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ResearchFormerly WizWand

Probabilistic Forecasting on solar

0.007CRPSTFT
-0.016040.139480.2950.45052Jul 21, 2023Nov 30, 2023Apr 11, 2024Aug 22, 2024Jan 1, 2025May 14, 2025Sep 24, 2025
Updated 8mo ago

Evaluation results

MethodLinks
TFTarchitecture=Temporal Fusion Transformer2023.070.007
ARIMA2023.070.008
ETS2023.070.008
Transformerarchitecture=self-attention-based2023.070.01
Seasonal Naive2023.070.011
Linear2023.070.011
DeepARarchitecture=RNN-based2023.070.011
DeepStatemodel=state space model2023.070.011
TSDiff-Qguidance=quantile guidance2023.070.011
TSDiff-Condvariant=conditional2023.070.013
TSDiff-MSguidance=mean square guidance2023.070.018
MQ-CNNarchitecture=CNN-based2023.070.019
CSDImodel=conditional diffusion2023.070.033
TimePrismNumber of scenarios (N)=625, Input length=242025.090.0852
TimePrism-16Number of scenarios (N)=16, Input length=242025.090.137
TACTiS-22025.090.236
TimeGrad2025.090.241
TempFlowBackbone=LSTM2025.090.272
Trf.FlowBackbone=Transformer2025.090.28
TimeMCLNumber of hypotheses=162025.090.29
ETS2025.090.375
DeepAR2025.090.583