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ResearchFormerly WizWand

Long-term Forecasting on Electricity (MSE, MAE)

0.219MAEDGF
0.213160.252580.2920.33142Feb 4, 2024Jun 25, 2024Nov 15, 2024Apr 7, 2025Aug 27, 2025Jan 17, 2026Jun 9, 2026
Updated 5mo ago

Evaluation results

MethodLinks
DGFHorizon=96, Backbone=Moirai-base2026.060.219—
DGFBackbone=Moirai-base2026.060.2460.157
MoiraiModel scale=base, Adaptation strategy=MSFT2026.060.260.169
SimpleTM2026.060.2610.166
MoiraiModel scale=base, Adaptation strategy=LoRA2026.060.2630.172
MoiraiModel scale=base, Adaptation strategy=Full finetuning2026.060.2640.173
DGFBackbone=Moirai-small2026.060.2650.177
iTransformerInference Mode=Full-shot, Averaged Prediction Lengths={96, 192, 336, 720}2024.020.270.178
iTransformer2026.060.270.178
MoiraiModel scale=base, Adaptation strategy=Prompt tuning2026.060.2710.183
MOIRAILargeInference Mode=Zero-shot, Averaged Prediction Lengths={96, 192, 336, 720}2024.020.2730.188
TimeMixer2026.060.2730.182
MOIRAIBaseInference Mode=Zero-shot, Averaged Prediction Lengths={96, 192, 336, 720}2024.020.2740.188
MoiraiModel scale=base, Adaptation strategy=zero-shot2026.060.2740.188
MoiraiModel scale=small, Adaptation strategy=MSFT2026.060.2750.187
MoiraiModel scale=small, Adaptation strategy=Full finetuning2026.060.2790.193
MoiraiModel scale=small, Adaptation strategy=LoRA2026.060.2790.192
DLinearHorizon=962026.060.282—
TimesNetInference Mode=Full-shot, Averaged Prediction Lengths={96, 192, 336, 720}2024.020.2950.193
DLinearInference Mode=Full-shot, Averaged Prediction Lengths={96, 192, 336, 720}2024.020.30.212
DLinear2026.060.30.212
PatchTSTInference Mode=Full-shot, Averaged Prediction Lengths={96, 192, 336, 720}2024.020.3040.216
PatchTST2026.060.3040.216
MoiraiModel scale=small, Adaptation strategy=Prompt tuning2026.060.3040.217
MOIRAISmallInference Mode=Zero-shot, Averaged Prediction Lengths={96, 192, 336, 720}2024.020.320.233
MoiraiModel scale=small, Adaptation strategy=zero-shot2026.060.320.233
FEDformerInference Mode=Full-shot, Averaged Prediction Lengths={96, 192, 336, 720}2024.020.3270.214
CrossformerInference Mode=Full-shot, Averaged Prediction Lengths={96, 192, 336, 720}2024.020.3340.244
TiDEInference Mode=Full-shot, Averaged Prediction Lengths={96, 192, 336, 720}2024.020.3440.252
SCINetInference Mode=Full-shot, Averaged Prediction Lengths={96, 192, 336, 720}2024.020.3650.268