Forecasting on Prophet Arena
0.075Brier ScoreFOCO
Evaluation Results
| Method | Links | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| FOCOBackbone=GPT-5-mini2026.05 | 0.075 | 0.077 | |
| FOCO (Static)Backbone=GPT-5-mini2026.05 | 0.083 | 0.089 | |
| BASE (Retro)Backbone=GPT-5-mini2026.05 | 0.109 | 0.079 | |
| A-MEMBackbone=GPT-5-mini2026.05 | 0.109 | 0.092 | |
| FOCOBackbone=Gemini-2.5-Flash2026.05 | 0.118 | 0.09 | |
| GRAPHITIBackbone=GPT-5-mini2026.05 | 0.134 | 0.097 | |
| FOCO (Static)Backbone=Gemini-2.5-Flash2026.05 | 0.134 | 0.112 | |
| MEM0Backbone=GPT-5-mini2026.05 | 0.149 | 0.101 | |
| BASEBackbone=GPT-5-mini2026.05 | 0.15 | 0.114 | |
| REFLEXIONBackbone=GPT-5-mini2026.05 | 0.15 | 0.086 | |
| BASE (Retro)Backbone=Gemini-2.5-Flash2026.05 | 0.187 | 0.098 | |
| REFLEXIONBackbone=Gemini-2.5-Flash2026.05 | 0.196 | 0.114 | |
| BASEBackbone=Gemini-2.5-Flash2026.05 | 0.202 | 0.106 | |
| A-MEMBackbone=Gemini-2.5-Flash2026.05 | 0.204 | 0.115 | |
| MEM0Backbone=Gemini-2.5-Flash2026.05 | 0.208 | 0.125 | |
| GRAPHITIBackbone=Gemini-2.5-Flash2026.05 | 0.215 | 0.14 |