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Papers Benchmarks Datasets Tasks

Probabilistic Forecasting research benchmarks – Page 2 · SOTA2 Research

Probabilistic Forecasting

Benchmarks

Dataset NameSOTA MethodSort

Dataset NameSOTA methodMetricTrendResultsLast Updated

0.209CRPS

12

May 20, 2026

San Francisco wind dataset (test)

98.55PICP

12

May 18, 2026

ETT1 Hourly horizon 480

0.276WQL

12

Feb 26, 2026

12.9ND%

12

Feb 26, 2026

6ND%

12

Feb 26, 2026

0.13CRPS

11

Feb 26, 2026

Exchange ProbTS

0.04CRPS

11

Feb 26, 2026

0.074CRPS

11

Feb 26, 2026

0.16MSE

11

Apr 7, 2026

temperature extremes dataset (test)

-3.795Log Score

10

Mar 12, 2026

electricity (test)

0.016MSE

10

May 20, 2026

New England 2012 (test)

RNN({1, 2, 24})

2.08MAPE

9

Jun 18, 2026

New England 2014 (test)

RNN({1, 2, 24})

2.29MAPE

9

Jun 18, 2026

New England 2013 (test)

RNN({1, 2, 24})

2.14MAPE

9

Jun 18, 2026

POWERPHASE 3120-bus

0.004CRPS

9

Jun 12, 2026

POWERPHASE 2869-bus

0.011CRPS

9

Jun 12, 2026

POWERPHASE 2383-bus

0.004CRPS

9

Jun 12, 2026

POWERPHASE 1354-bus

0.004CRPS

9

Jun 12, 2026

POWERPHASE 500-bus

0.003CRPS

9

Jun 12, 2026

POWERPHASE 3120-bus grid

0.004CRPS

9

Jun 12, 2026

POWERPHASE 2383-bus grid

0.004CRPS

9

Jun 12, 2026

POWERPHASE 500-bus grid

0.003CRPS

9

Jun 12, 2026

0.68Distortion

9

Apr 24, 2026

267.06Distortion

9

Apr 24, 2026

0.028Distortion

9

Apr 24, 2026

Page 2 of 5

Popular datasets

ETT Traffic POWERPHASE Electricity ETTh1

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