# Long-term Forecasting on Electricity (MSE, MAE) Source: [Long-term Forecasting on Electricity (MSE, MAE)]() Collection index: [llms.txt]() Data updated: 2026-06-11T08:02:53.070Z Evaluation of models performing Long Sequence Time Series Forecasting on the Electricity dataset, assessed using Mean Squared Error (MSE) and Mean Absolute Error (MAE). A research result applies to its stated dataset, split, metric and evaluation configuration. Compare like-for-like settings, preserve the metric's unit and direction, and distinguish paper-reported results from independent reproduction. The best result recorded here is not a claim of exhaustive, current global coverage. | Scope | Recorded value | | --- | --- | | Task | Long Sequence Forecasting | | Dataset (including any stated split) | Electricity | | Metric | MAE | | Unit | SCALAR | | Direction | Lower is better | | Results loaded | 30 of 30 | | Coverage | All results currently returned for this benchmark | Evaluation settings may differ between results. The original papers and recorded configurations are needed to establish comparability. A shared metric name alone does not establish an identical protocol. ## Metrics - [MAE](): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR. - [MSE](): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR. ## Recorded results | Method | MAE | Result date | Report paper | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | DGF | 0.219 | Not recorded | 6a28f36f90966ade919c1913 | | DGF | 0.246 | Not recorded | 6a28f36f90966ade919c1913 | | Moirai | 0.26 | Not recorded | 6a28f36f90966ade919c1913 | | SimpleTM | 0.261 | Not recorded | 6a28f36f90966ade919c1913 | | Moirai | 0.263 | Not recorded | 6a28f36f90966ade919c1913 | | Moirai | 0.264 | Not recorded | 6a28f36f90966ade919c1913 | | DGF | 0.265 | Not recorded | 6a28f36f90966ade919c1913 | | iTransformer | 0.27 | Not recorded | 68fa73411e209131cea5b4ec | | iTransformer | 0.27 | Not recorded | 6a28f36f90966ade919c1913 | | Moirai | 0.271 | Not recorded | 6a28f36f90966ade919c1913 | | MOIRAILarge | 0.273 | Not recorded | 68fa73411e209131cea5b4ec | | TimeMixer | 0.273 | Not recorded | 6a28f36f90966ade919c1913 | | MOIRAIBase | 0.274 | Not recorded | 68fa73411e209131cea5b4ec | | Moirai | 0.274 | Not recorded | 6a28f36f90966ade919c1913 | | Moirai | 0.275 | Not recorded | 6a28f36f90966ade919c1913 | | Moirai | 0.279 | Not recorded | 6a28f36f90966ade919c1913 | | Moirai | 0.279 | Not recorded | 6a28f36f90966ade919c1913 | | DLinear | 0.282 | Not recorded | 6a28f36f90966ade919c1913 | | TimesNet | 0.295 | Not recorded | 68fa73411e209131cea5b4ec | | DLinear | 0.3 | Not recorded | 68fa73411e209131cea5b4ec | | DLinear | 0.3 | Not recorded | 6a28f36f90966ade919c1913 | | PatchTST | 0.304 | Not recorded | 68fa73411e209131cea5b4ec | | PatchTST | 0.304 | Not recorded | 6a28f36f90966ade919c1913 | | Moirai | 0.304 | Not recorded | 6a28f36f90966ade919c1913 | | MOIRAISmall | 0.32 | Not recorded | 68fa73411e209131cea5b4ec | | Moirai | 0.32 | Not recorded | 6a28f36f90966ade919c1913 | | FEDformer | 0.327 | Not recorded | 68fa73411e209131cea5b4ec | | Crossformer | 0.334 | Not recorded | 68fa73411e209131cea5b4ec | | TiDE | 0.344 | Not recorded | 68fa73411e209131cea5b4ec | | SCINet | 0.365 | Not recorded | 68fa73411e209131cea5b4ec | ### DGF MAE: 0.219. Result ID: 6a2a6b97fbc373592c275b6c. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Horizon":"96","Backbone":"Moirai-base"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### DGF MAE: 0.246. Result ID: 6a2a6b97fbc373592c275af5. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone":"Moirai-base"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### Moirai MAE: 0.26. Result ID: 6a2a6b97fbc373592c275af3. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Model scale":"base","Adaptation strategy":"MSFT"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### SimpleTM MAE: 0.261. Result ID: 6a2a6b97fbc373592c275ae9. [Reporting paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: Not recorded. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### Moirai MAE: 0.263. Result ID: 6a2a6b97fbc373592c275af2. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Model scale":"base","Adaptation strategy":"LoRA"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### Moirai MAE: 0.264. Result ID: 6a2a6b97fbc373592c275af0. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Model scale":"base","Adaptation strategy":"Full finetuning"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### DGF MAE: 0.265. Result ID: 6a2a6b97fbc373592c275af4. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone":"Moirai-small"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### iTransformer MAE: 0.27. Result ID: 6992b2fb3a6c31484910d74f. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Inference Mode":"Full-shot","Averaged Prediction Lengths":"{96, 192, 336, 720}"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### iTransformer MAE: 0.27. Result ID: 6a2a6b97fbc373592c275ae7. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: Not recorded. