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Electricity load forecasting on French electricity-load 2019-2021 (Lockdown)

998.8RMSEPer-regime best EWLS (hindsight)
910.71,505.3752,100.052,694.725May 7, 2026

Evaluation results

MethodLinks
Per-regime best EWLS (hindsight)Regime length (days)=56, Hindsight (non-deployable protocol)=true2026.05998.8——
MLpol on EWLS onlyRegime length (days)=562026.051,073.6——
MELO (Base+EWLS)Regime length (days)=56, Online processing=true2026.051,086.11,366.655.7
TabICL (online, +GRI)Regime length (days)=56, Online processing=true, Regime-informed covariates (+GRI)=true2026.051,132.6——
Best single EWLS (γ = 0.9986, hindsight)Regime length (days)=56, Hindsight (non-deployable protocol)=true2026.051,168.3——
MLpol on Base onlyRegime length (days)=562026.052,452.7——
TabICL (online)Regime length (days)=56, Online processing=true2026.052,943.6——
GAM (best static overall)Regime length (days)=562026.053,201.3——