Long-term Forecasting on Electricity (MSE, MAE)
0.219MAEDGF
Evaluation Results
| Method | Links | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| DGFHorizon=96, Backbone=Moirai-base2026.06 | 0.219 | — | |
| DGFBackbone=Moirai-base2026.06 | 0.246 | 0.157 | |
| MoiraiModel scale=base, Adaptation strategy=MSFT2026.06 | 0.26 | 0.169 | |
| SimpleTM2026.06 | 0.261 | 0.166 | |
| MoiraiModel scale=base, Adaptation strategy=LoRA2026.06 | 0.263 | 0.172 | |
| MoiraiModel scale=base, Adaptation strategy=Full finetuning2026.06 | 0.264 | 0.173 | |
| DGFBackbone=Moirai-small2026.06 | 0.265 | 0.177 | |
| iTransformerInference Mode=Full-shot, Averaged Prediction Lengths={96, 192, 336, 720}2024.02 | 0.27 | 0.178 | |
| iTransformer2026.06 | 0.27 | 0.178 | |
| MoiraiModel scale=base, Adaptation strategy=Prompt tuning2026.06 | 0.271 | 0.183 | |
| MOIRAILargeInference Mode=Zero-shot, Averaged Prediction Lengths={96, 192, 336, 720}2024.02 | 0.273 | 0.188 | |
| TimeMixer2026.06 | 0.273 | 0.182 | |
| MOIRAIBaseInference Mode=Zero-shot, Averaged Prediction Lengths={96, 192, 336, 720}2024.02 | 0.274 | 0.188 | |
| MoiraiModel scale=base, Adaptation strategy=zero-shot2026.06 | 0.274 | 0.188 | |
| MoiraiModel scale=small, Adaptation strategy=MSFT2026.06 | 0.275 | 0.187 | |
| MoiraiModel scale=small, Adaptation strategy=Full finetuning2026.06 | 0.279 | 0.193 | |
| MoiraiModel scale=small, Adaptation strategy=LoRA2026.06 | 0.279 | 0.192 | |
| DLinearHorizon=962026.06 | 0.282 | — | |
| TimesNetInference Mode=Full-shot, Averaged Prediction Lengths={96, 192, 336, 720}2024.02 | 0.295 | 0.193 | |
| DLinearInference Mode=Full-shot, Averaged Prediction Lengths={96, 192, 336, 720}2024.02 | 0.3 | 0.212 | |
| DLinear2026.06 | 0.3 | 0.212 | |
| PatchTSTInference Mode=Full-shot, Averaged Prediction Lengths={96, 192, 336, 720}2024.02 | 0.304 | 0.216 | |
| PatchTST2026.06 | 0.304 | 0.216 | |
| MoiraiModel scale=small, Adaptation strategy=Prompt tuning2026.06 | 0.304 | 0.217 | |
| MOIRAISmallInference Mode=Zero-shot, Averaged Prediction Lengths={96, 192, 336, 720}2024.02 | 0.32 | 0.233 | |
| MoiraiModel scale=small, Adaptation strategy=zero-shot2026.06 | 0.32 | 0.233 | |
| FEDformerInference Mode=Full-shot, Averaged Prediction Lengths={96, 192, 336, 720}2024.02 | 0.327 | 0.214 | |
| CrossformerInference Mode=Full-shot, Averaged Prediction Lengths={96, 192, 336, 720}2024.02 | 0.334 | 0.244 | |
| TiDEInference Mode=Full-shot, Averaged Prediction Lengths={96, 192, 336, 720}2024.02 | 0.344 | 0.252 | |
| SCINetInference Mode=Full-shot, Averaged Prediction Lengths={96, 192, 336, 720}2024.02 | 0.365 | 0.268 |