Short-term forecasting on M4 (Others)
3.789SMAPEN-BEATS
Evaluation Results
| Method | Links | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N-BEATSensemble size=40 models2021.07 | 3.789 | — | 0.857 | — | |
| N-BEATS+TopAttnensemble size=40 models2021.07 | 3.803 | — | 0.86 | — | |
| Winner M42021.07 | 4.014 | — | 0.92 | — | |
| DeepEDMDynamical modeling=true2025.06 | 4.339 | 3.042 | 0.936 | — | |
| TimeMixer2025.06 | 4.564 | 3.115 | 0.982 | — | |
| STELLA2025.12 | 4.651 | 3.112 | 0.98 | — | |
| ROSE2024.05 | 4.668 | 3.126 | 1.02 | — | |
| Chimera2026.03 | 4.685 | 3.007 | 0.983 | — | |
| VI 2D SSM2026.03 | 4.708 | 3.165 | 0.994 | — | |
| ModernTCN2026.03 | 4.715 | 3.107 | 0.986 | — | |
| TimeMixer2026.05 | 4.739 | 3.234 | 1.014 | — | |
| KNFDynamical modeling=true2025.06 | 4.753 | 3.138 | 1.019 | — | |
| Naive22021.07 | 4.754 | — | 1 | — | |
| T-LLM2024.11 | 4.795 | 3.178 | 1.006 | — | |
| TimeLLM2025.12 | 4.795 | 3.178 | 1.006 | — | |
| S2IP-LLM2024.05 | 4.805 | 3.247 | 1.071 | — | |
| AMD2026.05 | 4.822 | 3.245 | 1.021 | — | |
| FedformerYear=20232025.05 | 4.823 | 3.243 | 1.019 | — | |
| Peri-midFormer2024.11 | 4.845 | 3.217 | 1.017 | — | |
| IdealTSFPublication Year=20252025.12 | 4.845 | 3.217 | 1.017 | — | |
| FredformerYear=20242025.05 | 4.848 | 3.23 | 1.019 | — | |
| MultiPatch2026.05 | 4.849 | 3.271 | 1.028 | — | |
| Time-o12025.05 | 4.852 | 3.274 | 1.027 | — | |
| FEDformer2026.03 | 4.86 | 3.25 | — | 1.02 | |
| KoopaDynamical modeling=true2025.06 | 4.861 | 3.124 | 1.004 | — | |
| SIGMA2026.05 | 4.867 | 3.316 | 1.037 | — | |
| TimesNet2024.05 | 4.891 | 3.302 | 1.035 | — | |
| T-Net2024.11 | 4.891 | 3.302 | 1.035 | — | |
| TimesNet2025.12 | 4.891 | 3.302 | 1.035 | — | |
| TimesNetPublication Year=2023a, Attribute=Times2025.12 | 4.891 | 3.302 | 1.035 | — | |
| TimesNet2026.03 | 4.891 | 3.302 | 1.035 | — | |
| TimesNet2025.06 | 4.891 | 3.302 | 1.035 | — | |
| BEATS2024.11 | 4.925 | 3.391 | 1.053 | — | |
| N-BEATS2025.12 | 4.925 | 3.391 | 1.053 | — | |
| BEATSPublication Year=20192025.12 | 4.925 | 3.393 | 1.053 | — | |
| N-BEATS2026.03 | 4.925 | 3.391 | 1.053 | — | |
| N-BEATS*pure forecasting=true2025.06 | 4.925 | 3.391 | 1.053 | — | |
| WPMixer2026.05 | 4.925 | 3.259 | 1.028 | — | |
| GPT4TS2024.05 | 4.94 | 3.228 | 1.029 | — | |
| GPT2024.11 | 4.94 | 3.228 | 1.029 | — | |
| GPT4TS2025.12 | 4.94 | 3.228 | 1.029 | — | |
| PatchTST2026.03 | 4.946 | 2.985 | 1.044 | — | |
| Patch2024.11 | 4.952 | 3.347 | 1.049 | — | |
| PatchTST2025.12 | 4.952 | 3.347 | 1.049 | — | |
| FED2024.11 | 4.954 | 3.264 | 1.036 | — | |
| FEDformer2025.12 | 4.954 | 3.264 | 1.036 | — | |
| FEDformer2026.03 | 4.954 | 3.264 | 1.036 | — | |
| FED.2025.06 | 4.954 | 3.264 | 1.036 | — | |
