Forecasting on Traffic
0.1545MAECo-TSFA
Evaluation results
| Method | Links | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Co-TSFAAnomaly Class=none, Anomaly Type=clean, Ratio (%)=–2025.12 | 0.1545 | 0.0572 | — | |
| Co-TSFAAnomaly Class=continuous, Anomaly Type=input-only, Ratio (%)=–2025.12 | 0.1862 | 0.0731 | — | |
| RobustTSFAnomaly Class=none, Anomaly Type=clean, Ratio (%)=–2025.12 | 0.1927 | 0.1099 | — | |
| Co-TSFAAnomaly Class=continuous, Anomaly Type=input+output, Ratio (%)=–2025.12 | 0.2064 | 0.0876 | — | |
| PatchTST + LIFTBackbone=PatchTST, Forecasting Horizon=24, LIFT enhancement=true2024.01 | 0.214 | 0.3 | 7.3 | |
| Co-TSFAAnomaly Class=pointwise, Anomaly Type=const, Ratio (%)=102025.12 | 0.2202 | 0.0988 | — | |
| PA-RNetBackbone=iTransformer2025.08 | 0.221 | 0.178 | — | |
| PatchTSTBackbone=PatchTST, Forecasting Horizon=24, LIFT enhancement=false2024.01 | 0.235 | 0.323 | — | |
| VFEMPrediction Horizon (F)=96, Evaluation Protocol=Ours2025.09 | 0.251 | — | — | |
| UniTSTPrediction Horizon (F)=96, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised2025.09 | 0.255 | — | — | |
| RobustTSFAnomaly Class=pointwise, Anomaly Type=const, Ratio (%)=102025.12 | 0.258 | 0.1592 | — | |
| VFEMPrediction Horizon (F)=192, Evaluation Protocol=Ours2025.09 | 0.259 | — | — | |
| VFEMPrediction Horizon (F)=Avg, Evaluation Protocol=Ours2025.09 | 0.266 | — | — | |
| UniTSTPrediction Horizon (F)=192, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised2025.09 | 0.268 | — | — | |
| VFEMPrediction Horizon (F)=336, Evaluation Protocol=Ours2025.09 | 0.269 | — | — | |
| Co-TSFAAnomaly Class=pointwise, Anomaly Type=const, Ratio (%)=202025.12 | 0.27 | 0.1337 | — | |
| ReCast2025.11 | 0.272 | 0.418 | — | |
| PatchMLP2025.11 | 0.273 | 0.417 | — | |
| UniTSTPrediction Horizon (F)=Avg, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised2025.09 | 0.274 | — | — | |
| UniTSTPrediction Horizon (F)=336, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised2025.09 | 0.275 | — | — | |
| TQNet2025.11 | 0.276 | 0.445 | — | |
| iTransformer2025.11 | 0.282 | 0.428 | — | |
| GPT4TSPrediction Horizon (F)=96, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised2025.09 | 0.282 | — | — | |
| VFEMPrediction Horizon (F)=720, Evaluation Protocol=Ours2025.09 | 0.284 | — | — | |
| GPT4TSPrediction Horizon (F)=192, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised2025.09 | 0.29 | — | — | |
| GPT4TSPrediction Horizon (F)=336, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised2025.09 | 0.294 | — | — | |
| PatchTSTPrediction Horizon (F)=96, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised2025.09 | 0.295 | — | — | |
| GPT4TSPrediction Horizon (F)=Avg, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised2025.09 | 0.295 | — | — | |
| PatchTSTPrediction Horizon (F)=192, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised2025.09 | 0.296 | — | — | |
| UniTSTPrediction Horizon (F)=720, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised2025.09 | 0.297 | — | — | |
| CycleNet2025.11 | 0.301 | 0.472 | — | |
| Co-TSFAAnomaly Class=pointwise, Anomaly Type=const, Ratio (%)=302025.12 | 0.3039 | 0.1577 | — | |
| PatchTSTPrediction Horizon (F)=336, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised2025.09 | 0.304 | — | — | |
| PatchTSTPrediction Horizon (F)=Avg, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised2025.09 | 0.304 | — | — | |
| RobustTSFAnomaly Class=pointwise, Anomaly Type=const, Ratio (%)=202025.12 | 0.3083 | 0.1943 | — | |
