Time Series Conformal Prediction on METR-LA N=20
2.95Prediction WidthGNF + ACI wrap
Evaluation results
| Method | Links | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GNF + ACI wraprole=filter, mean estimation=native one-step mean, post-processing=ACI wrap2026.06 | 2.95 | 90.4 | 26.1 | |
| GNFrole=filter, mean estimation=native one-step mean2026.06 | 3.05 | 91 | 23.6 | |
| AGACI-GROUPCGIFrole=non-filter, mean estimation=shared GPVAR mean2026.06 | 3.33 | 90 | 16.5 | |
| COPULACPTSrole=non-filter, mean estimation=shared GPVAR mean2026.06 | 3.7 | 90.7 | 7.3 | |
| STATIC-CGIFrole=non-filter (reference), mean estimation=shared GPVAR mean2026.06 | 3.99 | 90.2 | — | |
| MULTIDIMSPCIrole=non-filter, mean estimation=shared GPVAR mean2026.06 | 4.1 | 90.1 | 2.8 | |
| DIAG-GRUrole=filter, mean estimation=native one-step mean, config=no graph, diag Σt2026.06 | 4.71 | 93.2 | 18 |