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ResearchFormerly WizWand

Cold-start Photovoltaic Forecasting on 440 PVGIS Sites

0.717RMSETabPFN-TS
0.662521.030261.3981.76574Jun 5, 2026
Updated 4mo ago

Evaluation results

MethodLinks
TabPFN-TSFeedback Protocol=RF (Real feedback)2026.060.717
Chronos-2Feedback Protocol=RF (Real feedback)2026.060.735
TimesFM 2.5Feedback Protocol=RF (Real feedback)2026.060.779
Chronos-2Feedback Protocol=SFF (Self-Forecast Feedback)2026.061.113
Chronos-2Feedback Protocol=CSB (Cold-start baseline)2026.061.114
TimesFM 2.5Feedback Protocol=SFF (Self-Forecast Feedback)2026.061.123
TabPFN-TSFeedback Protocol=CSB (Cold-start baseline)2026.061.131
ProphetFeedback Protocol=CSB (Cold-start baseline)2026.061.137
ProphetFeedback Protocol=RF (Real feedback)2026.061.138
ProphetFeedback Protocol=SFF (Self-Forecast Feedback)2026.061.138
TabPFN-TSFeedback Protocol=SFF (Self-Forecast Feedback)2026.061.146
TimesFM 2.5Feedback Protocol=CSB (Cold-start baseline)2026.061.159
TiRexFeedback Protocol=RF (Real feedback)2026.061.389
Moirai 2.0Feedback Protocol=RF (Real feedback)2026.061.422
TiRexFeedback Protocol=CSB (Cold-start baseline)2026.061.597
Moirai 2.0Feedback Protocol=CSB (Cold-start baseline)2026.061.606
Moirai 2.0Feedback Protocol=SFF (Self-Forecast Feedback)2026.061.634
naiveFeedback Protocol=RF (Real feedback)2026.061.857
seasonal-naiveFeedback Protocol=CSB (Cold-start baseline)2026.061.891
seasonal-naiveFeedback Protocol=SFF (Self-Forecast Feedback)2026.061.899
seasonal-naiveFeedback Protocol=RF (Real feedback)2026.061.913
TiRexFeedback Protocol=SFF (Self-Forecast Feedback)2026.061.97
naiveFeedback Protocol=CSB (Cold-start baseline)2026.062.07
naiveFeedback Protocol=SFF (Self-Forecast Feedback)2026.062.079