Short-term forecasting on Colombia Dengue
29.24SMAPEGCEN
Evaluation results
| Method | Links | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GCENModel Category=ST-Engression2026.03 | 29.24 | 8.31 | 13.14 | 1.12 | 0.86 | 3.73 | 2.35 | 0.16 | 0.12 | 6.49 | 112.29 | |
| STARMAModel Category=Spatiotemporal2026.03 | 30.97 | 7.99 | 12.73 | 1.08 | 0.84 | 4.58 | 4.88 | 0.16 | 0.19 | 7.99 | — | |
| LSTMModel Category=Temporal2026.03 | 32.7 | 13.42 | 30.24 | 1.82 | 1.98 | 8.23 | 9 | 0.26 | 0.34 | 13.42 | — | |
| Prob-iTransformerModel Category=Probabilistic2026.03 | 35.22 | 23.25 | 73.55 | 3.15 | 4.83 | 12.28 | 9.35 | 0.45 | 0.41 | 18.73 | 368.89 | |
| GSTARModel Category=Spatiotemporal2026.03 | 35.89 | 12.3 | 24.94 | 1.67 | 1.64 | 6.63 | 6.87 | 0.24 | 0.26 | 12.3 | — | |
| STENModel Category=ST-Engression2026.03 | 36.2 | 8.24 | 13.22 | 1.12 | 0.86 | 3.72 | 2.12 | 0.16 | 0.11 | 6.42 | 95.18 | |
| MVENModel Category=ST-Engression2026.03 | 43.32 | 12.22 | 23.28 | 1.66 | 1.53 | 6.22 | 5.29 | 0.24 | 0.22 | 10.16 | 230.14 | |
| NHiTSModel Category=Temporal2026.03 | 48.98 | 16.23 | 17.94 | 2.08 | 1.4 | 10.21 | 11.26 | 0.32 | 0.42 | 16.23 | — | |
| TransformersModel Category=Temporal2026.03 | 50.37 | 13.29 | 15.05 | 2.02 | 1.31 | 7.44 | 7.83 | 0.26 | 0.3 | 13.29 | — | |
| STESNModel Category=Probabilistic2026.03 | 51.02 | 13.41 | 21.74 | 1.82 | 1.43 | 5.96 | 4.87 | 0.26 | 0.2 | 11.94 | 361.49 | |
| DiffSTGModel Category=Probabilistic2026.03 | 61.42 | 24.05 | 62.72 | 3.26 | 4.12 | 12.97 | 10.26 | 0.46 | 0.44 | 19.53 | 414.97 | |
| DeepARModel Category=Spatiotemporal / Probabilistic2026.03 | 65.61 | 26.43 | 55.67 | 3.58 | 3.65 | 12.15 | 8.2 | 0.51 | 0.39 | 20.27 | 342.37 | |
| TCNModel Category=Temporal2026.03 | 73.73 | 43.36 | 44.49 | 4.69 | 2.88 | 20.78 | 20.33 | 0.84 | 0.8 | 43.36 | — | |
| STGCNModel Category=Spatiotemporal2026.03 | 82.81 | 44.55 | 96.36 | 6.04 | 6.32 | 25.72 | 27.45 | 0.87 | 1.04 | 44.55 | — | |
| GpGpModel Category=Probabilistic2026.03 | 105.96 | 48.33 | 97.92 | 6.55 | 6.43 | 26.96 | 16.95 | 0.94 | 0.83 | 41.88 | 717.57 |