Short-term forecasting on Belgium COVID-19 benchmark leaderboard · SOTA2 Research

Short-term forecasting on Belgium COVID-19

46.99SMAPEGCEN

Evaluation Results

Method	Links
GCEN2026.03		46.99	55.13	82.02	0.28	0.17	22.2	10.17	0.31	0.18	42.38	561.29
MVEN2026.03		61.6	86.08	114.83	0.44	0.22	30.11	11.35	0.49	0.22	60.71	599.41
STESN2026.03		62.4	87.14	134.65	0.44	0.27	46.05	45.8	0.49	0.52	84.51	3,160.21
STEN2026.03		68.02	103.29	140.29	0.53	0.29	38.3	20.93	0.58	0.32	81.44	1,499.49
LSTM2026.03		70.71	81.52	107.67	0.42	0.22	48.11	51.79	0.45	0.55	81.52	—
NHiTS2026.03		72.37	90.76	115.59	0.49	0.27	35.59	30.7	0.51	0.36	90.76	—
DeepAR2026.03		73.27	117.87	156.11	0.6	0.32	47.62	20.47	0.67	0.36	83.58	761.72
Prob-iTransformer2026.03		78.65	119.8	172.89	0.61	0.35	51.68	24.25	0.67	0.41	90.34	1,227.73
TCN2026.03		82.72	177.6	203.19	0.89	0.45	49.25	29.47	1	0.41	177.6	—
DiffSTG2026.03		86.7	157.74	174.38	0.81	0.36	59.58	23.16	0.9	0.43	111.87	867.9
Transformers2026.03		97.49	126.95	151.97	0.66	0.35	80.64	89.22	0.72	0.97	126.95	—
STARMA2026.03		97.49	132.48	189.31	0.68	0.39	98.06	113.96	0.75	1.23	132.48	—
STGCN2026.03		105.22	343.76	421.59	1.76	0.86	69.72	18.64	1.94	0.4	343.76	—
GSTAR2026.03		109.5	141.8	207	0.72	0.42	93.15	104.28	0.8	1.13	141.8	—
GpGp2026.03		126.89	232.83	293.61	1.19	0.6	287.23	141.83	1.29	2.49	440.5	6,796.43