Probabilistic Forecasting
Benchmarks
DatasetSOTA methodMetricTrendResultsLast updated
0.209CRPS
12
May 20, 2026
98.55PICP
12
May 18, 2026
0.276WQL
12
Feb 26, 2026
12.9ND%
12
Feb 26, 2026
6ND%
12
Feb 26, 2026
0.13CRPS
11
Feb 26, 2026
0.04CRPS
11
Feb 26, 2026
0.074CRPS
11
Feb 26, 2026
0.16MSE
11
Apr 7, 2026
-3.795Log Score
10
Mar 12, 2026
0.016MSE
10
May 20, 2026
2.08MAPE
9
Jun 18, 2026
2.29MAPE
9
Jun 18, 2026
2.14MAPE
9
Jun 18, 2026
0.004CRPS
9
Jun 12, 2026
0.011CRPS
9
Jun 12, 2026
0.004CRPS
9
Jun 12, 2026
0.004CRPS
9
Jun 12, 2026
0.003CRPS
9
Jun 12, 2026
0.004CRPS
9
Jun 12, 2026
0.004CRPS
9
Jun 12, 2026
0.003CRPS
9
Jun 12, 2026
0.68Distortion
9
Apr 24, 2026
267.06Distortion
9
Apr 24, 2026
0.028Distortion
9
Apr 24, 2026