDformerT=1922025.020.3250.37
AutoformerT=1922025.020.3250.37
GPT4TST=7202025.020.3260.337
FEDformer2025.020.3320.375
FEDformerT=Avg2025.020.3320.375
Autoformer2025.020.3350.379
AutoformerT=Avg2025.020.3350.379
UniTS-PMTT=7202025.020.3440.344
FEDformerT=3362025.020.3510.391
AutoformerT=3362025.020.3510.391
Time-MOE-bPred_len=7202025.020.3520.366
TimesNetT=7202025.020.3650.359
FEDformerT=7202025.020.4150.426
AutoformerT=7202025.020.4150.426
InformerT=3362025.020.5780.523
InformerT=1922025.020.5980.544
Informer2025.020.6340.548
InformerT=Avg2025.020.6340.548
InformerT=7202025.021.0590.741