| Chronos-2Backbone=Chronos-2, Protocol=Baseline (pretrained checkpoint)2026.04 | 0.309 | — | — | |
| TimeVLM2025.08 | 0.309 | 0.205 | — | |
| GPT4TSPrediction Horizon (F)=720, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised2025.09 | 0.312 | — | — | |
| TimesNetPrediction Horizon (F)=96, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised2025.09 | 0.315 | — | — | |
| ChronosLargePrediction Horizon (F)=192, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-Shot2025.09 | 0.315 | — | — | |
| Co-TSFAAnomaly Class=pointwise, Anomaly Type=missing, Ratio (%)=102025.12 | 0.3165 | 0.2222 | — | |
| TimesNetPrediction Horizon (F)=192, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised2025.09 | 0.317 | — | — | |
| TimesNetPrediction Horizon (F)=336, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised2025.09 | 0.319 | — | — | |
| ChronosLargePrediction Horizon (F)=336, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-Shot2025.09 | 0.322 | — | — | |
| PatchTSTPrediction Horizon (F)=720, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised2025.09 | 0.322 | — | — | |
| TimesNetPrediction Horizon (F)=Avg, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised2025.09 | 0.322 | — | — | |
| ChronosBasePrediction Horizon (F)=192, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-Shot2025.09 | 0.323 | — | — | |
| ChronosLargePrediction Horizon (F)=96, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-Shot2025.09 | 0.326 | — | — | |
| ChronosLargePrediction Horizon (F)=Avg, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-Shot2025.09 | 0.327 | — | — | |
| ChronosBasePrediction Horizon (F)=336, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-Shot2025.09 | 0.328 | — | — | |
| Chronos-2Backbone=Chronos-2, Protocol=Fine-tuned (KS + LMC + DynLMC - Regime Shift)2026.04 | 0.33 | — | — | |
| Chronos-2Backbone=Chronos-2, Protocol=Fine-tuned (KS + LMC + DynLMC - Lag)2026.04 | 0.333 | — | — | |
| TimesNetPrediction Horizon (F)=720, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised2025.09 | 0.335 | — | — | |
| ChronosBasePrediction Horizon (F)=Avg, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-Shot2025.09 | 0.335 | — | — | |
| TimesNet2025.11 | 0.336 | 0.62 | — | |
| Chronos-2Backbone=Chronos-2, Protocol=Fine-tuned (KS + LMC + DynLMC - Drift)2026.04 | 0.337 | — | — | |
| ChronosBasePrediction Horizon (F)=96, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-Shot2025.09 | 0.337 | — | — | |
| ChronosLargePrediction Horizon (F)=720, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-Shot2025.09 | 0.344 | — | — | |
| RobustTSFAnomaly Class=pointwise, Anomaly Type=const, Ratio (%)=302025.12 | 0.3448 | 0.2321 | — | |
| MoiraiLargePrediction Horizon (F)=96, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-Shot2025.09 | 0.349 | — | — | |
| ChronosBasePrediction Horizon (F)=720, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-Shot2025.09 | 0.351 | — | — | |
| Chronos-2Backbone=Chronos-2, Protocol=Fine-tuned (KS + LMC + DynLMC - Combined)2026.04 | 0.354 | — | — | |
| MoiraiBasePrediction Horizon (F)=96, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-Shot2025.09 | 0.358 | — | — | |
| PatchTST2025.11 | 0.362 | 0.555 | — | |
| MoiraiLargePrediction Horizon (F)=192, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-Shot2025.09 | 0.362 | — | — | |
| MoiraiLargePrediction Horizon (F)=Avg, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-Shot2025.09 | 0.37 | — | — | |
