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ResearchFormerly WizWand

Forecasting on Prophet Arena

0.075Brier ScoreFOCO
0.06940.10720.1450.1828May 29, 2026
Updated 5mo ago

Evaluation results

MethodLinks
FOCOBackbone=GPT-5-mini2026.050.0750.077
FOCO (Static)Backbone=GPT-5-mini2026.050.0830.089
BASE (Retro)Backbone=GPT-5-mini2026.050.1090.079
A-MEMBackbone=GPT-5-mini2026.050.1090.092
FOCOBackbone=Gemini-2.5-Flash2026.050.1180.09
GRAPHITIBackbone=GPT-5-mini2026.050.1340.097
FOCO (Static)Backbone=Gemini-2.5-Flash2026.050.1340.112
MEM0Backbone=GPT-5-mini2026.050.1490.101
BASEBackbone=GPT-5-mini2026.050.150.114
REFLEXIONBackbone=GPT-5-mini2026.050.150.086
BASE (Retro)Backbone=Gemini-2.5-Flash2026.050.1870.098
REFLEXIONBackbone=Gemini-2.5-Flash2026.050.1960.114
BASEBackbone=Gemini-2.5-Flash2026.050.2020.106
A-MEMBackbone=Gemini-2.5-Flash2026.050.2040.115
MEM0Backbone=Gemini-2.5-Flash2026.050.2080.125
GRAPHITIBackbone=Gemini-2.5-Flash2026.050.2150.14