Forecasting on Solar
0.147MAEPatchTST + LIFT
Evaluation results
| Method | Links | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PatchTST + LIFTBackbone=PatchTST, Forecasting Horizon=24, LIFT enhancement=true2024.01 | 0.147 | 0.087 | 11 | |
| PatchTSTBackbone=PatchTST, Forecasting Horizon=24, LIFT enhancement=false2024.01 | 0.16 | 0.095 | — | |
| TQNet2025.11 | 0.256 | 0.198 | — | |
| ReCast2025.11 | 0.26 | 0.209 | — | |
| PatchMLP2025.11 | 0.261 | 0.211 | — | |
| CycleNet2025.11 | 0.261 | 0.21 | — | |
| iTransformer2025.11 | 0.262 | 0.233 | — | |
| Dlinear2025.11 | 0.282 | 0.401 | — | |
| TimesNet2025.11 | 0.33 | 0.319 | — | |
| Chronos-2Backbone=Chronos-2, Protocol=Baseline (pretrained checkpoint)2026.04 | 0.343 | — | — | |
| Chronos-2Backbone=Chronos-2, Protocol=Fine-tuned (KS + LMC + DynLMC - Lag)2026.04 | 0.348 | — | — | |
| Chronos-2Backbone=Chronos-2, Protocol=Fine-tuned (KS + LMC + DynLMC - Regime Shift)2026.04 | 0.368 | — | — | |
| Chronos-2Backbone=Chronos-2, Protocol=Fine-tuned (KS + LMC + DynLMC - Drift)2026.04 | 0.37 | — | — | |
| Chronos-2Backbone=Chronos-2, Protocol=Fine-tuned (KS + LMC + DynLMC - Combined)2026.04 | 0.417 | — | — | |
| PatchTST2025.11 | 0.641 | 0.307 | — | |
| Naïve MeanModel Category=Naïve Predictions2026.04 | 0.734 | — | — | |
| iTransformerBackbone=iTransformer, Protocol=Fine-tuned (KS + LMC + DynLMC - Lag)2026.04 | 0.735 | — | — | |
| iTransformerBackbone=iTransformer, Protocol=Fine-tuned (KS + LMC + DynLMC - Combined)2026.04 | 0.762 | — | — | |
| iTransformerBackbone=iTransformer, Protocol=Fine-tuned (KS + LMC + DynLMC - Drift)2026.04 | 0.763 | — | — | |
| iTransformerBackbone=iTransformer, Protocol=Fine-tuned (KS + LMC + DynLMC - Regime Shift)2026.04 | 0.781 | — | — | |
| Naïve LastModel Category=Naïve Predictions2026.04 | 0.815 | — | — | |
| iTransformerBackbone=iTransformer, Protocol=Baseline pretrained on KS + LMC2026.04 | 0.844 | — | — | |
| Seasonal NaïveModel Category=Naïve Predictions2026.04 | 0.844 | — | — | |
| TimePFNBackbone=TimePFN, Protocol=Fine-tuned (KS + LMC + DynLMC - Lag)2026.04 | 0.967 | — | — | |
| TimePFNBackbone=TimePFN, Protocol=Fine-tuned (KS + LMC + DynLMC - Regime Shift)2026.04 | 1.009 | — | — | |
| TimePFNBackbone=TimePFN, Protocol=Fine-tuned (KS + LMC + DynLMC - Combined)2026.04 | 1.021 | — | — | |
| TimePFNBackbone=TimePFN, Protocol=Baseline pretrained on KS + LMC2026.04 | 1.063 | — | — | |
| TimePFNBackbone=TimePFN, Protocol=Fine-tuned (KS + LMC + DynLMC - Drift)2026.04 | 1.077 | — | — |