Graph Time Series Conformal Prediction on METR-LA N=207
6.73Prediction WidthCOPULACPTS
Evaluation Results
| Method | Links | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| COPULACPTSBackbone=GPVAR (graph-aware), Alpha (α)=0.12026.06 | 6.73 | 91.4 | |
| ACI-PERGROUP-FACTORCGIFBackbone=GPVAR (graph-aware), Alpha (α)=0.12026.06 | 7.21 | 90.2 | |
| GNF + ACI wrapBackbone=GPVAR (graph-aware), Alpha (α)=0.12026.06 | 9 | 90.2 | |
| GNFBackbone=GPVAR (graph-aware), Alpha (α)=0.12026.06 | 9.14 | 90.2 | |
| STATIC-CGIFBackbone=GPVAR (graph-aware), Alpha (α)=0.1, variant=static Σˆ2026.06 | 11.8 | 88 | |
| MULTIDIMSPCIBackbone=GPVAR (graph-aware), Alpha (α)=0.12026.06 | 12.6 | 87.7 | |
| KALMAN-FCPBackbone=GPVAR (graph-aware), Alpha (α)=0.1, variant=tuned Kalman2026.06 | 21.2 | 90 |