Probabilistic Forecasting on Weather (test)
0.11CRPSDeRegiME
Evaluation results
| Method | Links | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeRegiMEBackbone=PatchTST2026.05 | 0.11 | -0.661 | 0.083 | |
| Student-tBackbone=PatchTST2026.05 | 0.11 | -0.665 | 0.084 | |
| GaussianBackbone=PatchTST2026.05 | 0.111 | -0.556 | 0.084 | |
| QuantileBackbone=PatchTST2026.05 | 0.111 | — | 0.085 | |
| DeRegiMEProbabilistic Head=DeRegiME, Head Category=Dynamic probabilistic heads, Backbone=DLinear, Lookback=336, Forecast Horizon=242026.05 | 0.114 | 0.602 | 0.089 | |
| QuantileProbabilistic Head=Quantile, Head Category=Dynamic probabilistic heads, Backbone=DLinear, Lookback=336, Forecast Horizon=242026.05 | 0.123 | — | 0.096 | |
| RBFProbabilistic Head=RBF, Head Category=Deep-kernel GP heads, Backbone=DLinear, Lookback=336, Forecast Horizon=242026.05 | 0.124 | 0.302 | 0.09 | |
| Student-tProbabilistic Head=Student-t, Head Category=Dynamic probabilistic heads, Backbone=DLinear, Lookback=336, Forecast Horizon=242026.05 | 0.125 | 0.543 | 0.115 | |
| RQProbabilistic Head=RQ, Head Category=Deep-kernel GP heads, Backbone=DLinear, Lookback=336, Forecast Horizon=242026.05 | 0.125 | 0.3 | 0.091 | |
| RBFBackbone=PatchTST2026.05 | 0.125 | -0.281 | 0.089 | |
| RQBackbone=PatchTST2026.05 | 0.126 | -0.267 | 0.089 | |
| GaussianProbabilistic Head=Gaussian, Head Category=Dynamic probabilistic heads, Backbone=DLinear, Lookback=336, Forecast Horizon=242026.05 | 0.127 | 0.364 | 0.112 |