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Electricity load forecasting on French electricity-load 2019-2021 (Post-lockdown)

573.6RMSEPer-regime best EWLS (hindsight)
553.496689.198824.9960.602May 7, 2026

Evaluation results

MethodLinks
Per-regime best EWLS (hindsight)Regime length (days)=249, Hindsight (non-deployable protocol)=true2026.05573.6——
MELO (Base+EWLS)Regime length (days)=249, Online processing=true2026.05579.3327.836.1
MLpol on EWLS onlyRegime length (days)=2492026.05584.1——
Best single EWLS (γ = 0.9986, hindsight)Regime length (days)=249, Hindsight (non-deployable protocol)=true2026.05585.4——
TabICL (online)Regime length (days)=249, Online processing=true2026.05687.4——
TabICL (online, +GRI)Regime length (days)=249, Online processing=true, Regime-informed covariates (+GRI)=true2026.05699.5——
MLpol on Base onlyRegime length (days)=2492026.05907——
GAM (best static overall)Regime length (days)=2492026.051,076.2——