Short-term forecasting on USA ILI benchmark leaderboard · SOTA2 Research

Short-term forecasting on USA ILI

28.71SMAPESTESN

Evaluation Results

Method	Links
STESN2026.03		28.71	69.28	125.66	1.85	1.22	42.52	42.25	0.18	0.22	63.05	2,011.11
GCEN2026.03		31.15	78.06	147.83	2.09	1.44	38.26	27.68	0.2	0.17	61.95	1,187.96
LSTM2026.03		31.33	89.1	187.27	2.38	1.82	58.75	65.85	0.23	0.33	89.1	—
STEN2026.03		32.49	90.69	183.59	2.43	1.78	44.76	29.15	0.24	0.19	69.86	1,122.44
STARMA2026.03		36.06	110.43	225.65	2.95	2.19	83.95	98.32	0.29	0.49	110.43	—
MVEN2026.03		37.17	119.33	245.61	3.19	2.38	52.45	30.4	0.31	0.21	87.82	1,211.44
NHiTS2026.03		39.86	118.65	128.46	2.87	1.9	91.34	107.35	0.31	0.53	118.65	—
GSTAR2026.03		41.28	128.32	238.04	3.43	2.31	101.02	119.45	0.33	0.59	128.32	—
DeepAR2026.03		45.9	120.8	267.24	3.23	2.59	60.36	42.22	0.31	0.27	95.32	1,691.99
STGCN2026.03		50.65	151.24	303.97	4.04	2.95	104.77	119.34	0.39	0.6	151.24	—
Transformers2026.03		53.91	126.97	141.12	3.29	2.15	75.89	82.09	0.33	0.42	126.97	—
TCN2026.03		57.62	177.96	185.68	4.12	2.6	135.8	159.21	0.46	0.79	177.96	—
Prob-iTransformer2026.03		81.83	292.77	611.56	7.83	5.94	187.13	163.26	0.76	0.94	251.45	6,160.7
DiffSTG2026.03		85.17	268.1	517.34	7.17	5.02	155.42	122.78	0.7	0.74	218.96	4,684.26
GpGp2026.03		103.79	410.74	657.67	10.98	6.39	200.18	137.28	1.07	0.86	336.26	6,830.05