Short-term forecasting on China TB benchmark leaderboard · SOTA2 Research

Short-term forecasting on China TB

12.59SMAPEGCEN

Evaluation Results

Method	Links
GCEN2026.03		12.59	295.58	677.79	1.18	0.79	144.95	125.05	0.14	0.13	259.17	7,600.06
NHiTS2026.03		14.55	436.29	531.64	1.2	0.9	163.04	135.48	0.21	0.14	436.29	—
LSTM2026.03		14.63	360.46	816.36	1.44	0.95	164.61	156.8	0.18	0.15	360.46	—
STEN2026.03		14.73	342.05	794.24	1.37	0.93	167.67	143.11	0.17	0.15	303.31	8,890.56
MVEN2026.03		15.88	391.07	807.22	1.56	0.94	172.31	125.57	0.19	0.14	335.04	8,369.24
STESN2026.03		18.93	468.06	803.85	1.87	0.94	163.84	120.92	0.18	0.1	448.6	15,678.32
Transformers2026.03		19.06	475.54	516.28	1.66	1.28	168.98	134.59	0.23	0.14	475.54	—
DeepAR2026.03		19.73	494.89	871.08	1.98	1.02	212.44	124.89	0.24	0.16	402.43	6,767.63
STARMA2026.03		20.86	292.29	427.14	1.17	0.5	95.97	70.89	0.14	0.08	292.29	—
STGCN2026.03		21.09	606.41	1,401.16	2.42	1.63	194.49	140.14	0.29	0.15	606.41	—
GSTAR2026.03		21.6	490.91	728.55	1.96	0.85	150.69	103.31	0.24	0.12	490.91	—
TCN2026.03		27.81	578.56	618.39	2.18	1.66	293.54	295.67	0.28	0.29	578.56	—
GpGp2026.03		63.65	1,217.47	1,677.44	4.87	1.96	530.33	243.03	0.59	0.36	925.29	10,336.87
DiffSTG2026.03		65.03	1,291.81	1,682.44	5.17	1.96	631.04	262.48	0.63	0.42	1,023.12	11,141.4
Prob-iTransformer2026.03		123.04	1,756.88	2,365.15	7.03	2.76	1,214.66	1,128.4	0.85	1.19	1,560.92	41,308.55