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ResearchFormerly WizWand

Cold-start Photovoltaic Forecasting on 440 Photovoltaic Sites OPAQUE context

0.721RMSETabPFN-TS
0.668641.022071.37551.72893Jun 5, 2026
Updated 4mo ago

Evaluation results

MethodLinks
TabPFN-TSFeedback Protocol=RF (Real feedback)2026.060.721
Chronos-2Feedback Protocol=RF (Real feedback)2026.060.737
TimesFM 2.5Feedback Protocol=RF (Real feedback)2026.060.793
Chronos-2Feedback Protocol=SFF (Self-Forecast Feedback)2026.061.203
ProphetFeedback Protocol=CSB (Cold-start baseline)2026.061.221
ProphetFeedback Protocol=RF (Real feedback)2026.061.222
ProphetFeedback Protocol=SFF (Self-Forecast Feedback)2026.061.222
TabPFN-TSFeedback Protocol=CSB (Cold-start baseline)2026.061.238
Chronos-2Feedback Protocol=CSB (Cold-start baseline)2026.061.244
TabPFN-TSFeedback Protocol=SFF (Self-Forecast Feedback)2026.061.247
TimesFM 2.5Feedback Protocol=CSB (Cold-start baseline)2026.061.273
TimesFM 2.5Feedback Protocol=SFF (Self-Forecast Feedback)2026.061.282
TiRexFeedback Protocol=RF (Real feedback)2026.061.393
Moirai 2.0Feedback Protocol=RF (Real feedback)2026.061.426
Moirai 2.0Feedback Protocol=SFF (Self-Forecast Feedback)2026.061.625
Moirai 2.0Feedback Protocol=CSB (Cold-start baseline)2026.061.627
TiRexFeedback Protocol=CSB (Cold-start baseline)2026.061.683
naiveFeedback Protocol=RF (Real feedback)2026.061.859
TiRexFeedback Protocol=SFF (Self-Forecast Feedback)2026.061.972
seasonal-naiveFeedback Protocol=CSB (Cold-start baseline)2026.061.998
seasonal-naiveFeedback Protocol=SFF (Self-Forecast Feedback)2026.062.006
naiveFeedback Protocol=CSB (Cold-start baseline)2026.062.023
seasonal-naiveFeedback Protocol=RF (Real feedback)2026.062.023
naiveFeedback Protocol=SFF (Self-Forecast Feedback)2026.062.03