Cold-start Photovoltaic Forecasting on 440 Photovoltaic Sites OPAQUE context
0.721RMSETabPFN-TS
Evaluation Results
| Method | Links | |
|---|---|---|
| TabPFN-TSFeedback Protocol=RF (Real feedback)2026.06 | 0.721 | |
| Chronos-2Feedback Protocol=RF (Real feedback)2026.06 | 0.737 | |
| TimesFM 2.5Feedback Protocol=RF (Real feedback)2026.06 | 0.793 | |
| Chronos-2Feedback Protocol=SFF (Self-Forecast Feedback)2026.06 | 1.203 | |
| ProphetFeedback Protocol=CSB (Cold-start baseline)2026.06 | 1.221 | |
| ProphetFeedback Protocol=RF (Real feedback)2026.06 | 1.222 | |
| ProphetFeedback Protocol=SFF (Self-Forecast Feedback)2026.06 | 1.222 | |
| TabPFN-TSFeedback Protocol=CSB (Cold-start baseline)2026.06 | 1.238 | |
| Chronos-2Feedback Protocol=CSB (Cold-start baseline)2026.06 | 1.244 | |
| TabPFN-TSFeedback Protocol=SFF (Self-Forecast Feedback)2026.06 | 1.247 | |
| TimesFM 2.5Feedback Protocol=CSB (Cold-start baseline)2026.06 | 1.273 | |
| TimesFM 2.5Feedback Protocol=SFF (Self-Forecast Feedback)2026.06 | 1.282 | |
| TiRexFeedback Protocol=RF (Real feedback)2026.06 | 1.393 | |
| Moirai 2.0Feedback Protocol=RF (Real feedback)2026.06 | 1.426 | |
| Moirai 2.0Feedback Protocol=SFF (Self-Forecast Feedback)2026.06 | 1.625 | |
| Moirai 2.0Feedback Protocol=CSB (Cold-start baseline)2026.06 | 1.627 | |
| TiRexFeedback Protocol=CSB (Cold-start baseline)2026.06 | 1.683 | |
| naiveFeedback Protocol=RF (Real feedback)2026.06 | 1.859 | |
| TiRexFeedback Protocol=SFF (Self-Forecast Feedback)2026.06 | 1.972 | |
| seasonal-naiveFeedback Protocol=CSB (Cold-start baseline)2026.06 | 1.998 | |
| seasonal-naiveFeedback Protocol=SFF (Self-Forecast Feedback)2026.06 | 2.006 | |
| naiveFeedback Protocol=CSB (Cold-start baseline)2026.06 | 2.023 | |
| seasonal-naiveFeedback Protocol=RF (Real feedback)2026.06 | 2.023 | |
| naiveFeedback Protocol=SFF (Self-Forecast Feedback)2026.06 | 2.03 |