Short-term forecasting on Colombia Dengue benchmark leaderboard · SOTA2 Research

Short-term forecasting on Colombia Dengue

29.24SMAPEGCEN

Evaluation Results

Method	Links
GCEN2026.03		29.24	8.31	13.14	1.12	0.86	3.73	2.35	0.16	0.12	6.49	112.29
STARMA2026.03		30.97	7.99	12.73	1.08	0.84	4.58	4.88	0.16	0.19	7.99	—
LSTM2026.03		32.7	13.42	30.24	1.82	1.98	8.23	9	0.26	0.34	13.42	—
Prob-iTransformer2026.03		35.22	23.25	73.55	3.15	4.83	12.28	9.35	0.45	0.41	18.73	368.89
GSTAR2026.03		35.89	12.3	24.94	1.67	1.64	6.63	6.87	0.24	0.26	12.3	—
STEN2026.03		36.2	8.24	13.22	1.12	0.86	3.72	2.12	0.16	0.11	6.42	95.18
MVEN2026.03		43.32	12.22	23.28	1.66	1.53	6.22	5.29	0.24	0.22	10.16	230.14
NHiTS2026.03		48.98	16.23	17.94	2.08	1.4	10.21	11.26	0.32	0.42	16.23	—
Transformers2026.03		50.37	13.29	15.05	2.02	1.31	7.44	7.83	0.26	0.3	13.29	—
STESN2026.03		51.02	13.41	21.74	1.82	1.43	5.96	4.87	0.26	0.2	11.94	361.49
DiffSTG2026.03		61.42	24.05	62.72	3.26	4.12	12.97	10.26	0.46	0.44	19.53	414.97
DeepAR2026.03		65.61	26.43	55.67	3.58	3.65	12.15	8.2	0.51	0.39	20.27	342.37
TCN2026.03		73.73	43.36	44.49	4.69	2.88	20.78	20.33	0.84	0.8	43.36	—
STGCN2026.03		82.81	44.55	96.36	6.04	6.32	25.72	27.45	0.87	1.04	44.55	—
GpGp2026.03		105.96	48.33	97.92	6.55	6.43	26.96	16.95	0.94	0.83	41.88	717.57