Short-term forecasting on China TB
12.59SMAPEGCEN
Evaluation results
| Method | Links | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GCENModel Category=ST-Engression2026.03 | 12.59 | 295.58 | 677.79 | 1.18 | 0.79 | 144.95 | 125.05 | 0.14 | 0.13 | 259.17 | 7,600.06 | |
| NHiTSModel Category=Temporal2026.03 | 14.55 | 436.29 | 531.64 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 163.04 | 135.48 | 0.21 | 0.14 | 436.29 | — | |
| LSTMModel Category=Temporal2026.03 | 14.63 | 360.46 | 816.36 | 1.44 | 0.95 | 164.61 | 156.8 | 0.18 | 0.15 | 360.46 | — | |
| STENModel Category=ST-Engression2026.03 | 14.73 | 342.05 | 794.24 | 1.37 | 0.93 | 167.67 | 143.11 | 0.17 | 0.15 | 303.31 | 8,890.56 | |
| MVENModel Category=ST-Engression2026.03 | 15.88 | 391.07 | 807.22 | 1.56 | 0.94 | 172.31 | 125.57 | 0.19 | 0.14 | 335.04 | 8,369.24 | |
| STESNModel Category=Probabilistic2026.03 | 18.93 | 468.06 | 803.85 | 1.87 | 0.94 | 163.84 | 120.92 | 0.18 | 0.1 | 448.6 | 15,678.32 | |
| TransformersModel Category=Temporal2026.03 | 19.06 | 475.54 | 516.28 | 1.66 | 1.28 | 168.98 | 134.59 | 0.23 | 0.14 | 475.54 | — | |
| DeepARModel Category=Spatiotemporal / Probabilistic2026.03 | 19.73 | 494.89 | 871.08 | 1.98 | 1.02 | 212.44 | 124.89 | 0.24 | 0.16 | 402.43 | 6,767.63 | |
| STARMAModel Category=Spatiotemporal2026.03 | 20.86 | 292.29 | 427.14 | 1.17 | 0.5 | 95.97 | 70.89 | 0.14 | 0.08 | 292.29 | — | |
| STGCNModel Category=Spatiotemporal2026.03 | 21.09 | 606.41 | 1,401.16 | 2.42 | 1.63 | 194.49 | 140.14 | 0.29 | 0.15 | 606.41 | — | |
| GSTARModel Category=Spatiotemporal2026.03 | 21.6 | 490.91 | 728.55 | 1.96 | 0.85 | 150.69 | 103.31 | 0.24 | 0.12 | 490.91 | — | |
| TCNModel Category=Temporal2026.03 | 27.81 | 578.56 | 618.39 | 2.18 | 1.66 | 293.54 | 295.67 | 0.28 | 0.29 | 578.56 | — | |
| GpGpModel Category=Probabilistic2026.03 | 63.65 | 1,217.47 | 1,677.44 | 4.87 | 1.96 | 530.33 | 243.03 | 0.59 | 0.36 | 925.29 | 10,336.87 | |
| DiffSTGModel Category=Probabilistic2026.03 | 65.03 | 1,291.81 | 1,682.44 | 5.17 | 1.96 | 631.04 | 262.48 | 0.63 | 0.42 | 1,023.12 | 11,141.4 | |
| Prob-iTransformerModel Category=Probabilistic2026.03 | 123.04 | 1,756.88 | 2,365.15 | 7.03 | 2.76 | 1,214.66 | 1,128.4 | 0.85 | 1.19 | 1,560.92 | 41,308.55 |