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ResearchFormerly WizWand

Probabilistic Forecasting on Traffic

0.049CRPSTSDiff-Q
-0.005760.363870.73351.10313Jul 21, 2023Dec 31, 2023Jun 11, 2024Nov 21, 2024May 3, 2025Oct 13, 2025Mar 25, 2026
Updated 7mo ago

Evaluation results

MethodLinks
TSDiff-Qguidance=quantile guidance2023.070.049——
TSDiff-Condvariant=conditional2023.070.05——
DeepARarchitecture=RNN-based2023.070.054——
CSDImodel=conditional diffusion2023.070.054——
TSDiff-MSguidance=mean square guidance2023.070.062——
MQ-CNNarchitecture=CNN-based2023.070.067——
Seasonal Naive2023.070.069——
ETS2023.070.072——
DeepStatemodel=state space model2023.070.075——
Transformerarchitecture=self-attention-based2023.070.076——
TFTarchitecture=Temporal Fusion Transformer2023.070.086——
Linear2023.070.088——
TimePrismNumber of scenarios (N)=625, Input length=242025.090.111——
TimePrism-16Number of scenarios (N)=16, Input length=242025.090.159——
TimeGrad2025.090.162——
LSG-VAEHorizon=96, Context Length=962026.030.18——
K2VAEHorizon=96, Context Length=962026.030.186——
LSG-VAEHorizon=192, Context Length=962026.030.187——
K2VAEHorizon=192, Context Length=962026.030.188——
LSG-VAELook-back window length=168, Prediction horizon=1922026.030.191.363—
LSG-VAEHorizon=720, Context Length=962026.030.192——
LSG-VAEHorizon (L)=7202026.030.192—0.236
LSG-VAEHorizon=336, Context Length=962026.030.194——
K2VAEHorizon (L)=7202026.030.2—0.248
GRU NVPHorizon (L)=7202026.030.211—0.264
PatchTSTHorizon (L)=7202026.030.214—0.253
TimeGradHorizon (L)=7202026.030.22—0.263
TACTiS-22025.090.257——
TimeMCLNumber of hypotheses=162025.090.262——
iTransformerHorizon (L)=7202026.030.284—0.361
KoopaHorizon (L)=7202026.030.358—0.432
FITSHorizon (L)=7202026.030.374—0.453
NsDiffLook-back window length=168, Prediction horizon=1922026.030.3783.601—
TSDiffHorizon (L)=7202026.030.391—0.478
TimeGradLook-back window length=168, Prediction horizon=1922026.030.4074.581—
interPDNForecast horizon=1922025.110.507——
ChronosForecast horizon=1922025.110.518——
MOIRAIForecast horizon=1922025.110.534——
TMDMForecast horizon=1922025.110.541——
TMDMLook-back window length=168, Prediction horizon=1922026.030.55710.676—
DiffusionTSForecast horizon=1922025.110.568——
TempFlowBackbone=LSTM2025.090.601——
Trf.FlowBackbone=Transformer2025.090.607——
DiffusionTSLook-back window length=168, Prediction horizon=1922026.030.6685.958—
TimeDiffLook-back window length=168, Prediction horizon=1922026.030.77115.439—
ETS2025.090.813——
DeepAR2025.090.826——
CSDILook-back window length=168, Prediction horizon=1922026.031.41813.613—