Probabilistic Forecasting on solar
0.007CRPSTFT
Evaluation Results
| Method | Links | |
|---|---|---|
| TFTarchitecture=Temporal Fusion Transformer2023.07 | 0.007 | |
| ARIMA2023.07 | 0.008 | |
| ETS2023.07 | 0.008 | |
| Transformerarchitecture=self-attention-based2023.07 | 0.01 | |
| Seasonal Naive2023.07 | 0.011 | |
| Linear2023.07 | 0.011 | |
| DeepARarchitecture=RNN-based2023.07 | 0.011 | |
| DeepStatemodel=state space model2023.07 | 0.011 | |
| TSDiff-Qguidance=quantile guidance2023.07 | 0.011 | |
| TSDiff-Condvariant=conditional2023.07 | 0.013 | |
| TSDiff-MSguidance=mean square guidance2023.07 | 0.018 | |
| MQ-CNNarchitecture=CNN-based2023.07 | 0.019 | |
| CSDImodel=conditional diffusion2023.07 | 0.033 | |
| TimePrismNumber of scenarios (N)=625, Input length=242025.09 | 0.0852 | |
| TimePrism-16Number of scenarios (N)=16, Input length=242025.09 | 0.137 | |
| TACTiS-22025.09 | 0.236 | |
| TimeGrad2025.09 | 0.241 | |
| TempFlowBackbone=LSTM2025.09 | 0.272 | |
| Trf.FlowBackbone=Transformer2025.09 | 0.28 | |
| TimeMCLNumber of hypotheses=162025.09 | 0.29 | |
| ETS2025.09 | 0.375 | |
| DeepAR2025.09 | 0.583 |