Prediction Interval Estimation on Air 10 PM
-0.252Delta CovMDN
Evaluation Results
| Method | Links | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MDNalpha=0.15, backbone=LSTM2023.03 | -0.252 | 30.2 | 1.17 | |
| MDNalpha=0.1, backbone=LSTM2023.03 | -0.243 | 35.3 | 1.48 | |
| MDNalpha=0.05, backbone=LSTM2023.03 | -0.218 | 43.9 | 2.22 | |
| Gaussalpha=0.15, backbone=LSTM2023.03 | -0.218 | 33.8 | 1.15 | |
| Gaussalpha=0.1, backbone=LSTM2023.03 | -0.211 | 38.6 | 1.42 | |
| MCDalpha=0.05, backbone=LSTM2023.03 | -0.202 | 42.3 | 2.36 | |
| MCDalpha=0.1, backbone=LSTM2023.03 | -0.201 | 35.7 | 1.49 | |
| MCDalpha=0.15, backbone=LSTM2023.03 | -0.192 | 31.4 | 1.16 | |
| Gaussalpha=0.05, backbone=LSTM2023.03 | -0.191 | 45.8 | 2.08 | |
| CP/CF-RNNBase Model=Forest, AdaptiveCI=true, alpha=0.12023.03 | -0.005 | 228.3 | 3.39 | |
| CopulaCPTSBase Model=Forest, AdaptiveCI=true, alpha=0.12023.03 | -0.003 | 228.7 | 3.37 | |
| CP/CF-RNNBase Model=LGBM, AdaptiveCI=true, alpha=0.12023.03 | -0.003 | 196.3 | 3.01 | |
| HopCPTalpha=0.1, backbone=LSTM2023.03 | -0.002 | 62.7 | 1.33 | |
| HopCPTalpha=0.15, backbone=LSTM2023.03 | -0.002 | 49.4 | 1.09 | |
| HopCPTBase Model=Forest, AdaptiveCI=true, alpha=0.12023.03 | -0.002 | 112.6 | 1.96 | |
| EnbPIBase Model=Forest, AdaptiveCI=true, alpha=0.12023.03 | -0.002 | 250.4 | 3.7 | |
| CopulaCPTSBase Model=LGBM, AdaptiveCI=true, alpha=0.12023.03 | -0.002 | 196.3 | 3.01 | |
| HopCPTalpha=0.05, backbone=LSTM2023.03 | -0.001 | 90.7 | 1.83 | |
| EnbPIBase Model=LGBM, AdaptiveCI=true, alpha=0.12023.03 | -0.001 | 220 | 3.38 | |
| EnbPIBase Model=Ridge, AdaptiveCI=true, alpha=0.12023.03 | -0.001 | 147.2 | 2.46 | |
| UCBase Model=LSTM, AdaptiveCI=false, alpha=0.12023.03 | -0.001 | 65.4 | 1.3 | |
| NexCPBase Model=Forest, AdaptiveCI=true, alpha=0.12023.03 | 0 | 270.5 | 3.92 | |
| NexCPBase Model=LGBM, AdaptiveCI=true, alpha=0.12023.03 | 0 | 233.2 | 3.54 | |
| HopCPTBase Model=Ridge, AdaptiveCI=true, alpha=0.12023.03 | 0 | 83.7 | 1.46 | |
| CopulaCPTSBase Model=Ridge, AdaptiveCI=true, alpha=0.12023.03 | 0 | 142.7 | 2.41 | |
| CP/CF-RNNBase Model=Ridge, AdaptiveCI=true, alpha=0.12023.03 | 0 | 142.3 | 2.42 | |
| HopCPTBase Model=LSTM, AdaptiveCI=true, alpha=0.12023.03 | 0 | 59.2 | 1.18 | |
| EnbPIBase Model=LSTM, AdaptiveCI=true, alpha=0.12023.03 | 0 | 69.2 | 1.32 | |
| CP/CF-RNNBase Model=LSTM, AdaptiveCI=true, alpha=0.12023.03 | 0 | 62.5 | 1.3 | |
| UCBase Model=LGBM, AdaptiveCI=false, alpha=0.12023.03 | 0.001 | 78.5 | 1.38 | |
| HopCPTBase Model=LGBM, AdaptiveCI=true, alpha=0.12023.03 | 0.001 | 102.5 | 1.83 | |
| UCBase Model=Ridge, AdaptiveCI=false, alpha=0.12023.03 | 0.001 | 75.3 | 1.3 | |
| NexCPBase Model=Ridge, AdaptiveCI=true, alpha=0.12023.03 | 0.001 | 159.5 | 2.67 | |
| NexCPBase Model=LSTM, AdaptiveCI=true, alpha=0.12023.03 | 0.001 | 65.7 | 1.29 | |
| CopulaCPTSBase Model=LSTM, AdaptiveCI=true, alpha=0.12023.03 | 0.001 | 62.9 | 1.29 | |
| UCBase Model=Forest, AdaptiveCI=false, alpha=0.12023.03 | 0.002 | 80.7 | 1.45 | |
| SPCIalpha=0.05, backbone=LSTM2023.03 | 0.003 | 86.1 | 1.63 | |
| SPCIalpha=0.1, backbone=LSTM2023.03 | 0.01 | 62.2 | 1.21 | |
| SPCIalpha=0.15, backbone=LSTM2023.03 | 0.017 | 50.2 | 1.01 |