ResearchDatasetsPolymarketPolymarketFollowBenchmarksTaskDatasetSOTA methodSortMost resultsRecently updatedMost papersApplyTaskDatasetSOTA resultTrendResultsProbability ForecastingPolymarket 30% held-out evaluation cliques0.141Brier Score20ForecastingPolymarket official (test)64.99Score15Judgmental event forecastingPolymarket (val)0.305NCE Loss7