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Volatility Forecasting research benchmarks · SOTA2 Research

Volatility Forecasting

Benchmarks

Dataset NameSOTA MethodSort

Dataset NameSOTA methodMetricTrendResultsLast Updated

S&P 500 Realized Volatility (test)

0.59R2 (Sig)

18

Mar 6, 2026

Regime-aware (label estimate)

0.19MAE

8

Mar 12, 2026

Regime-aware (label estimate)

1.67MAE

8

Mar 12, 2026

Regime-aware (label estimate)

1.14MAE

8

Mar 12, 2026

BTC/USD (LOBSTER) 2023 Q1 (test)

0.014Volatility

4

Feb 26, 2026

Popular datasets

Lobster Nasdaq S&P500 S&P 500 Realized Volatility EUR/USD

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