Epidemic Forecasting on Belgium COVID-19 medium-term (test)
57.1SMAPEGCEN
Evaluation results
| Method | Links | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GCENModel Type=ST-Engression Models2026.03 | 57.1 | 58.29 | 85.91 | 0.29 | 0.17 | 23.97 | 14.43 | 0.42 | 0.27 | 48.13 | 979.99 | |
| LSTMModel Type=Temporal Models2026.03 | 64.04 | 69.87 | 100.37 | 0.35 | 0.2 | 27.02 | 23.06 | 0.5 | 0.35 | 69.87 | — | |
| MVENModel Category=ST-Engression Models (Proposed), Forecast Horizon=90-day2026.03 | 69.29 | 90.09 | 124.67 | 0.44 | 0.24 | 31.39 | 12.3 | 0.6 | 0.27 | 65.78 | 713.64 | |
| STENModel Category=ST-Engression Models (Proposed), Forecast Horizon=90-day2026.03 | 81.37 | 97.53 | 144.28 | 0.47 | 0.28 | 40.45 | 12.68 | 0.65 | 0.3 | 71.36 | 638.55 | |
| LSTMModel Category=Temporal Models, Forecast Horizon=90-day2026.03 | 101.51 | 242.15 | 304.01 | 1.18 | 0.6 | 51.44 | 16.63 | 1.6 | 0.37 | 242.15 | — | |
| DiffSTGModel Type=Probabilistic Models2026.03 | 120.62 | 302.94 | 327.39 | 1.5 | 0.65 | 124.04 | 48.16 | 2.22 | 1.16 | 201.96 | 1,362.17 |