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ResearchFormerly WizWand

Forecasting on FutureX

0.187Brier ScoreFOCO
0.183480.207240.2310.25476May 29, 2026
Updated 5mo ago

Evaluation results

MethodLinks
FOCOBackbone=GPT-5-mini2026.050.1870.195
A-MEMBackbone=GPT-5-mini2026.050.1940.208
BASE (Retro)Backbone=GPT-5-mini2026.050.1970.209
MEM0Backbone=GPT-5-mini2026.050.1970.217
REFLEXIONBackbone=GPT-5-mini2026.050.2030.222
FOCO (Static)Backbone=GPT-5-mini2026.050.2030.219
FOCOBackbone=Gemini-2.5-Flash2026.050.2160.198
GRAPHITIBackbone=GPT-5-mini2026.050.2180.244
BASEBackbone=GPT-5-mini2026.050.2410.263
BASE (Retro)Backbone=Gemini-2.5-Flash2026.050.2410.279
FOCO (Static)Backbone=Gemini-2.5-Flash2026.050.2430.237
REFLEXIONBackbone=Gemini-2.5-Flash2026.050.2520.266
BASEBackbone=Gemini-2.5-Flash2026.050.2660.299
A-MEMBackbone=Gemini-2.5-Flash2026.050.2690.287
MEM0Backbone=Gemini-2.5-Flash2026.050.2720.296
GRAPHITIBackbone=Gemini-2.5-Flash2026.050.2750.301