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ResearchFormerly WizWand

Next-month anomaly forecasting on NCEP/NCAR Reanalysis 1 (held-out period 1980-2023)

0.641Test R^2FSGD
-1.02924-0.59562-0.1620.27162May 19, 2026
Updated 5mo ago

Evaluation results

MethodLinks
FSGD2026.050.641
PPCA2026.050.631
Persistence2026.050.601
FSGD2026.050.592
PPCA2026.050.576
Vanilla SGD2026.050.549
Random Proj2026.050.542
Persistence2026.050.502
Vanilla SGD2026.050.449
PPCA2026.050.418
FSGD2026.050.379
Random Proj2026.050.375
Random Proj2026.050.329
Vanilla SGD2026.050.175
Persistence2026.050.104
Prev. Mean2026.05-0.581
Prev. Mean2026.05-0.655
Prev. Mean2026.05-0.965