Probabilistic Forecasting on Illness (test)
0.87CRPSQuantile
Evaluation results
| Method | Links | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| QuantileBackbone=PatchTST2026.05 | 0.87 | — | 3.094 | |
| QuantileProbabilistic Head=Quantile, Head Category=Dynamic probabilistic heads, Backbone=DLinear, Lookback=104, Forecast Horizon=242026.05 | 0.886 | — | 3.22 | |
| DeRegiMEBackbone=PatchTST2026.05 | 0.893 | 1.969 | 2.966 | |
| Student-tBackbone=PatchTST2026.05 | 0.9 | 2.15 | 3.266 | |
| GaussianBackbone=PatchTST2026.05 | 0.908 | 2.847 | 3.582 | |
| Student-tProbabilistic Head=Student-t, Head Category=Dynamic probabilistic heads, Backbone=DLinear, Lookback=104, Forecast Horizon=242026.05 | 0.92 | 1.875 | 3.566 | |
| DeRegiMEProbabilistic Head=DeRegiME, Head Category=Dynamic probabilistic heads, Backbone=DLinear, Lookback=104, Forecast Horizon=242026.05 | 0.941 | 1.911 | 3.539 | |
| RBFProbabilistic Head=RBF, Head Category=Deep-kernel GP heads, Backbone=DLinear, Lookback=104, Forecast Horizon=242026.05 | 0.99 | 1.984 | 3.759 | |
| RQProbabilistic Head=RQ, Head Category=Deep-kernel GP heads, Backbone=DLinear, Lookback=104, Forecast Horizon=242026.05 | 1.004 | 1.98 | 3.894 | |
| GaussianProbabilistic Head=Gaussian, Head Category=Dynamic probabilistic heads, Backbone=DLinear, Lookback=104, Forecast Horizon=242026.05 | 1.008 | 2.029 | 3.694 | |
| RBFBackbone=PatchTST2026.05 | 1.311 | 2.294 | 5.784 | |
| RQBackbone=PatchTST2026.05 | 1.311 | 2.285 | 5.785 |