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ResearchFormerly WizWand

Prediction Interval Estimation on Air 10 PM

-0.252Delta CovMDN
-0.26276-0.19013-0.1175-0.04487Mar 22, 2023
Updated 8mo ago

Evaluation results

MethodLinks
MDNalpha=0.15, backbone=LSTM2023.03-0.25230.21.17
MDNalpha=0.1, backbone=LSTM2023.03-0.24335.31.48
MDNalpha=0.05, backbone=LSTM2023.03-0.21843.92.22
Gaussalpha=0.15, backbone=LSTM2023.03-0.21833.81.15
Gaussalpha=0.1, backbone=LSTM2023.03-0.21138.61.42
MCDalpha=0.05, backbone=LSTM2023.03-0.20242.32.36
MCDalpha=0.1, backbone=LSTM2023.03-0.20135.71.49
MCDalpha=0.15, backbone=LSTM2023.03-0.19231.41.16
Gaussalpha=0.05, backbone=LSTM2023.03-0.19145.82.08
CP/CF-RNNBase Model=Forest, AdaptiveCI=true, alpha=0.12023.03-0.005228.33.39
CopulaCPTSBase Model=Forest, AdaptiveCI=true, alpha=0.12023.03-0.003228.73.37
CP/CF-RNNBase Model=LGBM, AdaptiveCI=true, alpha=0.12023.03-0.003196.33.01
HopCPTalpha=0.1, backbone=LSTM2023.03-0.00262.71.33
HopCPTalpha=0.15, backbone=LSTM2023.03-0.00249.41.09
HopCPTBase Model=Forest, AdaptiveCI=true, alpha=0.12023.03-0.002112.61.96
EnbPIBase Model=Forest, AdaptiveCI=true, alpha=0.12023.03-0.002250.43.7
CopulaCPTSBase Model=LGBM, AdaptiveCI=true, alpha=0.12023.03-0.002196.33.01
HopCPTalpha=0.05, backbone=LSTM2023.03-0.00190.71.83
EnbPIBase Model=LGBM, AdaptiveCI=true, alpha=0.12023.03-0.0012203.38
EnbPIBase Model=Ridge, AdaptiveCI=true, alpha=0.12023.03-0.001147.22.46
UCBase Model=LSTM, AdaptiveCI=false, alpha=0.12023.03-0.00165.41.3
NexCPBase Model=Forest, AdaptiveCI=true, alpha=0.12023.030270.53.92
NexCPBase Model=LGBM, AdaptiveCI=true, alpha=0.12023.030233.23.54
HopCPTBase Model=Ridge, AdaptiveCI=true, alpha=0.12023.03083.71.46
CopulaCPTSBase Model=Ridge, AdaptiveCI=true, alpha=0.12023.030142.72.41
CP/CF-RNNBase Model=Ridge, AdaptiveCI=true, alpha=0.12023.030142.32.42
HopCPTBase Model=LSTM, AdaptiveCI=true, alpha=0.12023.03059.21.18
EnbPIBase Model=LSTM, AdaptiveCI=true, alpha=0.12023.03069.21.32
CP/CF-RNNBase Model=LSTM, AdaptiveCI=true, alpha=0.12023.03062.51.3
UCBase Model=LGBM, AdaptiveCI=false, alpha=0.12023.030.00178.51.38
HopCPTBase Model=LGBM, AdaptiveCI=true, alpha=0.12023.030.001102.51.83
UCBase Model=Ridge, AdaptiveCI=false, alpha=0.12023.030.00175.31.3
NexCPBase Model=Ridge, AdaptiveCI=true, alpha=0.12023.030.001159.52.67
NexCPBase Model=LSTM, AdaptiveCI=true, alpha=0.12023.030.00165.71.29
CopulaCPTSBase Model=LSTM, AdaptiveCI=true, alpha=0.12023.030.00162.91.29
UCBase Model=Forest, AdaptiveCI=false, alpha=0.12023.030.00280.71.45
SPCIalpha=0.05, backbone=LSTM2023.030.00386.11.63
SPCIalpha=0.1, backbone=LSTM2023.030.0162.21.21
SPCIalpha=0.15, backbone=LSTM2023.030.01750.21.01