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### Moirai MAE: 0.271. Result ID: 6a2a6b97fbc373592c275af1. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Model scale":"base","Adaptation strategy":"Prompt tuning"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### MOIRAILarge MAE: 0.273. Result ID: 6992b2fb3a6c31484910d74e. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Inference Mode":"Zero-shot","Averaged Prediction Lengths":"{96, 192, 336, 720}"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### TimeMixer MAE: 0.273. Result ID: 6a2a6b97fbc373592c275ae8. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: Not recorded. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### MOIRAIBase MAE: 0.274. Result ID: 6992b2fb3a6c31484910d74d. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Inference Mode":"Zero-shot","Averaged Prediction Lengths":"{96, 192, 336, 720}"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### Moirai MAE: 0.274. Result ID: 6a2a6b97fbc373592c275aef. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Model scale":"base","Adaptation strategy":"zero-shot"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### Moirai MAE: 0.275. Result ID: 6a2a6b97fbc373592c275aee. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Model scale":"small","Adaptation strategy":"MSFT"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### Moirai MAE: 0.279. Result ID: 6a2a6b97fbc373592c275aeb. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Model scale":"small","Adaptation strategy":"Full finetuning"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### Moirai MAE: 0.279. Result ID: 6a2a6b97fbc373592c275aed. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Model scale":"small","Adaptation strategy":"LoRA"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### DLinear MAE: 0.282. Result ID: 6a2a6b97fbc373592c275b6b. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() [Implementation]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Horizon":"96"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### TimesNet MAE: 0.295. Result ID: 6992b2fb3a6c31484910d750. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Inference Mode":"Full-shot","Averaged Prediction Lengths":"{96, 192, 336, 720}"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### DLinear MAE: 0.3. Result ID: 6992b2fb3a6c31484910d754. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() [Implementation]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Inference Mode":"Full-shot","Averaged Prediction Lengths":"{96, 192, 336, 720}"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### DLinear MAE: 0.3. Result ID: 6a2a6b97fbc373592c275ae5. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() [Implementation]() Recorded evaluation configuration: Not recorded. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### PatchTST MAE: 0.304. Result ID: 6992b2fb3a6c31484910d751. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Inference Mode":"Full-shot","Averaged Prediction Lengths":"{96, 192, 336, 720}"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### PatchTST MAE: 0.304. Result ID: 6a2a6b97fbc373592c275ae6. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: Not recorded. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### Moirai MAE: 0.304. Result ID: 6a2a6b97fbc373592c275aec. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Model scale":"small","Adaptation strategy":"Prompt tuning"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### MOIRAISmall MAE: 0.32. Result ID: 6992b2fb3a6c31484910d74c. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Inference Mode":"Zero-shot","Averaged Prediction Lengths":"{96, 192, 336, 720}"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### Moirai MAE: 0.32. Result ID: 6a2a6b97fbc373592c275aea. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Model scale":"small","Adaptation strategy":"zero-shot"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### FEDformer MAE: 0.327. Result ID: 6992b2fb3a6c31484910d756. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Inference Mode":"Full-shot","Averaged Prediction Lengths":"{96, 192, 336, 720}"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### Crossformer MAE: 0.334. Result ID: 6992b2fb3a6c31484910d752. [Reporting paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Inference Mode":"Full-shot","Averaged Prediction Lengths":"{96, 192, 336, 720}"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### TiDE MAE: 0.344. Result ID: 6992b2fb3a6c31484910d753. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Inference Mode":"Full-shot","Averaged Prediction Lengths":"{96, 192, 336, 720}"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### SCINet MAE: 0.365. Result ID: 6992b2fb3a6c31484910d755. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() [Implementation]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Inference Mode":"Full-shot","Averaged Prediction Lengths":"{96, 192, 336, 720}"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. Page 1 of 1. This is an index page, not the full collection.