Short-term forecasting on Hungary Chickenpox benchmark leaderboard · SOTA2 Research

Short-term forecasting on Hungary Chickenpox

76.78SMAPEMVEN

Evaluation Results

Method	Links
MVEN2026.03		76.78	20.74	35.27	1.08	1.11	9.4	6.22	0.67	0.49	16.27	290.08
STEN2026.03		78.19	21.74	35.52	1.13	1.12	10.6	8.97	0.7	0.63	19.13	548.79
NHiTS2026.03		78.75	22.17	26.89	1.07	0.84	10.76	10.6	0.71	0.68	22.17	—
TCN2026.03		78.95	22.59	27.1	1.08	0.84	10.99	10.84	0.72	0.7	22.59	—
STARMA2026.03		79.29	20.92	37.8	1.09	1.19	12.5	13.52	0.67	0.85	20.92	—
GCEN2026.03		80.24	20.54	36.19	1.07	1.14	10.52	8.58	0.66	0.61	17.32	420.7
Transformers2026.03		81.2	24.05	27.75	1.17	0.87	10.25	9.36	0.77	0.62	24.05	—
STESN2026.03		82.65	23.69	36.34	1.23	1.14	10.7	9.54	0.76	0.63	22.5	798.71
LSTM2026.03		84.27	23.65	38.34	1.23	1.2	12.16	12.32	0.76	0.79	23.65	—
DeepAR2026.03		84.79	25.46	36.06	1.33	1.13	9.58	3.98	0.82	0.41	18.02	147.45
Prob-iTransformer2026.03		85.22	21.99	38.26	1.14	1.2	11.25	6.81	0.7	0.57	16.95	235.52
DiffSTG2026.03		85.81	25.01	41.31	1.3	1.3	12.25	7.29	0.8	0.6	18.9	262.94
GpGp2026.03		86.41	24.36	44.82	1.27	1.41	12.82	7.82	0.77	0.64	19.72	324.32
STGCN2026.03		86.42	27.21	39.68	1.42	1.25	11.28	10.11	0.87	0.67	27.21	—
GSTAR2026.03		94.54	22.37	40	1.16	1.26	14.88	16.72	0.72	1.03	22.37	—