| MoiraiBasePrediction Horizon (F)=192, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-Shot2025.09 | 0.376 | — | — | |
| MoiraiLargePrediction Horizon (F)=336, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-Shot2025.09 | 0.377 | — | — | |
| MoiraiBasePrediction Horizon (F)=Avg, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-Shot2025.09 | 0.377 | — | — | |
| MoiraiBasePrediction Horizon (F)=336, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-Shot2025.09 | 0.38 | — | — | |
| Dlinear2025.11 | 0.383 | 0.625 | — | |
| RobustTSFAnomaly Class=pointwise, Anomaly Type=missing, Ratio (%)=102025.12 | 0.3884 | 0.3919 | — | |
| MoiraiLargePrediction Horizon (F)=720, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-Shot2025.09 | 0.391 | — | — | |
| MoiraiBasePrediction Horizon (F)=720, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-Shot2025.09 | 0.394 | — | — | |
| Co-TSFAAnomaly Class=pointwise, Anomaly Type=missing, Ratio (%)=202025.12 | 0.4182 | 0.3385 | — | |
| RobustTSFAnomaly Class=pointwise, Anomaly Type=gaussian, Ratio (%)=102025.12 | 0.4244 | 0.6174 | — | |
| TimeCMA2025.08 | 0.456 | 0.35 | — | |
| Co-TSFAAnomaly Class=pointwise, Anomaly Type=missing, Ratio (%)=302025.12 | 0.4814 | 0.4212 | — | |
| Co-TSFAAnomaly Class=pointwise, Anomaly Type=gaussian, Ratio (%)=102025.12 | 0.5119 | 0.7466 | — | |
| RobustTSFAnomaly Class=continuous, Anomaly Type=input-only, Ratio (%)=–2025.12 | 0.5135 | 0.5481 | — | |
| RobustTSFAnomaly Class=pointwise, Anomaly Type=missing, Ratio (%)=202025.12 | 0.5333 | 0.6121 | — | |
| TimePFNBackbone=TimePFN, Protocol=Fine-tuned (KS + LMC + DynLMC - Regime Shift)2026.04 | 0.593 | — | — | |
| TimePFNBackbone=TimePFN, Protocol=Baseline pretrained on KS + LMC2026.04 | 0.596 | — | — | |
| TimePFNBackbone=TimePFN, Protocol=Fine-tuned (KS + LMC + DynLMC - Drift)2026.04 | 0.596 | — | — | |
| TimePFNBackbone=TimePFN, Protocol=Fine-tuned (KS + LMC + DynLMC - Combined)2026.04 | 0.596 | — | — | |
| iTransformerBackbone=iTransformer, Protocol=Fine-tuned (KS + LMC + DynLMC - Combined)2026.04 | 0.603 | — | — | |
| RobustTSFAnomaly Class=pointwise, Anomaly Type=missing, Ratio (%)=302025.12 | 0.6045 | 0.6641 | — | |
| iTransformerBackbone=iTransformer, Protocol=Fine-tuned (KS + LMC + DynLMC - Regime Shift)2026.04 | 0.61 | — | — | |
| RobustTSFAnomaly Class=pointwise, Anomaly Type=gaussian, Ratio (%)=202025.12 | 0.6318 | 1.1399 | — | |
| iTransformerBackbone=iTransformer, Protocol=Fine-tuned (KS + LMC + DynLMC - Drift)2026.04 | 0.638 | — | — | |
| TimePFNBackbone=TimePFN, Protocol=Fine-tuned (KS + LMC + DynLMC - Lag)2026.04 | 0.666 | — | — | |
| iTransformerBackbone=iTransformer, Protocol=Fine-tuned (KS + LMC + DynLMC - Lag)2026.04 | 0.672 | — | — | |
| iTransformerBackbone=iTransformer, Protocol=Baseline pretrained on KS + LMC2026.04 | 0.676 | — | — | |
| RobustTSFAnomaly Class=pointwise, Anomaly Type=gaussian, Ratio (%)=302025.12 | 0.7872 | 1.5621 | — | |
| Naïve MeanModel Category=Naïve Predictions2026.04 | 0.805 | — | — | |
| Co-TSFAAnomaly Class=pointwise, Anomaly Type=gaussian, Ratio (%)=202025.12 | 0.8216 | 1.5396 | — | |
| RobustTSFAnomaly Class=continuous, Anomaly Type=input+output, Ratio (%)=–2025.12 | 0.8647 | 1.3267 | — | |
| Co-TSFAAnomaly Class=pointwise, Anomaly Type=gaussian, Ratio (%)=302025.12 | 1.0647 | 2.2862 | — | |
| Naïve LastModel Category=Naïve Predictions2026.04 | 1.077 | — | — | |
| Seasonal NaïveModel Category=Naïve Predictions2026.04 | 1.098 | — | — |