Cold-start Photovoltaic Forecasting on 440 PVGIS Sites
0.717RMSETabPFN-TS
Evaluation Results
| Method | Links | |
|---|---|---|
| TabPFN-TSFeedback Protocol=RF (Real feedback)2026.06 | 0.717 | |
| Chronos-2Feedback Protocol=RF (Real feedback)2026.06 | 0.735 | |
| TimesFM 2.5Feedback Protocol=RF (Real feedback)2026.06 | 0.779 | |
| Chronos-2Feedback Protocol=SFF (Self-Forecast Feedback)2026.06 | 1.113 | |
| Chronos-2Feedback Protocol=CSB (Cold-start baseline)2026.06 | 1.114 | |
| TimesFM 2.5Feedback Protocol=SFF (Self-Forecast Feedback)2026.06 | 1.123 | |
| TabPFN-TSFeedback Protocol=CSB (Cold-start baseline)2026.06 | 1.131 | |
| ProphetFeedback Protocol=CSB (Cold-start baseline)2026.06 | 1.137 | |
| ProphetFeedback Protocol=RF (Real feedback)2026.06 | 1.138 | |
| ProphetFeedback Protocol=SFF (Self-Forecast Feedback)2026.06 | 1.138 | |
| TabPFN-TSFeedback Protocol=SFF (Self-Forecast Feedback)2026.06 | 1.146 | |
| TimesFM 2.5Feedback Protocol=CSB (Cold-start baseline)2026.06 | 1.159 | |
| TiRexFeedback Protocol=RF (Real feedback)2026.06 | 1.389 | |
| Moirai 2.0Feedback Protocol=RF (Real feedback)2026.06 | 1.422 | |
| TiRexFeedback Protocol=CSB (Cold-start baseline)2026.06 | 1.597 | |
| Moirai 2.0Feedback Protocol=CSB (Cold-start baseline)2026.06 | 1.606 | |
| Moirai 2.0Feedback Protocol=SFF (Self-Forecast Feedback)2026.06 | 1.634 | |
| naiveFeedback Protocol=RF (Real feedback)2026.06 | 1.857 | |
| seasonal-naiveFeedback Protocol=CSB (Cold-start baseline)2026.06 | 1.891 | |
| seasonal-naiveFeedback Protocol=SFF (Self-Forecast Feedback)2026.06 | 1.899 | |
| seasonal-naiveFeedback Protocol=RF (Real feedback)2026.06 | 1.913 | |
| TiRexFeedback Protocol=SFF (Self-Forecast Feedback)2026.06 | 1.97 | |
| naiveFeedback Protocol=CSB (Cold-start baseline)2026.06 | 2.07 | |
| naiveFeedback Protocol=SFF (Self-Forecast Feedback)2026.06 | 2.079 |