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ResearchFormerly WizWand

Prediction Interval Estimation on Air 25 PM

-0.253Delta CovGauss
-0.2634-0.1932-0.123-0.0528Mar 22, 2023
Updated 8mo ago

Evaluation results

MethodLinks
Gaussalpha=0.15, backbone=LSTM2023.03-0.253200.85
Gaussalpha=0.1, backbone=LSTM2023.03-0.24722.81.06
MDNalpha=0.15, backbone=LSTM2023.03-0.24318.40.84
MDNalpha=0.1, backbone=LSTM2023.03-0.23421.61.05
Gaussalpha=0.05, backbone=LSTM2023.03-0.22727.11.58
MDNalpha=0.05, backbone=LSTM2023.03-0.20926.91.57
MCDalpha=0.05, backbone=LSTM2023.03-0.131.71.41
MCDalpha=0.1, backbone=LSTM2023.03-0.09526.60.95
MCDalpha=0.15, backbone=LSTM2023.03-0.08623.20.76
SPCIalpha=0.1, backbone=LSTM2023.03-0.01732.40.93
SPCIalpha=0.15, backbone=LSTM2023.03-0.01626.10.76
SPCIalpha=0.05, backbone=LSTM2023.03-0.01544.91.29
CP/CF-RNNBase Model=Forest, AdaptiveCI=true, alpha=0.12023.03-0.008200.83.47
CP/CF-RNNBase Model=LGBM, AdaptiveCI=true, alpha=0.12023.03-0.007147.22.74
CopulaCPTSBase Model=Forest, AdaptiveCI=true, alpha=0.12023.03-0.004205.23.43
EnbPIBase Model=Forest, AdaptiveCI=true, alpha=0.12023.03-0.003221.73.68
CopulaCPTSBase Model=LGBM, AdaptiveCI=true, alpha=0.12023.03-0.003151.12.73
HopCPTBase Model=Forest, AdaptiveCI=true, alpha=0.12023.03-0.00286.51.76
UCBase Model=Forest, AdaptiveCI=false, alpha=0.12023.03-0.00153.41.1
NexCPBase Model=Forest, AdaptiveCI=true, alpha=0.12023.03-0.001245.13.97
EnbPIBase Model=LGBM, AdaptiveCI=true, alpha=0.12023.03-0.001180.63.17
HopCPTBase Model=Ridge, AdaptiveCI=true, alpha=0.12023.03-0.00163.21.33
EnbPIBase Model=Ridge, AdaptiveCI=true, alpha=0.12023.03-0.0011302.36
UCBase Model=LSTM, AdaptiveCI=false, alpha=0.12023.03-0.00140.30.89
HopCPTBase Model=LSTM, AdaptiveCI=true, alpha=0.12023.03-0.00136.30.89
CopulaCPTSBase Model=LSTM, AdaptiveCI=true, alpha=0.12023.03-0.00138.80.95
UCBase Model=LGBM, AdaptiveCI=false, alpha=0.12023.03052.51.1
HopCPTBase Model=LGBM, AdaptiveCI=true, alpha=0.12023.03076.11.69
NexCPBase Model=LGBM, AdaptiveCI=true, alpha=0.12023.030191.73.38
UCBase Model=Ridge, AdaptiveCI=false, alpha=0.12023.03050.41.04
CP/CF-RNNBase Model=Ridge, AdaptiveCI=true, alpha=0.12023.030129.52.52
EnbPIBase Model=LSTM, AdaptiveCI=true, alpha=0.12023.03044.60.96
CP/CF-RNNBase Model=LSTM, AdaptiveCI=true, alpha=0.12023.03038.90.93
NexCPBase Model=Ridge, AdaptiveCI=true, alpha=0.12023.030.001143.62.64
CopulaCPTSBase Model=Ridge, AdaptiveCI=true, alpha=0.12023.030.001130.32.53
NexCPBase Model=LSTM, AdaptiveCI=true, alpha=0.12023.030.00140.80.94
HopCPTalpha=0.05, backbone=LSTM2023.030.00557.11.19
HopCPTalpha=0.15, backbone=LSTM2023.030.00532.50.74
HopCPTalpha=0.1, backbone=LSTM2023.030.00740.70.88