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ResearchFormerly WizWand

Forecasting on ETTh1 (MAE)

0.0422MAETriHead-GAN
0.0148080.1997040.38460.569496Sep 25, 2025Nov 4, 2025Dec 15, 2025Jan 24, 2026Mar 6, 2026Apr 15, 2026May 26, 2026
Updated 4mo ago

Evaluation results

MethodLinks
TriHead-GANProtocol=Real+Syn2026.050.0422
TriHead-GANProtocol=TSTR2026.050.0435
TimeDPProtocol=Real+Syn2026.050.0459
PAD-TSProtocol=Real+Syn2026.050.0466
Diffusion-TSProtocol=Real+Syn2026.050.047
TriHead-GANProtocol=TRTR2026.050.0491
TimeGANProtocol=Real+Syn2026.050.0503
TimeDPProtocol=TSTR2026.050.0504
TTS-GANProtocol=Real+Syn2026.050.0507
PAD-TSProtocol=TSTR2026.050.0514
RCGANProtocol=Real+Syn2026.050.0514
Diffusion-TSProtocol=TSTR2026.050.0551
TTS-GANProtocol=TSTR2026.050.0683
RCGANProtocol=TSTR2026.050.0791
TimeGANProtocol=TSTR2026.050.1041
VFEMPrediction Horizon (F)=96, Evaluation Protocol=Ours2025.090.383
MoiraiLargePrediction Horizon (F)=96, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-Shot2025.090.388
ChronosLargePrediction Horizon (F)=96, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-Shot2025.090.39
MoiraiBasePrediction Horizon (F)=96, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-Shot2025.090.392
ChronosBasePrediction Horizon (F)=96, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-Shot2025.090.393
Chronos-2Backbone=Chronos-2, Protocol=Baseline (pretrained checkpoint)2026.040.397
GPT4TSPrediction Horizon (F)=96, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised2025.090.397
UniTSTPrediction Horizon (F)=96, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised2025.090.398
Chronos-2Backbone=Chronos-2, Protocol=Fine-tuned (KS + LMC + DynLMC - Drift)2026.040.399
Chronos-2Backbone=Chronos-2, Protocol=Fine-tuned (KS + LMC + DynLMC - Lag)2026.040.401
VFEMPrediction Horizon (F)=192, Evaluation Protocol=Ours2025.090.405
Chronos-2Backbone=Chronos-2, Protocol=Fine-tuned (KS + LMC + DynLMC - Regime Shift)2026.040.406
Chronos-2Backbone=Chronos-2, Protocol=Fine-tuned (KS + LMC + DynLMC - Combined)2026.040.406
VFEMPrediction Horizon (F)=Avg, Evaluation Protocol=Ours2025.090.409
PatchTSTPrediction Horizon (F)=96, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised2025.090.413
MoiraiBasePrediction Horizon (F)=192, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-Shot2025.090.413
VFEMPrediction Horizon (F)=336, Evaluation Protocol=Ours2025.090.414
MoiraiLargePrediction Horizon (F)=192, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-Shot2025.090.415
GPT4TSPrediction Horizon (F)=192, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised2025.090.418
MoiraiBasePrediction Horizon (F)=Avg, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-Shot2025.090.419
ChronosBasePrediction Horizon (F)=192, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-Shot2025.090.426
UniTSTPrediction Horizon (F)=192, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised2025.090.426
MoiraiBasePrediction Horizon (F)=336, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-Shot2025.090.428
PatchTSTPrediction Horizon (F)=192, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised2025.090.43
GPT4TSPrediction Horizon (F)=336, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised2025.090.433
VFEMPrediction Horizon (F)=720, Evaluation Protocol=Ours2025.090.434
UniTSTPrediction Horizon (F)=Avg, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised2025.090.435
TimePFNBackbone=TimePFN, Protocol=Fine-tuned (KS + LMC + DynLMC - Drift)2026.040.436
TimePFNBackbone=TimePFN, Protocol=Fine-tuned (KS + LMC + DynLMC - Combined)2026.040.437
TimePFNBackbone=TimePFN, Protocol=Fine-tuned (KS + LMC + DynLMC - Regime Shift)2026.040.438
TimePFNBackbone=TimePFN, Protocol=Baseline pretrained on KS + LMC2026.040.44
MoiraiLargePrediction Horizon (F)=Avg, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-Shot2025.090.44
GPT4TSPrediction Horizon (F)=Avg, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised2025.090.441
MoiraiBasePrediction Horizon (F)=720, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-Shot2025.090.444
MoiraiLargePrediction Horizon (F)=336, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-Shot2025.090.445
UniTSTPrediction Horizon (F)=336, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised2025.090.445
iTransformerBackbone=iTransformer, Protocol=Fine-tuned (KS + LMC + DynLMC - Combined)2026.040.447
PatchTSTPrediction Horizon (F)=Avg, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised2025.090.447
iTransformerBackbone=iTransformer, Protocol=Fine-tuned (KS + LMC + DynLMC - Regime Shift)2026.040.448
iTransformerBackbone=iTransformer, Protocol=Fine-tuned (KS + LMC + DynLMC - Lag)2026.040.458
TimePFNBackbone=TimePFN, Protocol=Fine-tuned (KS + LMC + DynLMC - Lag)2026.040.459
iTransformerBackbone=iTransformer, Protocol=Baseline pretrained on KS + LMC2026.040.462
ChronosBasePrediction Horizon (F)=336, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-Shot2025.090.462
PatchTSTPrediction Horizon (F)=336, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised2025.090.462
TimesNetPrediction Horizon (F)=96, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised2025.090.463
ChronosLargePrediction Horizon (F)=336, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-Shot2025.090.467
iTransformerBackbone=iTransformer, Protocol=Fine-tuned (KS + LMC + DynLMC - Drift)2026.040.468
ChronosBasePrediction Horizon (F)=Avg, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-Shot2025.090.468
UniTSTPrediction Horizon (F)=720, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised2025.090.469
TimesNetPrediction Horizon (F)=192, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised2025.090.477
PatchTSTPrediction Horizon (F)=720, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised2025.090.481
TimesNetPrediction Horizon (F)=336, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised2025.090.489
ChronosLargePrediction Horizon (F)=Avg, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-Shot2025.090.491
TimesNetPrediction Horizon (F)=Avg, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised2025.090.491
MoiraiLargePrediction Horizon (F)=720, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-Shot2025.090.51
GPT4TSPrediction Horizon (F)=720, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised2025.090.515
ChronosLargePrediction Horizon (F)=192, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-Shot2025.090.524
TimesNetPrediction Horizon (F)=720, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised2025.090.534
Naïve MeanModel Category=Naïve Predictions2026.040.558
ChronosLargePrediction Horizon (F)=720, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-Shot2025.090.583
ChronosBasePrediction Horizon (F)=720, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-Shot2025.090.591
Naïve LastModel Category=Naïve Predictions2026.040.713
Seasonal NaïveModel Category=Naïve Predictions2026.040.727