| TimesNet2026.05 | 4.978 | 3.265 | 1.048 | — | |
| Benchmark2021.07 | 4.987 | — | 1.039 | — | |
| TimeNet2026.03 | 5.02 | 3.34 | — | 1.05 | |
| HiTS2024.11 | 5.061 | 3.216 | 1.04 | — | |
| N-HiTS2025.12 | 5.061 | 3.216 | 1.04 | — | |
| HiTSPublication Year=20232025.12 | 5.061 | 3.216 | 1.043 | — | |
| N-HiTS2026.03 | 5.061 | 3.216 | 1.04 | — | |
| N-HiTS2025.06 | 5.061 | 3.216 | 1.04 | — | |
| iTransformerYear=20242025.05 | 5.101 | 3.419 | 1.076 | — | |
| DLinearYear=20232025.05 | 5.12 | 3.649 | 1.114 | — | |
| IdealTSF-MixerConfig=Mixer2025.12 | 5.125 | 1.996 | 0.812 | — | |
| GPT4TS2026.03 | 5.29 | 3.62 | — | 1.12 | |
| One-for-All2026.03 | 5.37 | 3.66 | — | 1.14 | |
| LightTS2026.03 | 5.38 | 3.44 | — | 1.11 | |
| AutoFormer=true2024.11 | 5.485 | 3.865 | 1.187 | — | |
| Autoformer2025.12 | 5.485 | 3.865 | 1.187 | — | |
| Autoformer2026.03 | 5.485 | 3.865 | 1.187 | — | |
| Auto.2025.06 | 5.485 | 3.865 | 1.187 | — | |
| iTransformer2024.05 | 5.511 | 4.511 | 1.401 | — | |
| MSGNet2026.05 | 5.521 | 3.829 | 1.174 | — | |
| FreTSYear=20232025.05 | 5.563 | 3.71 | 1.17 | — | |
| ETSformer2026.03 | 5.72 | 4.13 | — | 1.25 | |
| LightTSPublication Year=20222025.12 | 5.88 | 4.064 | 1.34 | — | |
| Pyra.2026.05 | 6.115 | 4.156 | 1.282 | — | |
| MICN2026.05 | 6.123 | 4.196 | 1.3 | — | |
| MICNYear=20232025.05 | 6.137 | 4.201 | 1.308 | — | |
| Station2024.11 | 6.302 | 4.064 | 1.304 | — | |
| Stationary2026.03 | 6.302 | 4.064 | 1.304 | — | |
| Stationary2025.06 | 6.302 | 4.064 | 1.304 | — | |
| Informer2026.03 | 6.41 | 4.32 | — | 1.35 | |
| PatchTSTPublication Year=2023, Attribute=TST2025.12 | 6.558 | 4.154 | 1.401 | — | |
| PatchTST2025.06 | 6.558 | 4.511 | 1.401 | — | |
| Reformer2026.03 | 6.58 | 4.49 | — | 1.4 | |
| Autoformer2026.03 | 6.66 | 4.79 | — | 1.45 | |
| PatchTST2024.05 | 6.667 | 4.834 | 1.417 | — | |
| Dlinear2024.05 | 6.709 | 4.953 | 1.487 | — | |
| DLinear2024.11 | 6.709 | 4.953 | 1.487 | — | |
| DLinear2025.12 | 6.709 | 4.953 | 1.487 | — | |
| DLinearPublication Year=20232025.12 | 6.709 | 4.953 | 1.187 | — | |
| DLinear2026.03 | 6.709 | 4.953 | 1.487 | — | |
| DLinear2025.06 | 6.709 | 4.953 | 1.487 | — | |
| FiLMPublication Year=2022a2025.12 | 7.134 | 4.364 | 1.353 | — | |
| FiLM2025.06 | 7.134 | 5.09 | 1.553 | — | |
| TCN2025.12 | 7.186 | 4.677 | 1.494 | — | |
| ETSFormer=true2024.11 | 7.267 | 5.24 | 1.591 | — | |
| ETSformer2025.12 | 7.267 | 5.24 | 1.591 | — | |
| ETSformer2026.03 | 7.267 | 5.24 | 1.591 | — | |
| Light2024.11 | 15.88 | 11.434 | 3.474 | — | |
| LightTS2026.03 | 15.88 | 11.434 | 3.474 | — | |
| LightTS2025.06 | 15.88 | 11.434 | 3.474 | — | |
| SCINetPublication Year=2022a2025.12 | 16.655 | 4.511 | 1.263 | — | |
| InFormer=true2024.11 | 24.46 | 20.96 | 5.879 | — |