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Electricity load forecasting on French electricity-load Pre-lockdown 2019-2021

623.1RMSEMELO (Base+EWLS)
610.16697.505784.85872.195May 7, 2026

Evaluation results

MethodLinks
MELO (Base+EWLS)Regime length (days)=441, Online processing=true2026.05623.167.49.8
MLpol on EWLS onlyRegime length (days)=4412026.05653.9——
Per-regime best EWLS (hindsight)Regime length (days)=441, Hindsight (non-deployable protocol)=true2026.05656.2——
Best single EWLS (γ = 0.9986, hindsight)Regime length (days)=441, Hindsight (non-deployable protocol)=true2026.05657.9——
TabICL (online, +GRI)Regime length (days)=441, Online processing=true, Regime-informed covariates (+GRI)=true2026.05668——
TabICL (online)Regime length (days)=441, Online processing=true2026.05670.3——
MLpol on Base onlyRegime length (days)=4412026.05690.5——
GAM (best static overall)Regime length (days)=4412026.05946.6——