Forecasting on Exchange (MAE)
0.196MAENaïve Last
Evaluation results
| Method | Links | |
|---|---|---|
| Naïve LastModel Category=Naïve Predictions2026.04 | 0.196 | |
| Seasonal NaïveModel Category=Naïve Predictions2026.04 | 0.205 | |
| Chronos-2Backbone=Chronos-2, Protocol=Baseline (pretrained checkpoint)2026.04 | 0.209 | |
| Chronos-2Backbone=Chronos-2, Protocol=Fine-tuned (KS + LMC + DynLMC - Lag)2026.04 | 0.216 | |
| Chronos-2Backbone=Chronos-2, Protocol=Fine-tuned (KS + LMC + DynLMC - Drift)2026.04 | 0.217 | |
| TimePFNBackbone=TimePFN, Protocol=Fine-tuned (KS + LMC + DynLMC - Drift)2026.04 | 0.225 | |
| iTransformerBackbone=iTransformer, Protocol=Fine-tuned (KS + LMC + DynLMC - Combined)2026.04 | 0.225 | |
| TimePFNBackbone=TimePFN, Protocol=Baseline pretrained on KS + LMC2026.04 | 0.226 | |
| iTransformerBackbone=iTransformer, Protocol=Baseline pretrained on KS + LMC2026.04 | 0.226 | |
| iTransformerBackbone=iTransformer, Protocol=Fine-tuned (KS + LMC + DynLMC - Regime Shift)2026.04 | 0.226 | |
| TimePFNBackbone=TimePFN, Protocol=Fine-tuned (KS + LMC + DynLMC - Combined)2026.04 | 0.228 | |
| Chronos-2Backbone=Chronos-2, Protocol=Fine-tuned (KS + LMC + DynLMC - Regime Shift)2026.04 | 0.228 | |
| TimePFNBackbone=TimePFN, Protocol=Fine-tuned (KS + LMC + DynLMC - Lag)2026.04 | 0.229 | |
| TimePFNBackbone=TimePFN, Protocol=Fine-tuned (KS + LMC + DynLMC - Regime Shift)2026.04 | 0.229 | |
| Chronos-2Backbone=Chronos-2, Protocol=Fine-tuned (KS + LMC + DynLMC - Combined)2026.04 | 0.231 | |
| iTransformerBackbone=iTransformer, Protocol=Fine-tuned (KS + LMC + DynLMC - Lag)2026.04 | 0.232 | |
| iTransformerBackbone=iTransformer, Protocol=Fine-tuned (KS + LMC + DynLMC - Drift)2026.04 | 0.233 | |
| Naïve MeanModel Category=Naïve Predictions2026.04 | 0.269 |