Epidemic Forecasting on USA ILI 13-week horizon
41.56SMAPESTEN
Evaluation results
| Method | Links | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STENModel Category=ST-Engression Models (Proposed), Forecast Horizon=13-week2026.03 | 41.56 | 65.88 | 119.07 | 1.75 | 1.14 | 29.33 | 18.96 | 23 | 16 | 53.17 | 1,039.84 | |
| LSTMModel Category=Temporal Models, Forecast Horizon=13-week2026.03 | 41.72 | 73.2 | 149.72 | 1.95 | 1.44 | 42.27 | 45.1 | 26 | 31 | 73.2 | — | |
| NHiTSModel Category=Temporal Models, Forecast Horizon=13-week2026.03 | 50.84 | 102.91 | 118.53 | 2.69 | 1.84 | 56.45 | 58.94 | 36 | 41 | 102.91 | — | |
| DeepARModel Category=Probabilistic Models (Temporal & Spatiotemporal), Forecast Horizon=13-week2026.03 | 86.24 | 173.18 | 361.28 | 4.61 | 3.47 | 113 | 105.51 | 60 | 78 | 151.28 | 4,138.05 |