Short-term forecasting on Japan TB
21.3SMAPEGCEN
Evaluation results
| Method | Links | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GCENModel Category=ST-Engression2026.03 | 21.3 | 5.29 | 9.39 | 0.62 | 0.7 | 1.9 | 0.91 | 0.16 | 0.08 | 4.23 | 79.05 | |
| LSTMModel Category=Temporal2026.03 | 22.04 | 6.09 | 11.18 | 0.71 | 0.84 | 1.82 | 1.21 | 0.19 | 0.09 | 6.09 | — | |
| NHiTSModel Category=Temporal2026.03 | 22.58 | 6.09 | 7.04 | 0.63 | 0.58 | 2.15 | 1.71 | 0.19 | 0.11 | 6.09 | — | |
| TransformersModel Category=Temporal2026.03 | 22.79 | 5.8 | 6.78 | 0.63 | 0.58 | 2.3 | 2 | 0.18 | 0.13 | 5.8 | — | |
| STENModel Category=ST-Engression2026.03 | 23.1 | 6.46 | 11.78 | 0.75 | 0.88 | 2.05 | 0.85 | 0.2 | 0.08 | 5.14 | 95.13 | |
| GSTARModel Category=Spatiotemporal2026.03 | 23.24 | 5.67 | 8.99 | 0.66 | 0.67 | 2.88 | 2.9 | 0.17 | 0.18 | 5.67 | — | |
| STESNModel Category=Probabilistic2026.03 | 23.42 | 5.61 | 9.18 | 0.65 | 0.69 | 2.14 | 1.56 | 0.17 | 0.09 | 5.12 | 164.18 | |
| MVENModel Category=ST-Engression2026.03 | 23.99 | 6.82 | 12.39 | 0.79 | 0.93 | 1.99 | 0.8 | 0.21 | 0.08 | 5.97 | 172.63 | |
| DeepARModel Category=Spatiotemporal / Probabilistic2026.03 | 25.57 | 7.48 | 13.24 | 0.87 | 0.99 | 2.82 | 1.04 | 0.23 | 0.11 | 5.31 | 48.41 | |
| STARMAModel Category=Spatiotemporal2026.03 | 27.7 | 6.46 | 11.11 | 0.75 | 0.83 | 2.7 | 2.43 | 0.2 | 0.15 | 6.46 | — | |
| TCNModel Category=Temporal2026.03 | 30.26 | 9.08 | 10.19 | 0.93 | 0.84 | 2.58 | 1.6 | 0.28 | 0.12 | 9.08 | — | |
| Prob-iTransformerModel Category=Probabilistic2026.03 | 35.32 | 10.86 | 20.67 | 1.26 | 1.55 | 3.75 | 1.28 | 0.33 | 0.13 | 7.8 | 70.02 | |
| STGCNModel Category=Spatiotemporal2026.03 | 41.16 | 14.99 | 26.03 | 1.74 | 1.95 | 3.09 | 0.89 | 0.46 | 0.1 | 14.99 | — | |
| DiffSTGModel Category=Probabilistic2026.03 | 64.37 | 19.95 | 26.38 | 2.32 | 1.98 | 9.31 | 3.82 | 0.61 | 0.38 | 14.25 | 132.89 | |
| GpGpModel Category=Probabilistic2026.03 | 98.26 | 42.81 | 52.12 | 4.98 | 3.9 | 20.44 | 8.18 | 1.32 | 0.81 | 30.81 | 308.61 |