Short-term forecasting on Belgium COVID-19
46.99SMAPEGCEN
Evaluation results
| Method | Links | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GCENModel Category=ST-Engression2026.03 | 46.99 | 55.13 | 82.02 | 0.28 | 0.17 | 22.2 | 10.17 | 0.31 | 0.18 | 42.38 | 561.29 | |
| MVENModel Category=ST-Engression2026.03 | 61.6 | 86.08 | 114.83 | 0.44 | 0.22 | 30.11 | 11.35 | 0.49 | 0.22 | 60.71 | 599.41 | |
| STESNModel Category=Probabilistic2026.03 | 62.4 | 87.14 | 134.65 | 0.44 | 0.27 | 46.05 | 45.8 | 0.49 | 0.52 | 84.51 | 3,160.21 | |
| STENModel Category=ST-Engression2026.03 | 68.02 | 103.29 | 140.29 | 0.53 | 0.29 | 38.3 | 20.93 | 0.58 | 0.32 | 81.44 | 1,499.49 | |
| LSTMModel Category=Temporal2026.03 | 70.71 | 81.52 | 107.67 | 0.42 | 0.22 | 48.11 | 51.79 | 0.45 | 0.55 | 81.52 | — | |
| NHiTSModel Category=Temporal2026.03 | 72.37 | 90.76 | 115.59 | 0.49 | 0.27 | 35.59 | 30.7 | 0.51 | 0.36 | 90.76 | — | |
| DeepARModel Category=Spatiotemporal / Probabilistic2026.03 | 73.27 | 117.87 | 156.11 | 0.6 | 0.32 | 47.62 | 20.47 | 0.67 | 0.36 | 83.58 | 761.72 | |
| Prob-iTransformerModel Category=Probabilistic2026.03 | 78.65 | 119.8 | 172.89 | 0.61 | 0.35 | 51.68 | 24.25 | 0.67 | 0.41 | 90.34 | 1,227.73 | |
| TCNModel Category=Temporal2026.03 | 82.72 | 177.6 | 203.19 | 0.89 | 0.45 | 49.25 | 29.47 | 1 | 0.41 | 177.6 | — | |
| DiffSTGModel Category=Probabilistic2026.03 | 86.7 | 157.74 | 174.38 | 0.81 | 0.36 | 59.58 | 23.16 | 0.9 | 0.43 | 111.87 | 867.9 | |
| TransformersModel Category=Temporal2026.03 | 97.49 | 126.95 | 151.97 | 0.66 | 0.35 | 80.64 | 89.22 | 0.72 | 0.97 | 126.95 | — | |
| STARMAModel Category=Spatiotemporal2026.03 | 97.49 | 132.48 | 189.31 | 0.68 | 0.39 | 98.06 | 113.96 | 0.75 | 1.23 | 132.48 | — | |
| STGCNModel Category=Spatiotemporal2026.03 | 105.22 | 343.76 | 421.59 | 1.76 | 0.86 | 69.72 | 18.64 | 1.94 | 0.4 | 343.76 | — | |
| GSTARModel Category=Spatiotemporal2026.03 | 109.5 | 141.8 | 207 | 0.72 | 0.42 | 93.15 | 104.28 | 0.8 | 1.13 | 141.8 | — | |
| GpGpModel Category=Probabilistic2026.03 | 126.89 | 232.83 | 293.61 | 1.19 | 0.6 | 287.23 | 141.83 | 1.29 | 2.49 | 440.5 | 6,796.43 |