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Move prediction research benchmarks · SOTA2 Research

Move prediction

Benchmarks

Dataset NameSOTA MethodSort

Dataset NameSOTA methodMetricTrendResultsLast Updated

55.87Expected Accuracy

27

May 28, 2026

89.55E[Acc]

27

May 28, 2026

48.91E[Acc]

19

May 28, 2026

59.73E[Acc]

19

May 28, 2026

LGB first 10 plies excluded Prompt-conditioned (test)

56.92Top-1 Accuracy

16

May 28, 2026

LIF-T10 first 10 plies excluded Prompt-conditioned (test)

49.14Top-1 Accuracy

16

May 28, 2026

LIF Prompt-conditioned first 10 plies excluded (test)

54.92Top-1 Accuracy

16

May 28, 2026

LIF-D Prompt-conditioned first 10 plies excluded (test)

48.12Top-1 Accuracy

16

May 28, 2026

Prompt-conditioned benchmarks Lichess (test)

ChessGPT-base†

79.98LOB-P

16

May 28, 2026

36.78Accuracy

13

May 28, 2026

36.06Expected Accuracy

13

May 28, 2026

Maia Master (test)

53.87Move Prediction Accuracy

11

Feb 26, 2026

Maia Advanced (test)

54.15Move Prediction Accuracy

11

Feb 26, 2026

Maia Skilled (test)

51.72Move Prediction Accuracy

11

Feb 26, 2026

ALLIE blitz slice (849,730-position reconstruction) 2022 (test)

57.3Top-1 Accuracy

5

Jun 4, 2026

bot-filtered blitz sample Rating Band 2200-3500 April 2026 (test)

61.92Top-1 Accuracy

5

Jun 4, 2026

bot-filtered blitz sample (Rating Band 2100-2200) April 2026 (test)

60.62Top-1 Move Accuracy

5

Jun 4, 2026

bot-filtered blitz sample Rating Band 2000-2100 April 2026 (test)

59.92Top-1 Accuracy

5

Jun 4, 2026

Blitz sample bot-filtered (Rating Band 1900-2000) April 2026 (test)

59.29Top-1 Accuracy

5

Jun 4, 2026

bot-filtered blitz sample (Rating Band 1800-1900) April 2026 (test)

58.54Top-1 Move Accuracy

5

Jun 4, 2026

bot-filtered blitz sample Rating Band 1700-1800 April 2026 (test)

57.77Top-1 Accuracy

5

Jun 4, 2026

bot-filtered blitz sample (Rating Band 1600-1700) April 2026 (test)

57.26Top-1 Accuracy

5

Jun 4, 2026

bot-filtered blitz sample Rating Band 1500-1600 April 2026 (test)

56.52Top-1 Accuracy

5

Jun 4, 2026

bot-filtered blitz sample Rating Band 1400-1500 April 2026 (test)

55.96Top-1 Accuracy

5

Jun 4, 2026

bot-filtered blitz sample Rating Band 1300-1400 April 2026 (test)

55.35Top-1 Accuracy

5

Jun 4, 2026

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